22nd Knesset Elections: Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls (Updated September 14th)

Place	Party	Leader	Seats	KnessetJeremy AVG	Change	41-Poll-AVG	April Results
1st	Likud	Netanyahu	33	32.9	1.5	31.4	39
2nd	Blue & White	Gantz	32	32	1.2	30.8	35
3rd	The Joint List	Odeh	11	11.2	0.5	10.7	10
4th	Yamina	Shaked	8	8.3	-1.5	9.8	5
5th	Yisrael Beitenu	Liberman	8	8.4	-1.2	9.6	5
6th	United Torah Judaism	Litzman	8	7.6	0.2	7.4	8
7th	Shas	Deri	7	7	-0.1	7.1	8
8th	Democratic Union	Horwitz	5	5.1	-1.4	6.5	4
9th	Labor	Peretz	5	4.7	-0.9	5.6	6
10th	Otzma/Other	Ben Gvir	3	2.8	1.7	1.1	0
	Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM		59	58.6	1.8	56.8	60
	Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM		53	53	-0.6	53.6	55
	Pushing Unity Government		8	8.4	-1.2	9.6	5

Note #1: The KnessetJeremy Average is based on the last seven polls that were released by Midgam, Smith, Maagar Mochot, Kantar, Panel Project HaMdigam, Panels & Shvakim Panorama. Otzma does not pass the electoral threshold in Smith or Panels but passes in 5 of the 7 polls. In rare statistical circumstances parties can receive 3 seats so I have left the 3-seat result in the average which also allows me to maintain an 120-seat framework.

Note #2: The 41-Poll-Average is based on the last 41 polls that were conducted from July 30th until September 13 (last six weeks): 12 Midgam, 8 Smith, 5 Maagar Mochot, 5 Kantar/Teleseker, 6 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls, 2 Panels & 1 Shvakim Panorama.

Note #3: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election. Zehut resigned and 31 parties remain.

Note #4: Voter exchange/surplus agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Democratic Union, B) Blue and White & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & Yamina. D) Shas & UTJ. E) Otzma & Noam. The Joint List did not sign with any other list.

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