Category: Polls


Snapshot on Nov 5 2018, one year before the scheduled Nov 5 2019 Elections.

KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Nov 5 2018.

Notes: The KnessetJeremy Polling Average tracks the most recent polling numbers. This page is updated as new polls are added to the site and the KnessetJeremy poll database.

Party KnessetJeremy Polling Average (5 Polls of last 3 months) 2018 AVG (41 Polls) 2017 AVG (44 Polls) 2016 AVG (33 Polls) All Polls (118 Polls from 2015-2018) 2015 Election
Likud 32.4 31 25.9 25.7 27.6 30
Yesh Atid 18 20.6 22.7 20.5 21.4 11
Joint List 12.2 11.6 11.8 12.8 12 13
Zionist Union 11.6 12.4 15 13.6 13.7 24
Bayit Yehudi 10.8 10.5 12 12.2 11.5 8
UTJ 7 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.4 6
Kulanu 6.4 6.8 7.3 6.6 6.9 10
Meretz 6.2 6.5 6 6 6.2 5
Yisrael Beitenu 5.6 5.8 6.5 8.6 6.8 6
Orly Levy/Others 5.4 3.3 0.3 0 1.3 0
Shas 4.4 4.2 5.1 6.5 5.2 7
Current Right-Religious Coalition 66.6 65.6 64.5 67.1 65.6 67
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 53.4 54.4 55.5 52.9 54.4 53
Party 118 Poll Avg 118 Poll Placing Avg 2015 Election 2015 Placing Up/Down
Likud 27.6 1st 30 1st 0
Yesh Atid 21.4 2nd 11 4th 2
Zionist Union 13.7 3rd 24 2nd -1
Joint List 12 4th 13 3rd -1
Bayit Yehudi 11.5 5th 8 6th 1
UTJ 7.4 6th 6 9th 3
Kulanu 6.9 7th 10 5th -2
Yisrael Beitenu 6.8 8th 6 8th 0
Meretz 6.2 9th 5 10th 1
Shas 5.2 10th 7 7th -3
Others 1.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Current Right-Religious Coalition 65.6 n/a 67 n/a n/a
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 54.4 n/a 53 n/a n/a

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls from the months of August, September & October 2018. It is being compared to an average of 41 polls conducted in 2018, an average of 44 polls conducted in 2017, an average of the 33 polls (32 conducted in 2016 and one 2015 poll), an average of 118 polls conducted since the 2015 election and the 2015 election results.

To provide additional context there is a 118-poll average that presents the average for the entire term in comparison to their ranking in the 2015 election. Coalition vs Opposition numbers include parties that do not pass the threshold such as Yachad, Yaalon and Zehut.

There have been 118 opinion polls released by the top polling companies to the public over the last 43 months since the last election in March 2015.

The 2016 average is of 7 Smith, 6 Panels, 5 Midgam, 5 Geocartography, 4 HaMidgam Project, 3 Maagar Mochot, 2 Teleseker & 1 202 Strategies poll.

The 2017 average is of 11 HaMidgam Project, 8 Panels, 8 Midgam, 8 Geocartography, 4 Maagar Mochot, 3 Smith, 1 Teleseker & 1 Shavkim Panorama poll.

The 2018 average is of 13 Panels, 9 Midgam, 7 HaMidgam Project, 5 Geocartography, 4 Smith and 2 Maagar Mochot poll.

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 696 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Oct 25 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [24] Zionist Union
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Likud led by Saar

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud led by Saar
19 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average has been updated here: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 718 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Oct 11 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Benny Gantz Party
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Ehud Barak as leader of Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Question:

Do you support preventing an indictment against a sitting Prime Minister?

58% Don’t support, 24% Support, 18% Don’t know
Likud voters: 45% Support, 32% Don’t support, 23% Don’t know
Poll #2

Maagar Mochot conducted two scenario polls of 500 people with a 3.4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Oct 11 2018. The poll was conducted Oct 8-10.

Scenario Poll #1: With New Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
14 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [01] Orly Levy
08 [–] Gantz Party
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario #2: With Gantz as #2 in Yesh Atid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [24] Zionist Union
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

The 3 Latest Polls

Poll #1

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 12 & 13 that was broadcast on Oct 7 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [–-] Zehut – 1.2%
00 [–-] Yaalon – 1.1%
00 [–-] Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [–] Benny Gantz Party
10 [24] Zionist Union

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 12% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 5% Liberman, 4% Gabbai, 1% Bennett

 

Poll # 2

Panels conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Sep 5 2018. It was conducted on Sep 2-3.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud led by Saar
20 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [24] Zionist Union
09 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Question:

Likud voters: Who should replace Netanyahu when he leaves?

