Category: Weekly Poll Avg


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 31st 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 5 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu30300.729.330
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz2221.87.514.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1010.2-2.112.311
4thHaYamin HeHadashBennett77-183
5thLaborGabbai76.8-1.98.718
6thUTJLitzman76.5-0.26.76
7thJoint ListOdeh66.20.2612
8thTaalTibi66.20.261
9thMeretzZandberg54.8-0.55.35
10thKulanuKahlon54.5-0.24.710
11thYisrael BeitenuLiberman44.5-0.24.75
12thShasDeri44.5-0.85.37
13thBayit Yehudi?44045
14thGesherLevy33-1.74.71
15thLivniLivni00006
16thOtherOthers00000
Right-Religious6161-1.762.766
Center-Left-Arab59591.757.354

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the four polls that were conducted after Gantz’s speech (Panels, Panel Project HaMidgam, Midgam and Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 28th 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 3-4 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu2929.3-2.231.530
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz1414.3212.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1212.3-0.71311
4thLaborGabbai98.70.97.818
5thHaYamin HeHadashBennett88083
6thJoint ListOdeh66n/a11.312
7thTaalTibi66n/an/a1
8thUTJLitzman76.7-0.16.86
9thShasDeri55.30.357
10thMeretzZandberg55.30.15.25
11thKulanuKahlon54.7-0.3510
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman54.704.75
13thGesherLevy54.70.24.51
14thBayit Yehudi?441.82.25
15thLivniLivni00-226
16thOtherOthers00-0.70.70
xRight-Religiousx6362.7-1.163.866
xCenter-Left-Arabx5757.31.156.254

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: Taal was polled together with The Joint List in one of the polls so I split their result evenly for the average. This is the first week where the two lists are being averaged separately.

Note #3: This week’s average is based on the three polls that were conducted during week five (Midgam, Direct Polls and Teleseker).

Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #5: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 20th 2018.

PlacePartyWeek 3-4 AVGChangeWeek 2 AVGCurrent
1stLikud31.52.728.830
2ndYesh Atid130.312.711
3rdIsrael Resilience12.3-0.512.80
4thJoint List-Taal11.3-0.411.713
5thHaYamin HeHadash8-0.88.83
6thLabor7.8-0.48.218
7thUTJ6.80.16.76
8thMeretz5.2-0.35.55
9thKulanu5-0.55.510
10thShas5057
11thYisrael Beitenu4.70.24.55
12thGesher4.5-0.34.81
13thBayit Yehudi2.2-0.62.85
14thLivni20.51.56
15thOther0.700.70
Right-Religious63.8162.866
Center-Left-Arab56.2-157.254

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: Taal was polled separately from The Joint List in just two of the last seven polls. The two lists were averaged together for this week.

Note #3: This week’s average is based on the two polls that were conducted during week three and the five polls that were conducted during week four.

Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.

PlacePartyCurrent AvgChangeWeek 1 AVGCurrent
1stLikud28.81.227.630
2ndIsrael Resilience12.8-0.613.40
3rdYesh Atid12.7-0.112.811
4thJoint List11.7-0.712.413
5thHaYamin HeHadash8.8-1.610.43
6thLabor (*Week 1: Zionist Union)8.2-0.68.824
7thUTJ6.7-0.376
8thKulanu5.5-0.15.610
9thMeretz5.5-0.15.65
10thShas50.24.87
11thGesher4.80.24.61
12thYisrael Beitenu4.50.73.85
13thBayit Yehudi2.8-0.43.25
14thLivni (*Week 1: Zionist Union)1.51.500
15thOther0.70.700
Right-Religious62.80.462.466
Center-Left-Arab57.2-0.457.654

Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Dec 30 2018.

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls (Panels, Midgam, Sarid, Panel Project HaMidgam and Direct Polls) released on December 30 2018. It is being compared to the 2015 election results.

AVGCurrentParty
27.630Likud
13.40Israel Resilience
12.811Yesh Atid
12.413Joint List
10.43Yamin Hadash
8.824Zionist Union
76UTJ
5.610Kulanu
5.65Meretz
4.87Shas
4.61Gesher
3.85Yisrael Beitenu
3.25Bayit Yehudi
62.466Right-Religious
57.654Center-Left-Arab