Tag Archive: Polls


Smith conducted a poll of 700 people that was published on March 30 2020. The poll was conducted after the official split of Gantz & Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
15 [17] Blue & White – Derech Eretz (Gantz & Ashkenazi)
11 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid & Yaalon)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

?% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
?% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

78 [76] Future Netanyahu-Gantz Coalition
42 [44] Future Opposition

Note: Blue & White voters split as follows – 34% stayed with Gantz, 25% left with Lapid, 14% Don’t know and 10% to Labor-Meretz.

Direct Polls conducted a poll that was published on March 27 2020. The poll was conducted after the vote that elected Speaker Gantz.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

38 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [33] Lapid Blue & White
15 [33] Gantz/Blue & White
15 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.30% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.65% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

75 [??] Future Netanyahu-Gantz Opposition
45 [??] Future Opposition

*Note: Blue & White will be officially dismantled next week and at that time it will be clear how many MKs are on each side of the split.

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 602 people with a 4.1% of margin of error that was published on March 20 2020. The poll was conducted March 19.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
15 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0.41% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.30% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.00% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

62 [58] Nominated Netanyahu (Current Government Coalition)
58 [61] Nominated Gantz (Current Opposition)
00 [01] Abstained (Gesher)

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 821 people with a 4.1% of margin of error that was published on March 17 2020. The poll was conducted March 14-16.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

39 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
16 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [06] Yamina (Bennett)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.75% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.34% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.00% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

61 [58] Nominated Netanyahu (Current Government Coalition)
59 [61] Nominated Gantz (Current Opposition)
00 [01] Abstained (Gesher)

Midgam conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.4% of margin of error that was broadcast by N12 (Channel 12) on March 12 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

37 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
33 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
15 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [07] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
06 [06] Yamina (Bennett)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

61 [62] Anti-Netanyahu Bloc (Current Opposition)
59 [58] Netanyahu Bloc (Current Government Coalition)

*Note: Bloc system will be adjusted based on the recommendations at the President’s Residence on March 15 2020.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

45% Netanyahu, 33% Gantz, 22% Don’t know

Note: A seat went from Labor-Gesher-Meretz to Blue & White. A seat went from Blue & White to Likud.

Unofficial 23rd Knesset Results (official results will be released on Monday):

Party22nd KnessetChange23rd Knesset  
Likud 32436  
Blue & White33033  
Joint List 13215  
Shas909  
Labor-Gesher-Meretz11-47  
UTJ707  
Yisrael Beitenu8-17  
Yamina7-16  
      
Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 255358  
Nominated Gantz in Phase 257 (54)-255  
Last time did not nominate8 (11)-17  
      
PartyKnesset Jeremy AVGChannel 11 Exit PollChannel 12 Exit PollChannel 13 Exit PollResults
Likud 3436373736
Blue & White3333333233
Joint List 1415141415
Shas99999
Labor-Gesher-Meretz96767
UTJ88787
Yisrael Beitenu66687
Yamina77766
      
Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 25860606058
Nominated Gantz in Phase 25654545255
Last time did not nominate66687

Notes: Turnout 71.46%. Disqualified votes 25,053. Threshold 149,004 votes. Seat Measurement 37,897 votes.

Final Knesset Jeremy Polling Average:

PartyAVGSeats
Likud 34.334
Blue & White33.433
Joint List 13.914
Labor-Gesher-Meretz8.79
Shas 8.49
UTJ7.58
Yamina7.47
Yisrael Beitenu6.46
Phase 2 Nominations from 2nd Electionn/an/a
Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 257.658
Nominated Gantz in Phase 25656
Last time did not nominate6.46

Note #1: The KnessetJeremy Average is based on the last 7 polls that were released by Midgam (1), Smith (1), Maagar Mochot (1), Kantar (1), Panels (1), Project HaMidgam (1) & Direct Polls (1).

Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 804 people with a 3.8% of margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on February 28 2020. The poll was conducted Feb 28.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
33 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
15 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Last time did not nominate

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

45% Netanyahu, 35% Gantz, 13% Neither, 7% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll of 1212 people with a 4.4% of margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on February 28 2020. The poll was conducted Feb 27-28.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
33 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.5% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
06 [08/11] Last time did not nominate

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

44% Netanyahu, 32% Gantz, 24% Don’t know

Who is more qualified to serve as Defense Minister?

32% Ashkenazi, 27% Don’t know, 21% Bennett, 11% Galant, 9% Lieberman

Will the coronavirus change your decision to vote?

75% I’ll vote regardless, 13% Don’t know, 7% May not vote, 5% Wasn’t going to vote anyways

Panels conducted a poll of 534 people with a 4.4% of margin of error that was published by Maariv & the Jerusalem Post on February 28 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Last time did not nominate

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

45% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 13% Neither, 7% Don’t know