Archive for June, 2026


Election Timing: If the Knesset fails to disperse this week, the window for a September election will effectively close, making an October election the only outcome.

Poll #Broadcaster/PublisherPollsterSurvey DateSample SizeMargin of Error
1MaarivLazar19.6.265014.4%
2Channel 12Midgam18.6.26
3Times of IsraelTatika17-18.6.265004.4%
4Channel 13HaMadad18.6.26950
5Channel 11Kantar16.6.265554.2%
6i24Direct Polls16.6.265884%
7Channel 14Filber18.6.261552
PartyMaarivChannel 12Times of IsraelChannel 13Channel 11i24Channel 14
Likud (Netanyahu)21222322232833
Yashar (Eisenkot)21212320211820
B’yachad (Bennett)20191917171210
Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman)10910111098
The Democrats (Golan)10108119119
Shas (Deri)991099910
Otzma (Ben Gvir)8998997
UTJ7788788
Hadash-Ta’al6556776
Ra’am (Abbas)4554455
Religious Zionism (Smotrich)4404444
Under the Threshold
Blue-White (Gantz)1.70%1.90%02.00%1.60%01.80%
Reserve Soldiers (Hendel)1.20%1.90%03.00%2.60%0
Balad1.80%1.70%02.40%1.50%
Kalkalit (Zlicha)2.10%0
Coalition Bloc49515051525862
Opposition Bloc61596059575047
Arab Bloc10101010111211

Last Week’s Polls

Election Timing: The next election is still scheduled for October 27, 2026, just 131 days away. Unless the Knesset votes to disperse earlier before the end of the summer session in late July, that remains the date on which Israelis will choose the 27th Knesset.

Poll #Broadcaster/PublisherPollsterSurvey DateSample SizeMargin of Error
1MaarivLazar10-11.6.265004.40%
2Channel 12Midgam11.6.265014.40%
3Times of IsraelTatika10-11.6.265004.40%
4Israel HayomKantar10.6.265524%
5Channel 14Filber11.6.26771NONE
6i24Direct Polls11.6.265544.10%

PartyMaarivTimes of IsraelChannel 12Israel HayomChannel 14i24
Likud (Netanyahu)222422243330
Shas (Deri)81099109
Otzma (Ben Gvir)989989
United Judaism787778
Religious Zionism (Smotrich)404454
Zehut (Feiglin)——————1.50%————
Coalition Bloc505051536360
B’yachad (Bennett)212120191312
Yashar (Eisenkot)202120201617
Democrats (Golan)108119911
Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman)9108988
Reserve Soldiers (Hendel)1.7%01.6%2.5%——0
Blue-White (Gantz)1.9%00.7%2.2%0.8%0
Kalkalit (Zalika)——————2.20%——0
HaRivon HaRivi (Heller)——————0.50%————
El HaDegel (Yaffa)——————0.40%————
Opposition Bloc606059574648
Hadash-Ta’al655667
Ra’am (Abbas)455455
Balad2.0%01.1%1.8%00
Arab Bloc101010101112

After an extended break due to reserve duty and family commitments, KnessetJeremy will return next week with regular analysis and election coverage. Thank you to everyone who checked in during the break.

A lot has happened since my last post.

Most significantly, the Knesset this week approved in its first reading the bill to dissolve the 25th Knesset, by a vote of 106–0, moving Israel one step closer to early elections. The exact election date has not yet been finalized, but since we are already in June, elections would now almost certainly take place in either September or October.

The bill must still pass its second and third readings before early elections are officially called. If the bill ultimately does not advance, Israel remains on track for the regularly scheduled election date of October 27, 2026. As of today, that is less than five months away — just 146 days.

The election campaign has effectively begun. Whether Israelis go to the polls in mid-to-late September, early-to-mid October, or on the scheduled October 27 date, the political system is now entering full campaign mode.

See you next week.