KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Jan 14 2018.

Party KnessetJeremy Polling Average (Nov/Dec/Jan Last 10 Polls) 2017 AVG (36 Polls) 2016 AVG (32 Polls) All Polls (72 Polls from 2015-2018) 2015 Election
Likud 24.9 25.9 25.6 25.9 30
Yesh Atid 24.2 22.6 20.7 21.8 11
Zionist Union 16.1 15.1 13.4 14.4 24
Bayit Yehudi 12.9 12 12.2 12 8
Joint List 11 11.8 12.8 12.2 13
Kulanu 7.9 7.4 6.7 7.1 10
UTJ 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.4 6
Meretz 6.1 6 6 6 5
Yisrael Beitenu 5.6 6.5 8.6 7.4 6
Shas 3.9 5.3 6.5 5.8 7
Current Right-Religious Coalition 62.4 64.5 67 65.6 67
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 57.6 55.5 53 54.4 53
Party 72 Poll Avg 72 Poll Placing Avg 2015 Election 2015 Placing Up/Down
Likud 25.9 1st 30 1st 0
Yesh Atid 21.8 2nd 11 4th 2
Zionist Union 14.4 3rd 24 2nd -1
Joint List 12.2 4th 13 3rd -1
Bayit Yehudi 12 5th 8 6th 1
UTJ 7.4 6th 6 9th 3
Yisrael Beitenu 7.4 7th 6 8th 1
Kulanu 7.1 8th 10 5th -3
Meretz 6 9th 5 10th 1
Shas 5.8 10th 7 7th -3
Current Right-Religious Coalition 65.6 n/a 67 n/a n/a
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 54.4 n/a 53 n/a n/a

Notes: The KnessetJeremy Polling Average tracks the most recent polling numbers. This page is updated as new polls are added to the site and the KnessetJeremy poll database.

The “KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls” is currently averaging the 10 most recent polls from November & December 2017 and January 2018.

The current KJPA is being compared to an average of the 35 polls conducted in 2017, an average of the 32 polls conducted in 2016, an average of 72 polls conducted since the 2015 election (including a 2015 poll and 3 2018 polls) and the 2015 election results.

To provide additional context there is a 72-poll average that presents the average for the entire term in comparison to their ranking in the 2015 election.

There have been 77 opinion polls released by the top polling companies to the public over the last 3 years (minus two months) since the last election in March 2015.

I have left out five 2017 polls so that I can maintain a model of 120 seats. Two scenario polls of Midgam (116 seats), Maagar Mochot (117 seats) that give seats to a Yaalon Party that is not passing the threshold in current polls, two HaMidgam Project polls (117 seats each) that give 3 seats to Shas, which is not enough to pass the threshold, and a leaked Yisrael Beitenu internal poll by Panorama that does not meet my criteria of a poll conducted by the top 10 Israeli polling companies.

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