Category: Polls


Poll#1: Deri

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on Jan 9 2018.

Did Deri do the right thing or the wrong thing by trying to get MK Glick to vote in Knesset despite the fact he was sitting shiva for his wife?

78% Wrong, 17% Don’t know, 5% Right

Shas voters: 44% Wrong, 31% Don’t know, 25% Right

Did Deri do the right thing or the wrong thing by trying to cause Minister Azoluai to resign his office because he was sick in the hospital getting treatment and could not participate in the Knesset voting?

69% Wrong, 21% Don’t know, 10% Right

Shas voters: 41% Wrong, 30% Don’t know, 29% Right

Shas was founded to provide a political home for the Sephardi community from the Haredim until the traditional. Is Shas living up to its goal?

59% No, 21% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Shas voters: 50% Yes, 44% No, 6% Don’t know

Are you satisfied with the way Aryeh Deri is running Shas as Chairman?

65% No, 20% Don’t know, 15% Yes

Shas voters: 50% Yes, 37% No, 13% Don’t know

Should Deri have returned to lead Shas given his past criminal record?

69% No, 17% Don’t know, 14% Yes

Shas voters: 53% Yes, 35% No, 12% Don’t know

What is Deri’s main motivation for the Supermarkets Bill?

63% Political capital, 23% Holiness of the Sabbath

Shas voters: 65% Holiness of the Sabbath, 18% Political capital

Should Deri make up with Eli Yishai and bring back to Shas the voters who left in the last election the past or should he maintain the current course?

41% Makeup, 15% Maintain course

Shas voters: 47% Makeup, 29% Maintain course

 

Poll #2: Fake News

Smith conducted a poll for Globes of 550 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published on Jan 3 2018.

Who is responsible for Fake News?

43% Parts of the press and the media are guilty and brought it upon themselves.
41% There is no specific guilty party, Fake News is a by-product of the dominance of social networks in our lives.

Breakdown by 2015 voting:

Bayit Yehudi Voters: 62% Press, 24% Social Media, 14% Don’t know
Shas and UTJ Voters: 62% Press, 27% Social Media, 11% Don’t know
Kulanu voters: 54% Press, 37% Social Media, 9% Don’t know
Likud voters: 52% Press, 36% Social Media, 12% Don’t know
Yisrael Beitenu voters: 50% Press, 33% Social Media, 17% Don’t know
The Joint List voters: 43% Social Media, 29% Press, 28% Don’t know
Yesh Atid voters: 55% Social Media, 26% Press, 19% Don’t know
Meretz voters: 58% Social Media, 23% Press, 19% Don’t know
Zionist Union Voters: 68% Social Media, 22% Press, 10% Don’t know

 

Poll #3: President RIvlin

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on Jan 1 2018.

Are you satisfied with President Rivlin’s conduct as President?

53% Satisfied, 42% Not Satisfied, 5% Don’t know

Note: 96% of left and 66% of center are satisfied with President Rivlin compared to 59% of the Right who are not satisfied.

Do you think President Rivlin’s speech where he hinted that the public should go protest against corruption was a worthy speech?

46% No, 41% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Does President Rilvin conduct himself in a statesmanlike manner or in a political manner?

45% Statesman, 42% Political, 13% Don’t know

Do you accept the argument that President Rivlin and Prime Minister Netanyahu are utilizing situations to close old accounts with each other?

50% Yes, 25% Don’t know, 25% No

Should President Rivlin use his position to express an opinion on controversial issues?

55% No, 39% Yes, 6% Don’t know

Will you support Rivlin if he decides to return to politics after he leaves the President’s Residence?

39% No, 31% Yes, 30% Don’t know

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Midgam conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Jan 13 2018. The poll was conducted on Jan 10-11 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

63 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Yesh Atid and Kulanu run on a joint list:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [21] Yesh Atid + Kulanu
25 [30] Likud
17 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

BB vs Lapid: 42% Neither, 35% Netanyahu, 23% Lapid

BB vs Gabbay: 52% Neither, 33% Netanyahu, 15% Gabbay

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Congratulations to me on writing 1000 posts on Jeremy’s Knesset Insider!

