Tag Archive: knesset poll


Smith conducted a poll of 500 registered Labor members with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by Maariv on April 22 2017. The model took into account age and geographic distribution. Poll was conducted after Margalit joined race with his video.

If Leadership Elections were held today who would you vote for?

(Among people who answered 100% chance they will vote in elections):
28% Peretz, 19% Bar-lev, 19% Gabai, 16% Herzog, 14% Margalit, 4% Don’t know yet

How sure are you that you will vote for the candidate you have chosen from a scale of 1-100?

88.17 Herzog, 85.83 Peretz, 84.61 Margalit, 80.2 Bar-lev, 79.07 Gabai

Percentage of people who answered 100:

50% Peretz, 48% Herzog, 42% Margalit, 36% Bar-lev, 30% Gabai

Notes: There are around 50 thousand members eligible to vote in the election. 74% answered the chance they will vote is above 90%. There are other candidates that were not polled.

Midgam conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 2 on April 22 2017. The poll was taken on April 19-20.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [24] Zionist Union
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with the conduct of Prime Minister Netanyahu?

61% No, 33% Yes, 6% Don’t know

Do you support Kahlon’s plan?

85% Yes, 10% Don’t know, 5% No

Will Kahlon’s plan improve your economic situation?

45% Won’t influence, 41% Will improve, 14% Don’t know

Why is there opposition to Kahlon’s plan from the Likud?

63% Political considerations, 22% Don’t know, 15% Concern for handicap funds

Average has been UPDATED: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Old Dialog conducted a poll of 612 people that was broadcast by Channel 10 on April 4 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [11] Yesh Atid
27 [30] Likud
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Saar led Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [11] Yesh Atid
29 [30] Likud – led by Saar
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [07] Shas
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

35% Don’t know or None, 23% Netanyahu, 18% Lapid, 11% Saar, 5% Bennett, 4% Liberman, 4% Herzog

Likud voters: 68% Netanyahu, 13% Saar, 6% Katz, 3% Erdan, 10% Don’t know or None

Panels conducted a poll of 520 people that was published by Walla on March 29 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Does Netanyahu really want to go to elections right now?

67% No, 17% Don’t know, 16% Yes

Which side do you support in the current coalition crisis?

41% Kahlon, 32% Don’t know, 27% Netanyahu

Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Oct 2 2016. The poll was conducted from Sep 24-26.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid

22 [30] Likud

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

 

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Scenario Poll: With a new Liberal Likud with Yaalon, Kahlon, Saar and “maybe” Gantz or Ashkenazi.

21 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

19 [10] Liberal Likud with Yaalon, Kahlon, Saar and “maybe” Gantz or Ashkenazi

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [24] Zionist Union

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

 

76 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition +New Likud

44 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Additional Questions

Between the two which do you want to lead Israel into the coming years (7 head-to-head matchups)?

38% Netanyahu, 33% Saar, 30% Don’t know

39% Netanyahu, 24% Bennett, 37% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 34% Lapid, 21% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 27% Ashkenazi, 29% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 23% Kahlon, 33% Don’t know

46% Netanyahu, 24% Yaalon, 30% Don’t know

55% Netanyahu, 19% Herzog, 27% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister?

59% Not satisfied, 33% Satisfied, 8% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Avigdor Liberman as Defense Minister?

48% Not satisfied, 34% Satisfied, 18% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Miri Regev as Culture and Sport Minister?

49% Not satisfied, 46% Satisfied, 5% Don’t know

Note: 79% of right is satisfied, only 32% of center voters and 90% of left voters are not satisfied.

What is your opinion on the action of Elor Azaria?

46% Justified, 41% Not Justified, 13% Don’t know

Do you think the public storm influences the conduct of the case?

72% Yes, 15% No, 10% Don’t know

Who do you think is the most influential Israeli Arab leader?

Among Jews: 46% Tibi, 23% Don’t know, 12% None, 10% Odeh, 7% Zoabi, 3% Zachalka

Among Arabs: 40% None, 23% Don’t know, 24% Tibi, 9% Zoabi, 9% Odeh, 1% Zachalka

The second public poll of seats since the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Midgam for Yediot Achranot and was published on Jan 1 2016. It was the last poll conducted in 2015.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: Midgam was in the middle of the pack in terms of accuracy among the nine major polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a projection that was off by 19 seats. However, Midgam was among the least accurate in predicting the blocs by giving the Center-Left-Arab bloc three more seats than they would actually win.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The most interesting takeaways from this poll is that Herzog and Lapid are now tied and that Bayit Yehudi is pulling seats from Likud.

Scenario Poll: Saar-Kahlon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [10] Saar-Kahlon Party

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: In the scenario poll a Saar-Kahlon party would fail to gain any seats from the center and would take away votes from Likud and Bayit Yehudi.

The first public poll of seats since before the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Maagar Mochot, a poll of 516 people during the 29th and 30th of November 2015 for 103 FM Radio

31 [30] Likud

20 [24] Zionist Union

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [07] Shas

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

 

Note: Maagar Mochot tied for last among the top-nine polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a result that was off by 23 seats. However, Maagar Mochot was tied in first place in predicting the blocs with only one seat off, predicting an extra seat for the Center-Left-Arab bloc.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: There are two movements that can be seen in this poll and it is part of an overall trend. Four seats in the Center-Left Bloc move from Opposition Leader Herzog’s Zionist Union to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon loses five seats, two to Yisrael Beitenu and one each to Shas, Likud and Bayit Yehudi. The trend here is a slight movement of the Israeli electorate to the right since March.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on December 3rd 2015

Have the security forces done enough to deal with Jewish terrorism?

47% Not doing enough, 43% Doing enough

Do the security forces have enough legal tools to deal with Jewish terrorism?

56% There is enough tools, 30% Not enough tools

Are the security forces not doing enough because of politician pressure?

48% Not an issue, 41% An issue

Do you think MK Yinon Magal should have resigned because of the allegations against him?

54% Should resign, 34% Shouldn’t resign

Are you pleased with how Minister Naftali Bennett handled the Yinon Magal Story?

40% Pleased, 36% Not pleased

Do you think Minister Avi Gabai should have testified in the Knesset Economic Affairs Committee?

59% Yes, 15% No

Do you understand the Gas Deal?

63% Don’t understand, 35% Understand

Are you for the Gas Deal?

41% No, 26% Yes

Should the electoral system in Israel be changed?

56% Yes, 30% No

Should Israeli citizens who are living overseas be allowed to vote in Knesset elections?

54% No, 39% Yes

What is your position on the campaign financing law for the primaries?

56% Bad system that should be changed, 14% Good system that should be kept

What is the correct way to choose a Knesset list?

55% Primaries, 25% Chairperson or Central Committee

Panels Poll questions broadcast on Knesset Channel March 20 2014

Are you pleased or not pleased with the party you voted for in the 2013 election?

Likud Beitenu voters: 61% pleased, 28% not pleased.

Yesh Atid voters: 25% pleased, 75% not pleased.

Labor voters: 64% pleased, 36% not pleased.

Bayit Yehudi voters: 71% pleased, 29% not pleased.

Which subject should the next Knesset session focus on?

70% Cost of living, 18% negotiations with Palestinians, 8% Iranian threat, 1% Jewish conversion issue