Tag Archive: israel poll


Short Summary of the 20 Knesset Terms & 34 Governments

Includes the Phase 1-2-3 results and coalition government majority numbers throughout the term. You can read more about the Phase 1-2-3 System here: 

 

Provisional State Council:

May 14, 1948 – February 14, 1949

Prime Minister: David Ben Gurion

No Phase System.

 

1st Knesset:

February 14, 1949 – August 20, 1951

Prime Minister: David Ben Gurion (Mapai)

Phase 1: Mapai wins with 46 seats.

Phase 2: Ben Gurion is nominated by 73 MKs.

Phase 3: 1st Government is confirmed by 73 MKs.

1st Government Term: 10 March 1949 30 October 1950

Ben Gurion resigned on 15 October 1950 to form a new government. The 1st government remained for 16 days until the 2nd government was formed.

2nd Government Formed: 1 November 1950 8 October 1951

Ben Gurion’s first attempt at forming the 2nd government failed when only 52 MKs supported his government. His second attempt produced the same 73 MK coalition as the 1st Government. The 2nd Government eventually fell causing early elections.

 

2nd Knesset:

August 20, 1951 – August 15, 1955

Prime Ministers: David Ben Gurion (Mapai) & Moshe Sharet (Mapai)

Phase 1: Mapai wins with 45 seats.

Phase 2: Ben Gurion is nominated by 65 MKs.

Phase 3: 3rd Government is confirmed by 65 MKs.

3rd Government Term: 8 October 1951 24 December 1952

On 23 September 1952 the Haredi parties left the 3rd Government and the coalition dropped to 60 seats. Ben Gurion resigned on 19 December 1952 to form the fourth government.

4th Government Formed: 24 December 1952 26 January 1954

Ben Gurion formed a larger coalition of 87 MKs. The General Zionists left the coalition briefly from 26 May – 2 June 1953 bringing the coalition down to 64 MKs, but the party returned for the remainder of the Government term. The government fell when Ben Gurion announced on 6 December 1953 that he was retiring to the Negev. Moshe Sharet won an internal Mapai party power struggle with Levi Eshkol and formed the 5th Government.

Ben Gurion Retires – Replaced by Sharet

Phase 2: Sharet is nominated by 89 MKs.

Phase 3: 5th Government is confirmed by 89 MKs.

5th Government Formed: 26 January 1954 29 June 1955

Sharet resigned on 29 June 1955 to form the 6th Government.

6th Government Formed: 29 June 1955 3 November 1955

Sharet formed a smaller coalition of 66 MKs. The 6th Government remained in place until elections were held for the 3rd Knesset.

 

3rd Knesset:

August 15, 1955 – November 30, 1959

Prime Minister: David Ben Gurion (Mapai)

Phase 1: Mapai wins with 40 seats.

Phase 2: Ben Gurion is nominated by 80 MKs.

Phase 3: 7th Government is confirmed by 80 MKs.

7th Government Formed: 3 November 1955 7 January 1958

Ben Gurion resigned on 31 December 1957 to form the 8th Government.

8th Government Term: 7 January 1958 17 December 1959

Ben Gurion formed another coalition with 80 MKs. He resigned on 5 July 1959 and the government acted as a caretaker government until elections were held for the 4th Knesset.

 

4th Knesset

November 30, 1959 – September 04, 1961

Prime Minister: David Ben Gurion (Mapai)

Phase 1: Mapai wins with 47 seats.

Phase 2: Ben Gurion is nominated by 86 MKs.

Phase 3: 9th Government is confirmed by 86 MKs.

9th Government Formed: 17 December 1959 2 November 1961

Ben Gurion’s coalition grew from 86 to 89 MKs when one of the Haredi parties joined the coalition on 19 July 1960. Ben Gurion resigned on 31 January 1961 and the 9th Government acted as a caretaker government until early elections were held for the 5th Knesset.

