Category: Polls


Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on Aug 11 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

21 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

KnessetJeremy Analysis: This is first Maagar Mochot poll released to the public since January.  It is within the margin of error of the latest Geocartographia polls as well as the latest Panels, Smith, Dialog, Midgam and Teleseker polls. I will update the KnessetJeremy Average shortly to reflect the latest poll.

Geocartographia conducted a poll of 500 people that was broadcast on Razi Baraki’s Army Radio Program on Aug 7 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

22 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [24] Zionist Union

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

72 [67] Right-Religious

48 [53] Center-Left-Arab

KnessetJeremy Analysis: Last poll that came out was from the same pollster about two weeks ago. Here is the trend: Likud gained 4 seats, Shas 3, Yesh Atid 2 and Yisrael Beitenu 1. Meretz dropped 4 seats, Kulanu lost 3, Zionist Union decreased by 2 and UTJ fell by 1.

Geocartographia conducted a poll that was published by Kol HaZman magazine on July 22 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [10] Kulanu

09 [05] Meretz

06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

04 [07] Shas

68 [67] Right-Religious

52 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: As I have pointed out in the past I am not a big fan of the methodology used by Geocartographia led by Prof. Dagani. However, I do include his polls in the average because he is still among the top eight polling Israeli companies. A previous poll conducted earlier this month by Smith produced the same 68-52 bloc ratio. In addition Dagani’s ability to poll the ultra-orthodox community helps average out the polling companies that have a difficulty polling the ultra-orthodox community such as Dialog and Maagar Mochot. I’ll point out that the UTJ 12 seat showing can be factored in with the usual 3%-4% margin of error. My suggestion is not to not read too much into this particular poll but to acknowledge that the pluses of the Geocartographia system are required to produce our polling average.

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average below:

KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Tzachi Hanebgi Poll

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on July 18 2016.

Do you want Tzachi Hanebgi to return to a senior cabinet position?

43% No, 36% Don’t know, 21% Yes

Where do you place Minister Hanegbi on the political map?

41% Moderate right, 21% Center, 12% True right, 7% Left

Note: 10% of right voters labeled him a leftist.

How do Hanegbi’s previous legal troubles influence your opinion of him?

61% For the worse, 23% Doesn’t influence, 14% No opinion, 2% For the better

For right voters: How much does Hanegbi’s past in Kadima influence your opinion of him?

49% Doesn’t influence, 35% Does influence, 16% Don’t know

Do you trust Minister Hanegbi on security issues?

48% No, 33% Yes, 19% Don’t know

For right voters: Does Hanegbi’s family connection as Geula Cohen’s son influence your opinion of him?

60% Doesn’t influence, 22% Better opinion, 5% Worse opinion

For right voters: Which of the Likud Ministers is most suited to replace Netanyahu when he decides to retire?

47% Don’t know, 14% Yisrael Katz, 13% Regev, 11% Erdan, 5% Elkin, 3% Steinitz, 1% Hanegbi,  1% Gamliel, 1% Akunis, 1% Levin, 1% Chaim Katz

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on July 11 2016

What grade do you give Police Commissioner Roni Alsheikh?

42% Good, 28% Average, 20% Don’t know, 10% Bad

Of the two Commissioners – who did you trust more?

44% Don’t know, 40% Alsheikh, 16% Danino

What is the major problem in Commissioner Alsheikh’s conduct?

22% No problem, 18% Hides things from the public, 13% His relationship with the press, 11% He doesn’t understand the police, 11% The police doesn’t respect him

How does the fact that Commissioner Alsheikh was a senior officer in the Shabak (Shin Bet) influence your opinion of trusting him?

51% For the better, 27% Doesn’t influence, 14% No opinion, 8% For the worse

Should Commissioner Alsheikh adopt the approach that investigations should not be conducted against a sitting Prime Minister?

57% No, 23% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Do you agree with the opinion of Alsheikh that there are investigations that should not be publicized?

66% Yes, 23% No, 11% Don’t know

Is Alsheikh correct to promote officers who were suspected in the past of sexual harassment?

65% No, 20% Don’t know, 15% Yes

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on July 4 2016

What grade do you give Naftali Bennett?

43% Good, 27% Average, 17% Bad, 13% Don’t know

Is Minister Bennett correct in his demands on the subject of the security cabinet?

49% Yes, 31% Don’t know, 20% No

Note: 58% of right wing voters answered yes.

Considering the conduct of Ministers Bennett and Shaked – would you consider voting for them in the next elections?

59% No, 23% Don’t know, 18% Yes

Question for right wing voters: Should Minister Bennett leave the government if his demands are not met?

57% No, 27% Don’t know, 16% Yes

Question for right wing voters: What subject should Naftali Bennett focus on?

47% Education, 36% Security, 9% Settlements, 8% Don’t know

Question for right wing voters: Which of the following ministers best represents your views?

