Tag Archive: Polls


Panels conducted a poll of 539 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 17 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Lapid + Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under 3.25% threshold
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

40% Center, 26% Don’t know, 23% Left, 11% Right

Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 people with a 3.1% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Green Leaf
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note #1: In this poll there is a combined 7.3% of votes under the threshold – that would be around 320,000 votes
Note #2: 20% are undecided on their vote and could change their minds (22% Center, 17% Left, 15% Right)(25% female, 15% Male).
Note #3: Undecided voters – 19% Israel Resilience, 15% Labor, 12% Yesh Atid, 11% Likud, 10% Livni, 8% Meretz, 8% Gesher
Note: 79% are sure they will vote on eleciton day.

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz, 22% Neither, 14% Don’t know

38% Netanyahu, 30% Neither, 21% Lapid, 11% Don’t know

TNS conducted a poll of 527 people for Channel 11 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Joint UTJ+Shas list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where would you place Benny Gantz on the political map?

36% Center, 26% Left, 26% No Opinion, 12% Right

Shiluv Poll of Haredim

Shiluv conducted a poll for HaMishpacha that was published on Jan 16 2019.

Should the Haredi parties run on a joint list?

Yes: 71% of Sephardim, 58% of Haredalim, 52% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
No: 22%. That includes 16% of Lithuanians, 11% of Sephardim and 9% of Hasidim

Will you vote for a joint Haredi list?

Yes: 81% of Sephardim 74% of Hasidim 68% of Haredalim and 61% of Lithuanians

Who would you vote for today?

51% for United Torah Judaism, 22% for Shas, 4% for Yahad and 4% for Bnei Torah

79% of Lithuanians and 68% of Hasidim will vote for United Torah Judaism, 65% of the Sephardim will vote for Shas

Should Netanyahu resign when an indictment is filed against him?

No: 65% of Sephardim, 55% of Hasidim, and 50% of Lithuanian
Yes: 18% of Hasidim, 12% of Lithuanians and 11% of Sephardim

Are you right or left?

Haredi public: 57% right, 13% center, 1% left
Right: 70% of Sephardim, 67% of hardalim, 60% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
Left: 2% Lithuanians, 1% Sephardim, 1% Hasidim

Last 2 Radio 103 FM Polls

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 11 2019.

Did the Netanyahu speech change your opinion of him?

45% No change, 36% Negatively affected, 14% Strengthened their support, 5% Don’t know

Likud voters: 13% Negatively affected

Who is the most suitable candidate to serve as prime minister?

44% Netanyahu, 21% Gantz, 20% Don’t know, 10% Lapid, 5% Gabbai

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 4 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Question for Likud voters: Would an indictment would you reconisder voting Likud?

30% Yes.

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 694 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Jan 8 2019.

Between these two people who would you rather see as Prime Minister?

Netanyahu vs Gantz

41% Netanyahu, 38% Gantz, 21% Don’t know

Netanyahu vs Lapid

45% Netanyahu, 29% Lapid, 26% Don’t know

Do you believe Netanyahu that the investigations were conducted with a specific aim that was out to get him?

49% Don’t believe Netanyahu, 33% Believe Netanyahu, 18% Don’t know

Jewish voters: 38% Believe Netanyahu

Was the announcement yesterday “dramatic”?

57% No, 22% Didn’t watch it, 16% Yes, 5% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – 2.9% is under 3.25% electoral threshold
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz, Kahlon and Ashekenazi on same list?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [10] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Kulanu (Kahlon) + Ashkenazi
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.-Kahlon
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.+Kahlon

Additional Questions:

After hearing Prime Minister Netanyahu’s speech, should the Attorney general publish his recommendation on indicting the Prime Minister before the elections?

52% Yes, 28% Don’t know, 20% No

Likud voters: 46% No, 28% Yes, 26% Don’t know

The Prime Minister is arguing that the criminal and justice system has been against him and not acted fairly. Do you agree with this argument?

48% No, 36% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Likud voters: 79% Yes, 17% No, 4% Don’t know

Can the Prime Minister remain in his position even after being indicted?

48% No, 37% Yes, 15% Don’t know

Likud voters: 80% Yes, 12% Don’t know, 8% No

Direct Polls conducted a poll of center-left voters that was published by Makor Rishon on January 6 2019.

Do you support removing Avi Gabbai as Labor Chairman?

54.1% Yes, 36.8% No, 9.1% Don’t know

Do you support Gabbai’s move to end the partnership of the Zionist Union?

52.1% No, 22.9% Support the move but not the way it was done, 21% Yes, 4% Don’t know

Who should lead the Labor list in the next elections if not Avi Gabbai?

25.3% Gantz, 18.6% Barak, 12.4% Livni, 12.2% Don’t know, 11.8% Yachimovich, 10.8% Ashkenazi, 8.9% Shapir

Should Labor run alone or join a Center-left alliance?

76.6% Run as an alliance, 18.8% Run alone, 4.6% Don’t know

The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:

https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.

PlacePartyCurrent AvgChangeWeek 1 AVGCurrent
1stLikud28.81.227.630
2ndIsrael Resilience12.8-0.613.40
3rdYesh Atid12.7-0.112.811
4thJoint List11.7-0.712.413
5thHaYamin HeHadash8.8-1.610.43
6thLabor (*Week 1: Zionist Union)8.2-0.68.824
7thUTJ6.7-0.376
8thKulanu5.5-0.15.610
9thMeretz5.5-0.15.65
10thShas50.24.87
11thGesher4.80.24.61
12thYisrael Beitenu4.50.73.85
13thBayit Yehudi2.8-0.43.25
14thLivni (*Week 1: Zionist Union)1.51.500
15thOther0.70.700
Right-Religious62.80.462.466
Center-Left-Arab57.2-0.457.654

Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)