 

5th Knesset

September 04, 1961– November 22, 1965

Prime Minister: David Ben Gurion (Mapai) & Levi Eshkol (Mapai)

Phase 1: Mapai wins with 42 seats.

Phase 2: Ben Gurion is nominated by 68 MKs.

Phase 3: 10th Government is confirmed by 68 MKs.

10th Government Formed: 2 November 1961 26 June 1963

Ben Gurion failed to form a government and returned his mandate to the President. Eshkol received the mandate and formed the government with Ben Gurion as Prime Minister. Ben Gurion resigned on 16 June 1963 and retired for a second time from politics.

Ben Gurion Retires – Replaced by Eshkol

Phase 2: Eshkol is nominated by 68 MKs.

Phase 3: 11th Government is confirmed by 68 MKs.

11th Government Term: 26 June 1963 22 December 1964

Eshkol carried on with the same 68 MK coalition that existed in the 10th Government. Eshkol resigned on 15 December 1964 to form a new government.

12th Government Term: 22 December 1964 12 January 1966

Eshkol formed a coalition of 67 MKs that lasted for the remainder of the 5th Knesset.

 

6th Knesset

November 22, 1965 – November 17, 1969

Prime Minister: Levi Eshkol (Alignment), Yigal Alon (Alignment) & Golda Meir (Alignment)

Phase 1: Alignment wins with 45 seats.

Phase 2: Eshkol is nominated by 75 MKs.

Phase 3: 13th Government is confirmed by 75 MKs.

13th Government Formed: 12 January 1966 17 March 1969

Eshkol’s coalition grew from 75 to 85 when Gachal joined the 13th Government on 1 June 1967 (ahead of the 6-Day-War). By 5 June 1967 the 13th Government had a coalition of 111 of the 120 MKs. This was the largest coalition in Israeli history. By the start of 1969 the Alignment had grown to 63 MKs. Eshkol died in office on 2 February 1969. Deputy Prime Minister Yigal Alon served as Interim Prime Minister for the 19 days until the 14th Government was formed. Meir emerged from the internal party struggle to lead the Alignment which automatically gave her a majority of 63 MKs before she formed her coalition.

Eshkol dies in office – Alon serves in interim – Meir takes over

Phase 2: Meir was nominated by 104 MKs.

Phase 3: 14th Government was confirmed by 104 MKs.

14th Government Term: 17 March 1969 15 December 1969

Meir’s 14th Government of 104 MKs was smaller than the outgoing 111 MK coalition of the 13th Government. The 14th Government remained in place for the remainder of the 6th Knesset.

 

7th Knesset

November 17, 1969 – January 21, 1974

Prime Minister: Golda Meir (Alignment)

Phase 1: Alignment wins with 56 seats.

Phase 2: Meir is nominated by 102 MKs.

Phase 3: 15th Government is confirmed by 102 MKs.

15th Government Formed:  15 December 1969 10 March 1974

Meir’s 15th Government of 102 MKs was smaller than her outgoing 104 MK coalition of the 14th Government. The 15th Government dropped to 76 MKs when Gachal left the coalition on 6 August 1970. The Government and Knesset extended its term due to Yom Kippur War.

 

8th Knesset

January 21, 1974 – June 13, 1977

Prime Minister: Golda Meir (Alignment) & Yitzhak Rabin (Alignment)

Phase 1: Alignment wins with 51 seats.

Phase 2: Meir is nominated by 68 MKs.

Phase 3: 16th Government is confirmed by 68 MKs.

16th Government Formed:  10 March 1974 3 June 1974

Meir resigned on 11 April 1974 making the 16th Government the shortest-lived Government in Israeli history. Rabin defeated Peres 298-254 in the Central Committee to replace Meir as the Party Chair.

Meir retires – Replaced by Rabin

Phase 2: Rabin is nominated by 61 MKs.

Phase 3: 17th Government is confirmed by 61 MKs.