Panels conducted a poll of 572 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 12 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
22 [30] Likud
14 [24] Zionist Union
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Was the taping of the conversation between Yair Netanyahu and his friends worthy of airing?

44% No, 40% Yes, 16% Don’t know/No opinion

Note: Right voters 58% No, 24% Yes, 18% Don’t know.
Center and left voters 57% Yes, 32% No, 11 Don’t know.

Should the public pay for the security of the Prime Minister’s children, including their driver and car?

62% No, 24% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Note: 52% of Likud voters answered yes.

Was the tape meant for public gossip or does the public have a right to know what is being done with their money?

53% Gossip, 40% Right to know, 7% Don’t know

What was the worst thing revealed in the tape?

28% Usage of public funds for private outing, 24% comments against women, 16% connection to gas deal, 14% Don’t know, 10% visit to strip club, 8% he did nothing wrong

Does the tape weaken Netanyahu politically?

54% Yes, 36% Don’t know, 10% No

What do you think of the supermarket law that was passed this week in the Knesset?

62% Oppose, 20% Support, 18% No opinion/don’t know

Note/Breakdowns: 
Haredim: 65% Support, 23% Don’t know, 12% Oppose
National Religious: 46% Support, 27% Don’t know, 27% Oppose
Traditional: 64% Oppose, 21% Support, 15% Don’t know
Secular: 87% Oppose, 7% Don’t know, 6% Support

Level of support: 67% of UTJ voters, 46% Shas, 46% Bayit Yehudi, 34% Likud, 16% Yisrael Beitenu, 10%% Kulanu, 8% Zionist Union, 6% Yesh Atid and 0% of Meretz

 

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

 

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Yisrael HaYom on Jan 1 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
04 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Makor Rishon on Dec 29 2017. The poll was conducted on Dec 25-27 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

33% None, 24% Netanyahu, 18% Lapid, 7% Yaalon, 6% Gabbay, 6% Bennett, 3% Liberman, 3% Don’t know

 

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

 

There is an additional poll that was published this week that I will not include in my polling average for two reasons. First, it was conducted for one of the political parties. Second, the polling company that conducted the poll has not released a political poll since 2014. The company was the least accurate polling company in the 2009 and 2013 cycles according to the KnessetJeremy parameters.

Shvakim Panorama conducted a poll for Yisrael Beitenu that the party leaked to Ynet that published it on Dec 26 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
17 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Channel 20 on Dec 24 2017. The poll was conducted on Dec 18-19 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
20 [08] Bayit Yehudi
14 [24] Zionist Union
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
00 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Additional Questions:

How confident are you that you will vote for the party of your choice?

94% Joint List, 80% UTJ, 65% Meretz, 57% Likud, 53% Zionist Union, 42% Yisrael Beitenu, 38% Bayit Yehudi, 38% Yesh Atid, 7% Kulanu

 

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Netanyahu Investigations

Midgam conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by the Channel 13 on Dec 21 2017. It was conducted on Dec 20-21 2017.

Is the police conducting a witch hunt after Netanyahu or is the objective of the investigations to reach the truth?

59% Truth, 27% Witch hunt, 14% Don’t know

If the police does recommend an indictment for receiving bribery, should Netanyahu resign?

60% Yes, 28% No, 12% Don’t know

If the police does recommend an indictment for fraud and breach of trust, should Netanyahu resign??

63% Yes, 27% No, 10% Don’t know

 

Poll #2: Teva

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Dec 21 2017.

Should the Teva CEO who under his watch purchased new factories for 42 million shekels take personal responsibility for the losses?

77% Yes, 13% Don’t know, 10% No

Should the Teva board of directors who approved the deals that led to losses of billions of shekels participate in the losses of the company?