33% Don’t know, 16% Saar, 12% Shaked, 10% Regev, 8% Erdan, 8% Liberman, 7% Katz, 6% Kahlon

Poll #3

Midgam conducted a poll of 516 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Aug 25 2018. It was conducted on Aug 23-24.

Are you satisfied from the conduct of the following ministers (% that responded yes)?

1: 57% Shaked
2: 51% Bennett
3: 51% Netanyahu
4: 50% Y.Katz
5: 47% Erdan
6: 41% Kahlon
7: 40% Regev
8: 37% Liberman
9: 34% Litzman
10: 22% C.Katz
11: 17% Deri

Are you pleased or not pleased with the government policy during the Gaza crisis?

74% No, 19% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Defense Minister Liberman & Minister Bennett are taking shots at one another over how to manage the conflict against Hamas in Gaza. Who is correct?

37% Bennett, 33% Liberman, 30% Don’t know/Refuse to answer

Do you support Transportation Minister Katz’s decision to cancel the work going on during the Sabbath in order to create a new pedestrian bridge over the Ayalon highway?

59% No, 29% Yes, 12% No opinion

 

Note: The polling average has been updated here: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panels conducted a poll of 597 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Walla that was broadcast on Aug 21 2018. It was conducted Aug 19-20.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

What is your position on the arrangement that was reached between Israel and Hamas?

40% Oppose, 33% Don’t know, 27% Support

Likud voters: 41% Oppose, 31% Don’t know, 28% Support

Who do you support in the argument between Liberman and Bennett on the arrangement deal?

41% No opinion, 35% Bennett, 24% Liberman

*Note: I was on vacation this week so I apologize for getting this poll out late.

*KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls HAS BEEN UPDATED at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panels conducted a poll of 532 people for Walla that was broadcast on July 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you support or oppose the Nation State Law in its current version?

58% Support, 34% Oppose, 8% No Opinion

Right Voters: 85% Support, 10% Oppose, 5% No Opinion
Center Voters: 49% Support, 45% Oppose, 6% No Opinion
Left Voters: 75% Oppose, 19% Support, 6% No Opinion

Bayit Yehudi Voters: 97% Support, 3% Oppose
Likud Voters: 92% Support, 4% Oppose, 4% No Opinion
Shas Voters: 75% Support
UTJ Voters: 74% Support
Kulanu Voters: 60% Support, 40% Oppose
Yesh Atid Voters: 48% Support, 46% Oppose, 6% No Opinion
Zionist Union Voters: 71% Oppose
Meretz Voters: 89% Oppose
Joint List Voters: 100% Oppose

 

Do you view the Druze struggle against the Nation State Law as justified?

54% Yes, 23% No, 23% Don’t know
*KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls HAS BEEN UPDATED at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Midgam conducted a poll of 557 people with a 4.2% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on July 24 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you support the surrogate protest?

56% Yes, 33% No, 11% Don’t know

Bayit Yehudi voters: 58% Yes, 40% No, 2% Don’t know
Likud voters: 51% Yes, 42% No, 7% Don’t know

Do you support the government policy towards the burning kites?

70% No, 21% Yes, 9% Don’t know

*KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls HAS BEEN UPDATED athttps://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Walla on July 16 2018

Who won the last round?

44% Hamas, 27% Israel, 25% Don’t know, 4% Other responses

Was it correct to accept a ceasefire during this current round?

45% No, 26% Other answers, 20% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Do you support the current government policy?

58% No, 35% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Was Minister Naftali Bennett correct in objecting to a ceasefire?

62% Yes, 20% No, 18% Don’t know

Should Israel conduct a widespread operation in Gaza?

45% Yes, 37% No, 18% Don’t know

Was Prime Minister Netanyahu wrong or correct in not meeting southern residents?

73% Wrong, 16% Correct, 11% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 578 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on July 13 2018. The poll was conducted on July 11 2018. Three additional scenario polls were included.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Scenario Poll #1: Ayelet Shaked leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud led by Shaked
18 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz leading Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud
22 [24] Zionist Union led by Gantz
13 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll #3: Ayelet Shaked leading Likud and Gantz leading Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud led by Shaked
24 [24] Zionist Union led by Gantz
13 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

*KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls HAS BEEN UPDATED at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 514 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on July 12 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

*KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls HAS BEEN UPDATED  at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/