17th Government Term: 3 June 1974 20 June 1977

Rabin formed a narrow 61 MKs coalition, the first of its kind. The National Religious Party joined the coalition on 29 October 1974 and increased the coalition to 71 MKs. Ratz left the coalition on 6 November 1974 and the coalition dropped to 68 MKs. After the National Religious Party left the coalition on 22 December 1977 Rabin’s Government was a minority Government of 58 MKs, the first of its kind, and served as a caretaker Government until the end of the term.

 

9th Knesset

June 13, 1977 – July 20, 1981

Prime Minister: Menachem Begin (Likud)

Phase 1: Likud wins with 43 seats.

Phase 2: Begin is nominated by 62 MKs.

Phase 3: 18th Government is confirmed by 62 MKs.

18th Government Formed:  20 June 1977 5 August 1981

Begin’s coalition grew from 62 to 77 when Dash joined the government on 24 October 1977. On 14 September 1978 the coalition dropped to 69. On 23 October 1979 the coalition dropped to 68. On 10 March 1981 the coalition returned to 62 MKs for the remainder of the term. Early elections were called by the Knesset.

 

10th Knesset

July 20, 1981 – August 13, 1984

Prime Minister: Menachem Begin (Likud) and Yitzhak Shamir (Likud)

Phase 1: Likud wins with 48 seats.

Phase 2: Begin is nominated by 61 MKs.

Phase 3: 19th Government is confirmed by 61 MKs.

19th Government Formed:  5 August 1981 28 August 1983

Begin’s coalition grew from 61 to 63 with the addition of Telem on 5 July 1982. On 26 July 1982 the coalition grew to 65 MKs. The coalition dropped to 64 MKs on 6 June 1983 until the end of the 19th Government. Begin resigned on 28 August 1983. Labor had grown to 50 MKs compared to Likud which had dropped to 46 MKs. On 1 September Shamir defeated David Levy and became Likud Chair. Despite Labor being the larger party, President Chaim Herzog who was from the Alignment was forced to give the mandate to Shamir first because he secured 64 MK Phase 2 nominations.

Begin retires – Replaced by Shamir

Phase 2: Shamir is nominated by 64 MKs.

Phase 3: 20th Government confirmed by 62 MKs.

20th Government Term: 10 October 1983 13 September 1984

Shamir was the first Prime Minister to serve when his party was not the largest in the Knesset. Shamir’s Government was also the first Government to have a drop off between the number of MKs who nominated him in Phase 2 and the confirmation of the Government in Phase 3. Shamir’s Government dropped from 62 to 61 MKs on 31 January 1984. The Knesset called for early elections.

 

11th Knesset

August 13, 1984 – November 21, 1988

Prime Minister: Shimon Peres (Alignment) and Yitzhak Shamir (Likud)

Phase 1: Alignment wins with 44 MKs.

Phase 2: Peres nominated by 54 MKs.

Rotation Government Agreement with Peres & Shamir is nominated by 97 MKs.

Phase 3: 21st Government is confirmed by 97 MKs.

21st Government Formed: 13 September 1984 20 October 1986

For the first time no party received 61 Phase 2 nominations. Peres received the most nominations with 54 and President Herzog gave him the chance to form a government. After many failures and a long process, it was decided to form a National Unity Government that would split the term between Peres and Shamir as Prime Minister. The Peres led coalition had 97 MKs until 29 July 1986 when it dropped to 96 MKs. Peres resigned at the half-way point as agreed upon so that Shamir could form the 22nd Government.

22nd Government Term: 20 October 1986 22 December 1988

Shamir’s 22nd Government enjoyed a 96 MK coalition until Shinui left on 26 May 1987, leaving the coalition with a 93 MK majority. This was the last Knesset term where early elections were avoided, and the elections were held on time.

 

12th Knesset

November 21, 1988 – July 13, 1992

Prime Minister: Yitzhak Shamir (Likud)

Phase 1: Likud wins with 40 seats.

Phase 2: Shamir nominated by 65 MKs.

Phase 3: 23rd Government is confirmed by 97 MKs.