79% Yes, 11% Don’t know, 10% No

Should the pension funds that purchased Teva stocks or bonds issue a class action suit Teva to save as much money as possible for the public?

68% Yes, 17% Don’t know, 15% No

Should the state demand from Teva to hold off on the mass firings because of all the tax benefits it has received?

69% Yes, 22% No, 9% Don’t know

Would the demand for Teva to hold off from mass firings in its current state be the right thing to do?

58% Yes, 25% No, 17% Don’t know

Do you think it is justified to pass a law that will force companies that receive large tax benefits to accept the participation of external experts in significant decisions?

69% Yes, 18% No, 13% Don’t know

Do you agree with the argument that in Israel there is a system where executives receive a very high salary when the company does well and it is only the workers that pay the punishment when the company loses money?

77% Yes, 13% No, 10% Don’t know

Is it justified for the entire economy to strike as a pressure tactic meant to prevent mass firings?

50% No, 36% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Dec 18 2017.

Did Kahlon do the right thing by lower taxes on products such as electricity and perfume or should he have allocated the money elsewhere?

50% Wrong thing, 38% Right thing, 12% Don’t know

Are you satisfied with Kahlon’s conduct in the Teva affair?

52% No, 35% Don’t know, 12% Yes

Did Kahlon succeed in lowering or preventing an increase in housing prices?

73% No, 12% Prevent increase, 8% Lowered prices, 7% Don’t know

Are you satisfied with the conduct of Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon?

55% No, 35% Yes, 10% Don’t know

Is Kahlon capable of leading large economic movements in the Israeli market?

45% No, 35% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Did Kahlon do the right thing by supporting the law to close supermarkets on the Sabbath?

54% No, 37% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Is Moshe Kahlon a worthy candidate for Prime Minister?

72% No, 17% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Dec 14 2017.

Is President Trump’s declaration of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital going to strengthen or weaken Israel’s standing in the world?

54% Strengthen, 29% Don’t know, 17% Weaken

Are the severe reactions from the Muslim world against President Trump’s Jerusalem recognition harming the standing of the United States in the Muslim world?

58% Yes, 31% No, 11% Don’t know

Will the reactions by the Muslim states and the Palestinians towards the Jerusalem recognition cause the United States to rush their peace plan between Israel and the Palestinians?

48% No, 26% Yes, 26% Don’t know

Assuming that the United States does release a peace plan between Israel and the Palestinians, will it include transferring Palestinian neighborhoods in Jerusalem to the Palestinians?

47% Yes, 32% No, 21% Don’t know

Do you think that in the American peace deal that the Temple Mount will remain under the Waqf?

61% Yes, 22% Don’t know, 17% No

In your opinion if Russia, the United States and Western Europe band together and release a peace deal between Israel and the Palestinians, will a plan like that succeed?

53% No, 36% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Do you think that Trump’s Jerusalem declaration might lead to another intifada?

48% Yes, 41% No, 11% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Dec 15 2017.

Is the Trump administration more pro-Israel, more pro-Palestinian, or neutral?

76% Pro-Israel, 14% Neutral, 8% No opinion/don’t know, 2% Pro-Palestinian

Jewish voters: 77% Pro-Israel, 15% Neutral, 7% No opinion/don’t know, 1% Pro-Palestinian
Arab voters: 69% Pro-Israel

Will Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel contribute to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, does it harm the chances of resolving the conflict or does it have no impact?

42.9% Impedes resolving the conflict, 25.3% Has no influence, 23.1% Contributes to resolving the conflict, 8.8% No opinion

Jewish voters: 36% Has no influence, 33% Impedes resolving the conflict, 23% Contributes to resolving the conflict, 8% No opinion
Arab voters: 76% Impedes resolving the conflict.

Bayit Yehudi voters: 47% Contributes to resolving the conflict
Likud voters: 22% Contributes to resolving the conflict
Zionist Union voters: 14% Contributes to resolving the conflict
Yesh Atid voters: 12% Contributes to resolving the conflict