30% Bennett, 28% Netanyahu, 28% None, 10% Liberman, 4% Kahlon

Question for right wing voters: Of the following Bayit Yehudi MKs which represents your views the most?

37% None, 24% Bennett, 14% Shaked, 14% Smotrich, 5% Muaalam, 2% Ariel, 2% Yogev, 1% Slomiansky, 1% Ben-Dahan

Smith conducted a poll that was broadcast by Reshet Bet on July 1 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

00 [00] Yachad

68 [67] Right-Religious

52 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Midgam Panel Project (Kamil Fuchs formerly of Dialog) conducted a poll of 600 people with an error rate of 4.2% that was broadcast on June 27 2016 by Channel 10.

Do you support deal with Turkey?

56% No, 33% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Arabs: 72% Yes, 16% No, 12% Don’t know

Jews: 65% No, 24% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Should Israel have conditioned the deal on the return of the Israelis (living and deceased) from Gaza?

67% Yes, 18% No, 14% Don’t know

Arabs: 49% Yes, 36% No, 15% Don’t know

Jews: 72%  Yes, 14% No, 14% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on June 27 2016

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

10 [24] Zionist Union

10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Shas

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [05] Meretz

00 [00] Yachad

 

71 [67] Right-Religious

49 [53] Center-Left-Arab

 

Scenario Poll: Lapid & Saar together on a Joint Ticket – 26 seats

Scenario Poll #2: Lapid, Saar & Yaalon together on a Joint Ticket – 30 seats

 

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

25% Netanyahu, 13% Lapid, 9% Bennett, 6% Liberman, 3% Herzog

What grade do you give Yair Lapid as a MK?

34% Average, 31% Good, 27% Bad, 8% Don’t know

How does the fact that MK Lapid doesn’t show up to the Knesset often influence your opinion of him?

53% For the worse, 34% Doesn’t influence, 7% No opinion, 6% For the better

Do you want Lapid as Foreign Minister?

49% Yes, 30% No

Question for Yesh Atid voters: Did “the protest” from Netanyahu’s second term have any connection to your consideration to vote for Lapid?

57% Yes, 43% No

Question for Center voters: If a new Center Party is formed – who should lead it?

41% Don’t know, 23% Saar, 18% Lapid, 18% Yaalon

KnessetJeremy is back from vacation. I want to thank my loyal readers who reached out to express their frustration over the break. It felt good to be missed. It has been five years since I took a real vacation and it was well worth it.

There are five polls that came out during my break and I will post them in chronological order after this post. I hope to also put out a “Weekend Perspective” piece for this weekend.

Below is the updated “Knesset Jeremy Polling Average” which has also been updated on the site. The significant change of the month is the Joint List is now in third place and Zionist Union has dropped to fourth.

_____________________________________________________________

KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: July 19 2016

Party KnessetJeremy Polling Average (June/July) Change since previous KJPA (April/May) KJPA (April/May) All Polls since Elections 2015 Election
Likud 26.3 -0.4 26.7 26.7 30
Yesh Atid 19.7 -0.3 20 19 11
Joint List 13 0.2 12.8 12.8 13
Zionist Union 12.7 -0.1 12.8 15.1 24
Bayit Yehudi 12 0.7 11.3 11.5 8
Yisrael Beitenu 9 0 9 8.5 6
UTJ 7.7 -0.3 8 7.2 6
Shas 7 1.3 5.7 6.5 7
Kulanu 6.7 -0.1 6.8 6.6 10
Meretz 6 -0.8 6.8 6 5
Right-Religious 68.7 1.2 67.5 67.1 67
Center-Left-Arab 51.3 -1.2 52.5 52.9 53
Party 22 Poll Avg 22 Poll Placing Avg 2015 Election 2015 Placing Up/Down
Likud 26.7 1st 30 1st 0
Yesh Atid 19 2nd 11 4th 2
Zionist Union 15.1 3rd 24 2nd -1
Joint List 12.8 4th 13 3rd -1
Bayit Yehudi 11.5 5th 8 6th 1
Yisrael Beitenu 8.5 6th 6 8th 2
UTJ 7.2 7th 6 9th 2
Kulanu 6.6 8th 10 5th -3
Shas 6.5 9th 7 7th -2
Meretz 6 10th 5 10th 0
Right-Religious 67.1 n/a 67 n/a n/a
Center-Left-Arab 52.9 n/a 53 n/a n/a

 

The KnessetJeremy Polling Average tracks the most recent polling numbers. This page is updated as new polls are added to the site and the KnessetJeremy poll database.

Currently there have been 22 opinion polls released to the public since the election. The “KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls” is currently averaging the three most recent polls conducted in June and July. The previous update averaged the six polls conducted in May. In April no opinion polls were released to the public.

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