23rd Government Formed: 22 December 1988 11 June 1990

Shamir’s 23rd Government enjoyed a 97 MK majority until the “stinky maneuver” in which the Government fell in a no-confidence motion and the Alignment left the coalition on 15 March 1990 with just 58 MKs. The 23rd Government served as a caretaker Government until the 24th Government was formed.

Peres attempts and fails to form government.

Phase 2: Peres was nominated by 55 MKs.

Phase 2: Shamir was nominated by 61 MKs.

Phase 3: 24th Government is confirmed by 61 MKs.

24th Government Formed: 11 June 1990 13 July 1992

Peres got the first crack at forming the 24th Government when he produced the most nominations in Phase 2 following the no-confidence vote. Peres got as close as 60 MKs but failed to secure 61 MKs. Shamir was nominated by 61 MKs and was approved by 61 MKs. At the start of the 24th Government the coalition consisted of 59 MKs with the 2 Moledet MKs providing a “security blanket” in the opposition. On 2 July 1990 the coalition grew to 60 MKs. Agudat Yisrael officially joined the coalition on 19 November 1990 and the coalition increased to 64 MKs. Moledet joined the coalition on 5 February 1991 increasing the coalition to 66 MKs. On 31 December 1991 Tzomet left the Government and the coalition decreased to 64 MKs. On 21 January 1992 Techiya and Moledet left the Government and the coalition dropped to 59 MKs. The Knesset voted for early elections and the minority government served as a caretaker Government until the end of the term.

 

13th Knesset

July 13, 1992 – June 17, 1996

Prime Minister: Yitzhak Rabin (Labor) and Shimon Peres (Labor)

Phase 1: Labor wins with 44 seats.

Phase 2: Rabin nominated by 61 MKs.

Phase 3: 25th Government is confirmed by 67 MKs.

25th Government Formed: 13 July 1992 22 November 1995

Rabin’s coalition started with 62 MKs with a “security blanket” from the 5 MKs from the Arab Parties. Shas left the Government on 14 September 1993 and the coalition dropped to 56 MKs. It was the first time that a coalition had a Minority Government in the middle of a term. It survived thanks to the security blanket of the 5 opposition MKs who refused to topple the Government. Yiud split from Tzomet and joined the coalition on 2 January 1995 and the coalition increased to 59 MKs, while maintaining their security blanket of 5 MKs. On 4 November 1995 Rabin was assassinated and Peres served as interim Prime Minister until he formed the 26th Government.

Direct Elections Law Passes – Rabin assassinated – Peres takes over

26th Government Term: 22 November 1995 18 June 1996

In 1992 the Direct Elections Law removed the Phase 1-2-3 system and instituted the Direct Elections System that would be in place until 2003. Peres was selected by the cabinet to form the next Government. The coalition consisted of 58 MKs and a security blanket of 5 MKs. The coalition increased to 59 MKs on 7 March 1996 when an independent joined the coalition.

 

14th Knesset

June 17, 1996 – June 07, 1999

Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud)

Direct Elections: 50.5% Netanyahu, 49.5% Peres

27th Government Formed: 18 June 1996 6 July 1999

Netanyahu formed a coalition of 66 MKs which he maintained throughout the 27th Government. Labor was the larger party with 34 seats to Likud’s 32 seats. Netanyahu called early elections when he saw his coalition was falling apart.

 

15th Knesset

June 07, 1999 – February 17, 2003

Prime Minister: Ehud Barak (One Israel) and Ariel Sharon (Likud)

Direct Elections: Barak 56.1%, Netanyahu 43.9%

28th Government Formed: 6 July 1999 7 March 2001

Barak formed a coalition of 75 MKs that lasted until 5 September 1999 when UTJ left his coalition with 70 MKs. Yisrael B’Aliya, Shas & the National Religious Party resigned leaving his coalition with 32 MKs on 12 July 2000. Barak chose to resign as Prime Minister and have elections for Prime Minister without having elections for the Knesset. 28th Government served as caretaker Government through the election cycle and until the formation of the 29th Government.

