Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls (Updated September 14th)

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChange41-Poll-AVGApril Results
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz32321.230.835
3rdThe Joint ListOdeh1111.20.510.710
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman88.4-1.29.65
6thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman87.60.27.48
8thDemocratic UnionHorwitz55.1-1.46.54
10thOtzma/OtherBen Gvir32.81.71.10
Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM5958.61.856.860
Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM5353-0.653.655
Pushing Unity Government88.4-1.29.65

Note #1: The KnessetJeremy Average is based on the last seven polls that were released by Midgam, Smith, Maagar Mochot, Kantar, Panel Project HaMdigam, Panels & Shvakim Panorama. Otzma does not pass the electoral threshold in Smith or Panels but passes in 5 of the 7 polls. In rare statistical circumstances parties can receive 3 seats so I have left the 3-seat result in the average which also allows me to maintain an 120-seat framework.

Note #2: The 41-Poll-Average is based on the last 41 polls that were conducted from July 30th until September 13 (last six weeks): 12 Midgam, 8 Smith, 5 Maagar Mochot, 5 Kantar/Teleseker, 6 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls, 2 Panels & 1 Shvakim Panorama.

Note #3: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election. Zehut resigned and 31 parties remain.

Note #4: Voter exchange/surplus agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Democratic Union, B) Blue and White & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & Yamina. D) Shas & UTJ. E) Otzma & Noam. The Joint List did not sign with any other list.