Category: Weekly Poll Avg


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Monday March 17th 2019.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 11 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3231.8-1.833.611
2ndLikudNetanyahu2928.5-0.52929
3rdLaborGabbai98.50.18.418
4thHadash-TaalOdeh77.2-1.18.36
5thUnited Right ListPeretz770.46.65
6thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman76.8-0.276
7thMeretzZandberg660.75.35
8thHaYamin HeHadashBennett65.8-0.263
9thShasDeri55.50.557
10thZehutFeiglin44.32.61.70
11thKulanuKahlon43.2-1.44.610
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman43.21.51.75
13thRaam-BaladAbbas02.2-0.12.37
14thOther30 Others00-0.60.68
Right-Religious Bloc6664.23.26166
Center-Left-Arab Bloc5455.8-3.25954

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the last 4 polls that were released from March 11 to March 15 (Maagar Mochot, Midgam, Panel Project HaMidgam & Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between Labor & Meretz, HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, Likud & United Right List, Shas & UTJ. The deadline for submitting voter exchange agreements is March 29.

Note #5: Yisrael Beitenu & Kulanu both passed the electoral threshold in 3 of 4 polls this week. Raam Balad passed in 2 of the 4 polls this week. Zehut, for the first time, passed in all of the polls conducted this week. Gesher did not pass in any poll this week.

Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu (including Zehut when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 66 and a low of 63. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 57 and a low of 54.

Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 4 parties have withdrawn to date.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Monday March 11th 2019.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 10 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3433.6-2.536.111
2ndLikudNetanyahu30290.728.329
3rdLaborGabbai98.41.56.918
4thHadash-TaalOdeh98.30.386
5thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman870.46.66
6thUnited Right ListPeretz76.6-0.97.55
7thHaYamin HeHadashBennett76-0.96.93
8thMeretzZandberg65.3-0.25.55
9thShasDeri55-0.15.17
10thKulanuKahlon54.60.6410
11thRaam-BaladAbbas02.30.22.17
12thOther31 Others02.20.228
13thYisrael BeitenuLiberman01.70.715
Right-Religious Bloc62610.460.666
Center-Left-Arab Bloc5859-0.459.454

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the last 7 polls that were released from March 5 to March 10 (Panels, Smith, Teleseker, Maagar Mochot, Dialog & 2 from Midgam).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between Labor & Meretz, HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, Likud & United Right List, Shas & UTJ. The deadline for submitting voter exchange agreements is March 29.

Note #5: Raam Balad passed the electoral threshold in 4 of the 7 polls this week, Yisrael Beitenu & Zehut both passed in 3 polls this week. Gesher only passed in one poll this week.

Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu (including Zehut when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 63 and a low of 59. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 61 and a low of 57.

Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 4 parties have withdrawn to date.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Saturday February 25th 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 8 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3534.63.63111
2ndLikudNetanyahu3030.3-0.73129
3rdLaborGabbai87.9-1.1918
4thHadash-TaalOdeh87.61.46.26
5thHaYamin HeHadashBennett77.1-0.77.83
6thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman76.7-0.87.56
7thUnited Right ListPeretz65.65.605
8thShasDeri65.40.25.27
9thMeretzZandberg54.5-0.75.25
10thRaam-BaladAbbas43.8-2.76.57
11thYisrael BeitenuLiberman43.60.13.55
12thKulanuKahlon02.9-0.93.810
13thOther35 Others00-3.33.38
Right-Religious Bloc6061.61.66066
Center-Left-Arab Bloc6058.4-1.66054