Direct Elections: Sharon 62.4%, Barak 37.6%

Sharon defeats Barak in Direct Election Prime Minister Vote

29th Government Term: 7 March 2001 28 February 2003

Sharon formed a coalition of 80 MKs. One Israel (Labor) was the larger party with 23 seats to Likud’s 19, yet Labor still joined Sharon’s coalition. Over the course of the term the coalition went up and down. The coalition increased to 83, dropped to 81, dropped again to 74, increased to 82, dropped to 65 and increased again to 82, before dropping to 79 seats. On 2 November 2003 the coalition dropped to 53 MKs when Labor left the coalition. Sharon decided to seek early elections instead of forming a new Government.

Direct Elections are cancelled, and Israel returns to Phase 1-2-3 system

 

16th Knesset

February 17, 2003 – April 17, 2006

Prime Minister: Ariel Sharon (Likud & Kadima) and Ehud Olmert (Kadima)

Phase 1: Likud wins with 38 seats, 40 seats after Yisrael B’Aliyah merger.

Phase 2: Sharon nominated by 87 MKs.

Phase 3: 30th Government is confirmed by 68 MKs.

30th Government Formed: 28 February 2003 4 May 2006

Sharon was nominated by 87 MKs but formed a coalition with 68 MKs. Sharon relied at various points on different security nets to ensure the survival of his Government. Over the course of the term the coalition dropped to 61, dropped again to 55 and dropped even further to 40 MKs before increasing to 59, increasing again to 64 and dropping to 45 MKs. After Sharon formed Kadima, Likud dropped out of the coalition leaving the 30th Government with just 20 MKs leading to the Knesset calling for early elections. Following Sharon’s stroke on 28 February 2006 Olmert served first as acting and then interim Prime Minister in the caretaker government.

 

17th Knesset

April 17, 2006 – February 24, 2009

Prime Minister: Ehud Olmert (Kadima)

Phase 1: Kadima wins with 29 seats.

Phase 2: Olmert is nominated by 59 MKs.

Phase 3: 31st Government is confirmed by 67 MKs.

31st Government Formed: 4 May 2006 31 March 2009

Olmert’s coalition had 67 MKs until Yisrael Beitenu joined on 30 October 2006 when it increased to 78 MKs. After Yisrael Beitenu left the coalition on 18 January 2008 the coalition returned to 67 MKs. Olmert announced on 30 July 2008 that he planned to resign as Prime Minister. On 17 September Livni won her primary and was chosen to lead Kadima. On 21 September Olmert resigned as Prime Minister and the 31st Government became a caretaker Government. Livni informed President Peres on 26 October that she had failed to form a Government and that the Knesset would vote for an early election instead. Olmert remained Prime Minister until the 32nd Government was formed.

Livni fails to form Government

Phase 2: Livni is nominated by 38 MKs.

 

18th Knesset

February 24, 2009 – February 05, 2013

Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud)

Phase 1: Kadima wins with 28 seats.

Phase 2: Netanyahu is nominated by 65 MKs.

Phase 3: 32nd Government is confirmed by 74 MKs.

32nd Government Formed: 31 March 2009 18 March 2013

Livni’s Kadima won Phase 1, but Netanyahu won Phase 2 with 65 nominations. He formed a coalition of 74 MKs that dropped to 66 MKs on 17 January 2011 when Barak split Labor into two. The Independence Party went into the coalition and Labor went the opposition. On 8 May 2012 Kadima under the new leadership of Mofaz joined the Government to give the coalition a 94 MK majority, the largest coalition since 1990. On 17 July 2012 Kadima left the Government and the coalition returned to 66 MKs. In October 2012 the Knesset voted for early elections to be held in January 2013 instead of October 2013.

 

19th Knesset

February 05, 2013 – March 31, 2015

Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud)

Phase 1: Likud Beitenu wins with 31 seats.

