Tag Archive: politics


Panels conducted a series of polls on January 18th 2017 with 517 people that had a 4.3% margin of error. The poll was published by both the Jerusalem Post and Maariv on January 20th 2017. As always, I am providing additional data that did not make it in to the print for all you data geeks out there.

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [11] Yesh Atid

23 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [24] Zionist Union

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Scenario Poll #1: Likud led by Naftali Bennett

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud led by Bennett

27 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [24] Zionist Union

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [05] Meretz

06 [08] Bayit Yehudi without Bennett

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: Placing Naftali Bennett at the head of Likud gives its best showing (29 seats) at the expense of the Bayit Yehudi (6 seats).

 

Scenario Poll #2: Yaalon as #2 in Yesh Atid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [11] Yesh Atid w/Yaalon as #2

23 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [24] Zionist Union

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #2: 3 of 4 seats that Yesh Atid picks up is from Zionist Union.

Scenario Poll #3: Ashkenazi as #2 in Yesh Atid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid w/Ashkenazi as #2

23 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [24] Zionist Union

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #3: Yesh Atid’s extra seat comes from the Zionist Union.

Scenario #4: New Yaalon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [11] Yesh Atid

23 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [–] New Yaalon Party

07 [24] Zionist Union

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

70 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition + Yaalon Party

50 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #4: Yaalon’s 8 seats come mostly from the center-left parties Yesh Atid (4) and Zioninst Union (2).

Scenario #5: Ashkenazi as leader of Labor

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud

22 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union led by Ashkenazi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Shas

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #5: Only scenario with Zionist Union in double digits. Majority of votes is at the expense of Yesh Atid (4 seats).

Additional Questions:

If Prime Minister Netanyahu resigns and announces elections, of the following people who is most worthy to serve as Prime Minister?

22% None, 21% Lapid, 12% Bennett, 10% Don’t know, 7% Saar, 6% Yaalon, 4% Livni, 3% Liberman, 3% Erdan, 3% Kahlon, 3% Ashkeneazi, 3% Herzog, 2% Y. Katz

Note #6 – Right Voters:

25% None, 20% Bennett, 11% Lapid, 10% Don’t know, 9% Saar, 6% Erdan, 4% Liberman, 4% Kahlon, 4% Ashkenazi, 3% Y. Katz, 3% Yaalon, 1% Herzog, 0% Livni

Note #7 – Center Voters:

39% Lapid, 17% None, 9% Don’t know, 8% Saar, 6% Yaalon, 6% Herzog, 5% Livni, 4% Bennett, 2% Y. Katz, 1% Liberman, 1% Kahlon, 1% Ashkenazi, 0% Erdan

Note #8 – Left voters:

25% Lapid, 18% None, 16% Livni, 11% Yaalon, 10% Herzog, 9% Ashkenazi, 7% Don’t know, 4% Kahlon, 1% Saar, 0% Bennett, 0% Liberman, 0% Erdan, 0% Y. Katz

What if Prime Minister Netanyahu resigns from his party, who of the Likud Ministers in the past and present is most worthy to stand at the head of Likud?

18% Saar, 16% None, 16% Don’t know, 10% Erdan, 10% Yaalon, 9% Kahlon, 7% Y. Katz, 5% Edelstein, 4% Regev, 2% Dichter, 1% Elkin, 1% Levin, 1% Steinitz, 1% Hanegbi, 1% H. Katz, 1% Gamliel, 0% Akunis

Note #9 – Likud voters:

16% Erdan, 13% Saar, 13% Don’t know, 12% None, 10% Regev, 10% Y. Katz, 7% Kahlon, 6% Steinitz, 4% Edelstein, 4% Yaalon, 1% Dichter, 1% Hanegbi, 1% Akunis, 0% Elkin, 0% Levin, 0% H. Katz, 1% Gamliel

Do you think that the allegations towards Prime Minister Netanyahu are based [on something]?

57% Yes, 28% No, 15% Don’t know

One of the possibilities is that Benjamin Netanyahu will announce new elections where he will put himself up for the judgment of the court of public opinion that will decide if he is worthy or not worthy to serve as Prime Minister. If this happens the legal proceedings against him will end. Do you think a move like that is worthy or not worthy?

56% Not worthy, 27% Worthy, 17% Don’t know

Updated Note #10: The KJPA has been updated to include the poll: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jan 19 2017.

Do you believe that Donald Trump will support moves of applying Israeli sovereignty in the territories in places like Maale Adumim and Ariel?

48% Yes, 30% No, 22% Don’t know

Do you believe Donald Trump will move the United States Embassy to Jerusalem as he promised during the elections?

46% No, 41% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Do you believe that Donald Trump will act to cancel moves that were advanced by Obama on domestic policy such as healthcare?

53% Yes, 25% No, 22% Don’t know

Do you think that Donald Trump will be a good or bad president for the State of Israel?

62% Good, 22% Don’t know, 16% Bad

Will the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu be better, worse or the same as they were with Obama?

65% Better, 23% Same, 7% Don’t know, 5% Worse

Will Donald Trump advance negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians that will lead to two states for two peoples?

50% No, 33% Yes, 17% Don’t know

Will Donald Trump have a positive, negative or no influence over the global economy?

36% Positive, 24% No influence, 24% Negative, 16% Don’t know

What influence will Trump’s term have on the Israeli economy?

34% Positive, 33% No influence, 18% Negative, 15% Don’t know

The Knesset Channel broadcast a poll that was conducted by Panels on Jan 16 2017.

