Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Geocartography conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 20 on September 11 2016.

Of the following candidates who is the most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

24.4% Benjamin Netanyahu

14.7% Yair Lapid

14.3% None of those listed

6.9% Do not know

6.3% Someone else

5.8% Avigdor Liberman

5.6% Naftali Bennett

4.9% Tzipi Livni

4.1% Moshe Yaalon

3.2% Issac Herzog

2.3% Ehud Barak

2.0% Gilad Erdan

1.9% Yaakov Litzman

1.8% Moshe Kahlon

1.1% Aryeh Deri

0.8% Yoav Galant

Note: Among religious and Haredi voters Netanyahu receives 35.7% and Lapid receives just 2.6%.

Geocartography conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 1 on September 9 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid

23 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [24] Zionist Union

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [05] Meretz

06 [10] Kulanu

04 [07] Shas

62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: This is the worst poll for the Likud-Bayit Yehudi-Yisrael Beitenu-UTJ-Kulanu-Shas bloc since the term started.

Geocartographia conducted a poll of 500 people that was broadcast on Razi Baraki’s Army Radio Program on Aug 7 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

22 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [24] Zionist Union

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

72 [67] Right-Religious

48 [53] Center-Left-Arab

KnessetJeremy Analysis: Last poll that came out was from the same pollster about two weeks ago. Here is the trend: Likud gained 4 seats, Shas 3, Yesh Atid 2 and Yisrael Beitenu 1. Meretz dropped 4 seats, Kulanu lost 3, Zionist Union decreased by 2 and UTJ fell by 1.

Geocartographia conducted a poll that was published by Kol HaZman magazine on July 22 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [10] Kulanu

09 [05] Meretz

06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

04 [07] Shas

68 [67] Right-Religious

52 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: As I have pointed out in the past I am not a big fan of the methodology used by Geocartographia led by Prof. Dagani. However, I do include his polls in the average because he is still among the top eight polling Israeli companies. A previous poll conducted earlier this month by Smith produced the same 68-52 bloc ratio. In addition Dagani’s ability to poll the ultra-orthodox community helps average out the polling companies that have a difficulty polling the ultra-orthodox community such as Dialog and Maagar Mochot. I’ll point out that the UTJ 12 seat showing can be factored in with the usual 3%-4% margin of error. My suggestion is not to not read too much into this particular poll but to acknowledge that the pluses of the Geocartographia system are required to produce our polling average.

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average below:

20th Knesset: KnessetJeremy Polling Average