Phase 2: Netanyahu is nominated by 82 MKs.

Phase 3: 33rd Government is confirmed by 68 MKs.

33rd Government Formed: 18 March 2013 14 May 2015

Netanyahu formed a coalition of 68 MKs. Likud and Yisrael Beitenu split during the term and by the end of term Yesh Atid’ with 19 seats was larger than Likud’s 18 seats. Netanyahu fired Lapid & Livni on 2 December 2014. After Yesh Atid & Livni’s Party left the coalition the 32nd Government was left with 43 MKs leading to an early election.

 

20th Knesset

March 31, 2015 – Present

Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu

Phase 1: Likud wins with 30 seats.

Phase 2: Netanyahu is nominated by 67 MKs.

Phase 3: 34th Government is confirmed by 61 MKs.

34th Government Formed: 14 May 2015 Present

Netanyahu formed a coalition of 61 MKs, the narrowest coalition at the start of a term since 1995. The coalition grew to 67 MKs when Yisrael Beitenu joined the coalition on 25 May 2016. It dropped to 66 when Orly Levy left Yisrael Beitenu and the coalition. It dropped back to 61 MKs when Yisrael Beitenu left the coalition on 18 November 2018.

The next Knesset election is currently scheduled for 5 November 2019

Panels conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Walla that was published on Nov 21 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #1: With Gantz leading Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
26 [24] Zionist Union led by Gantz
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #2: With Gantz leading a new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [–] Gantz Party
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #3: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud led by Saar
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 14% Don’t know, 12% None of the above, 11% Gantz, 6% Saar, 6% Lapid, 5% Livni, 4% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

Was the Prime Minister correct for keeping Defense Minister for himself and not giving it to Naftali Bennett?

44% Yes, 31% No, 31% Don’t know

Was Naftali Bennett correct in his decision not to resign and avoid early elections?

54% Yes, 25% No, 21% Don’t know

Do you support early elections?

46% No, 40% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Army Radio conducted a poll for Midgam that was broadcast on Nov 20 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

The main objective of Netanyahu’s speech was political or national security interests?

58% Political interests, 31% National security interests, 11% Don’t know

Center-left voters: 80% Political interests

Will Netanyahu as Defense Minister do a better job than Liberman in regards to the situation in the south?

52% No difference, 19% Yes, 16% No, 13% Don’t know

Right wing voters: 30% Yes

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Midgam/Channel 13 Poll

Midgam conducted a poll of 539 people for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 19 2018.

Who do you want to see as Defense Minister?

28% Gantz, 20% Don’t know, 13% None of the above, 11% Ashkenazi, 10% Bennett, 7% Netanyahu, 6% Galant, 5% Barak

Do the recent political developments justify or not justify early elections?

46% Justify, 40% Don’t Justify, 14% Don’t know

 

Poll #2: Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 Poll

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 701 people for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Nov 19 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [24] Zionist Union
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
15 [–] Gantz Party
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

58 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
62 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Midgam/Channel 13 Poll

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 17 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Gantz as part of Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud
24 [24] Zionist Union with Gantz
14 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Was Liberman’s decision to resign the correct move?

59% Yes, 26% No, 15% Don’t know

What is the main motive behind Liberman’s resignation?

49% Disagreement with cabinet decision, 36% Personal political reasons, 11% Don’t know, 4% Disagreements with the IDF

Is it the right move to appoint Minister Naftali Bennett as Defense Minister?

51% No, 25% Don’t know, 24% Yes

Have recent political developments justified the call for early elections?

53% Yes, 32% No, 15% Don’t know

 

Poll #2: Panels/Maariv Poll

Panels conducted a poll of 586 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Nov 16 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

69 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud led by Saar
16 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased or not pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct during the latest round with Hamas?

70% No, 19% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Likud voters: 50% Yes, 44% No, 6% Don’t know

Are you pleased or not pleased with Defense Minister Liberman’s conduct during the latest round with Hamas?

