The KnessetJeremy Average shows a 60-60 tie between the Netanyahu bloc and the Lapid bloc + Hadash-Taal. Likud gained the most with 0.6%. Religious Zionist went up 0.2 to take 3rd place away from Gantz. Yesh Atid and Raam also gained 0.2%. Gantz’s National Unity lost 0.2% from the previous average and Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu also lost 0.2% this week. Labor and Hadash-Taal both lost 0.4% each.
We are starting to see more and more polls that give Netanyahu’s bloc 61 or more seats. This trend should continue going into next week and it is likely the next average will already give the former Prime Minister a majority.
Party | Seats | This Week | Last Week | Gap |
Likud | 33 | 33.2 | 32.6 | 0.6 |
Yesh Atid | 24 | 23.8 | 23.6 | 0.2 |
Religious Zionist | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | 0.2 |
National Unity | 12 | 12 | 12.2 | -0.2 |
Shas | 8 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0 |
UTJ | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Yisrael Beitenu | 6 | 5.6 | 5.8 | -0.2 |
Labor | 5 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
Meretz | 5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0 |
Raam | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | 0.2 |
Hadash-Taal | 4 | 4 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
Netanyahu Bloc | 60 | |||
Lapid w/H-T | 60 | |||
Lapid w/o H-T | 56 | |||
Good to see you posting again Jeremy
I think it is pretty clear that Shaked et al are not passing the threshhold.
For all her saying that she wants a right-wing government, she will be to blame if we wind up at 60 for Bibi. If she drops out those votes would push it to 61-62.
I think shes waiting a little bit to see how the wind is blowing. The RZ party or Likud can make some mistake that pushes people into her camp still. But its hard to believe that she would not back out if 2 weeks before the elections the polls give her 2/2.5 seats…