What grade would you give Moshe Kahlon as Finance Minister?

43% Average, 26% Good, 23% Bad, 8% Don’t know

Would you recommend that Kahlon return to the Likud?

49% No, 31% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Note #1: Right voters that answered yes 45%, Center voters that answered yes 22%, left voters that answered 11%.

In the case of an indictment against Netanyahu, should Kahlon pressure Netanyahu to resign?

47% No, 40% Yes, 13% Don’t know

If Netanyahu does not agree to Kahlon’s demand what should Kahlon do?

41% Leave the coalition, 38% Stay in the coalition, 21% Don’t know

Would you recommend that Kahlon go with Lapid?

49% No, 32% Yes, 19% Don’t know

Note #2: Right voters that answered yes 16%, Center voters that answered yes 51%, Left voters that answered yes 59%

Would you recommend Kahlon add another security figure to his list?

45% Yes, 28% No, 27% Don’t know

Channel 2 broadcast a poll of 600 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was conducted by Midgam on Jan 17 2017.

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you believe Netanyahu’s version?

54% No, 28% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Should Netanyahu resign?

44% Yes, 43% No, 13% Don’t know

Who is best suited to be Prime Minister if Netanyahu resigns?

Don’t know/No opinion 43%, Lapid 17%, Bennett 10%, Saar 10%, Yaalon 6%, Herzog 6%, Erdan 5%, Katz 3%

Note #1: There was a mistake in one of the questions in the original post that Miguel pointed out. That mistake has now been corrected.

Note #2: Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Panels conducted two polls – six days apart from each other – that have both been posted on their Facebook Page. The second poll was conducted after the Channel 2 broadcasts of the Netanyahu-Moses tapes.

Should Netanyahu go home?

Jan 15 Poll Results:

50% No, 38% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Note #1: Right voters – 70% No

Note #2: Left Voters – 82% Yes

Jan 9 Poll Results:

45% No, 39% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Note #3: Right voters – 61% No, 20% Yes, 19% Don’t know

Note #4: Left Voters – 79% Yes, 13% No, 8% Don’t know

Note #5: Center Voters –  50% Yes, 33% No, 17% Don’t know

Midgam Poll on Alimony & Divorce

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jan 12 2017.

Should the alimony law be changed to take into account the salary of the couple before deciding who gets custody of the children in terms of a divorce?

74% Yes, 19% No, 7% Don’t know

Do you think changing the alimony law advances the status woman or harms it?

55% Advances, 26% Harms, 19% Don’t know

Should the demand for gender equality include equality on alimony?

69% Yes, 25% No, 6% Don’t know

Are you for a new law that would decide that custody of young children in divorce cases should be decided on a case-by-case basis instead of the current law that automatically grants custody to the mother?

71% New law, 25% Current law, 4% Don’t know

According to the Israeli law there is an equal division of all property and the couples rights that have been acquired during the time of the marriage. Do you agree with the position that the alimony should also be equally distributed after in case of divorce?

71% Yes, 21% No, 8% Don’t know

Do you agree with the opinion that the Rabbinical Judges are not aggressive enough to free women from their Aguna status?

70% Yes, 15% No, 15% Don’t know

Are you for moving the alimony cases between couples exclusively to the civil courts instead of the Rabbinical Courts?

69% Yes, 18% No, 13% Don’t know

Is it possible with the current coalition to transfer alimony cases from the Rabbinical Courts to the civil courts?

58% No, 26% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of 500 Jewish Israelis with a reported 4.5% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Jan 12 2017. The poll was conducted on Jan 10-11.

Are the positions of the Obama administration more pro-Israel, pro-Palestinian or neutral?

65% Palestinian, 20% Neutal, 12% Israel, 3% No opinion/Don’t know

Note: 89% of Bayit Yehudi voters answered Palestinian, 45% of Zionist Union and Meretz voters answered Palestinian.
Will the incoming administration be more pro-Israel, pro-Palestinian or neutral?

79% Israel, 10% Neutral, 8% No opinion/Don’t know, 3% Palestinian

A poll of 597 people was published by Walla on Jan 12 2017.
It was conducted by Dialog former Prof. Kamil Fuchs and divided between two affiliated polling companies (Panel Project HaMidgam for Jews and StatNet for Arabs).

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz

66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: 27% of voters said their decision is not final

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister between these two candidates?

37% Netanyahu, 33% Lapid, 30% Don’t know

Note #2: Among Jewish voters Netanyahu 42% and Lapid 32%, 26% Don’t know

Note #3: Results will be added shortly to the KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Update: The latest poll has been updated to the KJPA.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jan 9 2017.

What is your position on Gadi Eizenkot’s statement that the soldier is not a child?

39% Not Correct, 30% Correct but bad timing, 28% Correct (and right timing), 3% Don’t know

Do you trust Gadi Eizenkot as the IDF COS?

60% Yes, 32% No, 8% Don’t know

Do you think that Eizenkot influenced Azaria’s legal proceedings?

49% Yes, 37% No, 14% Don’t know

Should the IDF have transferred the Azaria case to legal proceedings or dealt with it on the commander and disciplinary level?

69% Commander/Disciplinary Level, 24% Legal Proceedings, 7% Don’t know

Are you worried about the strength of the IDF following the Azaria case?

65% Yes, 30% No, 5% Don’t know

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Globes on Jan 9 2017.

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
22 [30] Likud
13 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas

60 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: 47% of Likud voters express certainty about it, compared to 33.5% of Yesh Atid voters.