66% No, 20% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Yisrael Beitenu voters: 50% Yes, 41% No, 9% Don’t know

Did Liberman do the right thing by resigning as Defense Minister?

55% Yes, 23% Don’t know, 22% No

Yisrael Beitenu voters: 68% Yes, 23% No, 9% Don’t know

Do you support Liberman’s call for early elections?

43% Yes, 34% No, 23% Don’t know

Who won in the latest round?

Hamas 50%, Don’t know 31%, Israel 19%

Who should replace Liberman as Defense Minister?

None 27%, Galant 23%, Bennett 20%, Erdan 3%, Y.Katz 2%

 

Poll #3: Smith/Channel 20 Poll

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4 margin of error for Channel 20 that was broadcast on Nov 15 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

69 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who of the following people is most suited to serve as Defense Minister?

30% Netanyahu, 29% No Opinion, 15% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 8% Bennett, 5% Liberman, 4% Gabbai

Likud voters: 60% Netanyahu, 23% Other person, 17% No opinion
Zionist Union voters: 36% Gantz, 15% Gabbai
Yesh Atid voters: 33% Lapid, 16% Gantz, 10% Netanyahu
Bayit Yehudi voters: 31% Bennett, 29% Netanyahu
Yisrael Beitenu voters: 30% Liberman, 20% Netanyahu, 10% Bennett
Kulanu voters: 39% No opinion, 28% Gantz, 18% Netanyahu, 15% Others

Additional note: Netanyahu leads among Haredim, religious and traditional voters. Among secular voters 22% chose Gantz and 18% chose Netanyahu.

Do you agree or disagree with the argument that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas is an act of giving in to terror?

75% Agree, 25% Disagree

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

 

 

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 15 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
15 [–] New Gantz Party
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average has been updated at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

 

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with the conduct of PM Netanyahu during the security escalation?

74% No, 17% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of DM Liberman during the security escalation?

69% No, 19% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of IDF COS Eizenkot during the security escalation?

51% No, 35% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Snapshot on Nov 5 2018, one year before the scheduled Nov 5 2019 Elections:

KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Nov 5 2018.

Notes: The KnessetJeremy Polling Average tracks the most recent polling numbers. This page is updated as new polls are added to the site and the KnessetJeremy poll database.

Party KnessetJeremy Polling Average (5 Polls of last 3 months) 2018 AVG (41 Polls) 2017 AVG (44 Polls) 2016 AVG (33 Polls) All Polls (118 Polls from 2015-2018) 2015 Election
Likud 32.4 31 25.9 25.7 27.6 30
Yesh Atid 18 20.6 22.7 20.5 21.4 11
Joint List 12.2 11.6 11.8 12.8 12 13
Zionist Union 11.6 12.4 15 13.6 13.7 24
Bayit Yehudi 10.8 10.5 12 12.2 11.5 8
UTJ 7 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.4 6
Kulanu 6.4 6.8 7.3 6.6 6.9 10
Meretz 6.2 6.5 6 6 6.2 5
Yisrael Beitenu 5.6 5.8 6.5 8.6 6.8 6
Orly Levy/Others 5.4 3.3 0.3 0 1.3 0
Shas 4.4 4.2 5.1 6.5 5.2 7
Current Right-Religious Coalition 66.6 65.6 64.5 67.1 65.6 67
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 53.4 54.4 55.5 52.9 54.4 53
Party 118 Poll Avg 118 Poll Placing Avg 2015 Election 2015 Placing Up/Down
Likud 27.6 1st 30 1st 0
Yesh Atid 21.4 2nd 11 4th 2
Zionist Union 13.7 3rd 24 2nd -1
Joint List 12 4th 13 3rd -1
Bayit Yehudi 11.5 5th 8 6th 1
UTJ 7.4 6th 6 9th 3
Kulanu 6.9 7th 10 5th -2
Yisrael Beitenu 6.8 8th 6 8th 0
Meretz 6.2 9th 5 10th 1
Shas 5.2 10th 7 7th -3
Others 1.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Current Right-Religious Coalition 65.6 n/a 67 n/a n/a
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition 54.4 n/a 53 n/a n/a

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls from the months of August, September & October 2018. It is being compared to an average of 41 polls conducted in 2018, an average of 44 polls conducted in 2017, an average of the 33 polls (32 conducted in 2016 and one 2015 poll), an average of 118 polls conducted since the 2015 election and the 2015 election results.