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on 11 polls that were released from Feb 17-24 (4 Midgam, 3 Direct Polls, 2 Panels, 1 Panel Project HaMidgam and 1 Maagar Mochot).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists were submitted this past week on Wed Feb 20 & Thurs Feb 21 2019. The polls conducted before the formation of Blue & White are scenario polls of Gantz + Lapid.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Saturday February 16th 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 7 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu313103130
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz2019.8-1.521.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1211.20.310.911
4thLaborGabbai993.55.518
5thHaYamin HeHadashBennett87.80.67.23
6thUTJLitzman87.516.56
7thJoint ListOdeh76.5-0.16.612
8thTaalTibi76.20.65.61
9thShasDeri55.20.34.97
10thMeretzZandberg55.20.44.85
11thKulanuKahlon43.8-0.34.110
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman43.5-0.545
13thGesherLevy02021
14thOtherOthers01.3-0.41.70
15thBayit YehudiPeretz00-3.73.75
16thLivniLivni00-0.20.26
Right-Religious6060-2.962.966
Center-Left-Arab60602.957.154

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on four polls that were released from Feb 12-14 (1 Panel Project HaMidgam, 1 Direct Polls, 1 Maagar Mochot and 1 Midgam).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists will be submitted this coming week on Wed Feb 20 & Thurs Feb 21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 31st 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 5 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu30300.729.330
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz2221.87.514.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1010.2-2.112.311
4thHaYamin HeHadashBennett77-183
5thLaborGabbai76.8-1.98.718
6thUTJLitzman76.5-0.26.76
7thJoint ListOdeh66.20.2612
8thTaalTibi66.20.261
9thMeretzZandberg54.8-0.55.35
10thKulanuKahlon54.5-0.24.710
11thYisrael BeitenuLiberman44.5-0.24.75
12thShasDeri44.5-0.85.37
13thBayit Yehudi?44045
14thGesherLevy33-1.74.71
15thLivniLivni00006
16thOtherOthers00000
Right-Religious6161-1.762.766
Center-Left-Arab59591.757.354

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the four polls that were conducted after Gantz’s speech (Panels, Panel Project HaMidgam, Midgam and Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 28th 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 3-4 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu2929.3-2.231.530
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz1414.3212.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1212.3-0.71311
4thLaborGabbai98.70.97.818
5thHaYamin HeHadashBennett88083
6thJoint ListOdeh66n/a11.312
7thTaalTibi66n/an/a1
8thUTJLitzman76.7-0.16.86
9thShasDeri55.30.357
10thMeretzZandberg55.30.15.25
11thKulanuKahlon54.7-0.3510
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman54.704.75
13thGesherLevy54.70.24.51
14thBayit Yehudi?441.82.25
15thLivniLivni00-226
16thOtherOthers00-0.70.70
xRight-Religiousx6362.7-1.163.866
xCenter-Left-Arabx5757.31.156.254

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: Taal was polled together with The Joint List in one of the polls so I split their result evenly for the average. This is the first week where the two lists are being averaged separately.

Note #3: This week’s average is based on the three polls that were conducted during week five (Midgam, Direct Polls and Teleseker).

Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #5: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.

PlacePartyCurrent AvgChangeWeek 1 AVGCurrent
1stLikud28.81.227.630
2ndIsrael Resilience12.8-0.613.40
3rdYesh Atid12.7-0.112.811
4thJoint List11.7-0.712.413
5thHaYamin HeHadash8.8-1.610.43
6thLabor (*Week 1: Zionist Union)8.2-0.68.824
7thUTJ6.7-0.376
8thKulanu5.5-0.15.610
9thMeretz5.5-0.15.65
10thShas50.24.87
11thGesher4.80.24.61
12thYisrael Beitenu4.50.73.85
13thBayit Yehudi2.8-0.43.25
14thLivni (*Week 1: Zionist Union)1.51.500
15thOther0.70.700
Right-Religious62.80.462.466
Center-Left-Arab57.2-0.457.654

Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Dec 30 2018.

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls (Panels, Midgam, Sarid, Panel Project HaMidgam and Direct Polls) released on December 30 2018. It is being compared to the 2015 election results.

AVGCurrentParty
27.630Likud
13.40Israel Resilience
12.811Yesh Atid
12.413Joint List
10.43Yamin Hadash
8.824Zionist Union
76UTJ
5.610Kulanu
5.65Meretz
4.87Shas
4.61Gesher
3.85Yisrael Beitenu
3.25Bayit Yehudi
62.466Right-Religious
57.654Center-Left-Arab