To provide additional context there is a 118-poll average that presents the average for the entire term in comparison to their ranking in the 2015 election. Coalition vs Opposition numbers include parties that do not pass the threshold such as Yachad, Yaalon and Zehut.

There have been 118 opinion polls released by the top polling companies to the public over the last 43 months since the last election in March 2015.

The 2016 average is of 7 Smith, 6 Panels, 5 Midgam, 5 Geocartography, 4 HaMidgam Project, 3 Maagar Mochot, 2 Teleseker & 1 202 Strategies poll.

The 2017 average is of 11 HaMidgam Project, 8 Panels, 8 Midgam, 8 Geocartography, 4 Maagar Mochot, 3 Smith, 1 Teleseker & 1 Shavkim Panorama poll.

The 2018 average is of 13 Panels, 9 Midgam, 7 HaMidgam Project, 5 Geocartography, 4 Smith and 2 Maagar Mochot poll.

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 696 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Oct 25 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [24] Zionist Union
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Likud led by Saar

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud led by Saar
19 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average has been updated here: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 718 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Oct 11 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Benny Gantz Party
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Ehud Barak as leader of Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Question:

Do you support preventing an indictment against a sitting Prime Minister?

58% Don’t support, 24% Support, 18% Don’t know
Likud voters: 45% Support, 32% Don’t support, 23% Don’t know
Poll #2

Maagar Mochot conducted two scenario polls of 500 people with a 3.4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Oct 11 2018. The poll was conducted Oct 8-10.

Scenario Poll #1: With New Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
14 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [01] Orly Levy
08 [–] Gantz Party
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario #2: With Gantz as #2 in Yesh Atid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [24] Zionist Union
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

The 3 Latest Polls

Poll #1

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 12 & 13 that was broadcast on Oct 7 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [–-] Zehut – 1.2%
00 [–-] Yaalon – 1.1%
00 [–-] Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [–] Benny Gantz Party
10 [24] Zionist Union

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 12% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 5% Liberman, 4% Gabbai, 1% Bennett

 

Poll # 2

Panels conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Sep 5 2018. It was conducted on Sep 2-3.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud led by Saar
20 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [24] Zionist Union
09 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Question:

Likud voters: Who should replace Netanyahu when he leaves?

33% Don’t know, 16% Saar, 12% Shaked, 10% Regev, 8% Erdan, 8% Liberman, 7% Katz, 6% Kahlon

Poll #3

Midgam conducted a poll of 516 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Aug 25 2018. It was conducted on Aug 23-24.

Are you satisfied from the conduct of the following ministers (% that responded yes)?

1: 57% Shaked
2: 51% Bennett
3: 51% Netanyahu
4: 50% Y.Katz
5: 47% Erdan
6: 41% Kahlon
7: 40% Regev
8: 37% Liberman
9: 34% Litzman
10: 22% C.Katz
11: 17% Deri

Are you pleased or not pleased with the government policy during the Gaza crisis?

74% No, 19% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Defense Minister Liberman & Minister Bennett are taking shots at one another over how to manage the conflict against Hamas in Gaza. Who is correct?

37% Bennett, 33% Liberman, 30% Don’t know/Refuse to answer

Do you support Transportation Minister Katz’s decision to cancel the work going on during the Sabbath in order to create a new pedestrian bridge over the Ayalon highway?

59% No, 29% Yes, 12% No opinion

 

Note: The polling average has been updated here: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/