A more recent poll of Maagar Mochot can be found here: https://knessetjeremy.com/2019/02/24/yisrael-hayom-i24-poll-blue-white-36-likud-31-hayamin-hehadash-9-labor-8-united-right-list-8/
Poll from Friday (it happens sometimes that I miss one):
Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 616 people with a 4.3% margin of error for 103 FM Radio that was broadcast on Feb 22 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
25 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [06] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
Other parties – 1 seat total
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others
52+10 [62] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55+03 [58] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Question:
Who is more suited for Prime Minister?
36% Netanyahu, 25% Gantz, 20% Other answers, 9% Lapid, 5% Bennett, 4% Gabbai, 1% Liberman
What is the +10 and +03?
What is the +10 and +03? At first I thought it was Religous/Arab parties but that doesn’t seem right….?
That’s the parties under the threshold:
—-
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
Other parties – 1 seat total
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others
—-
Gesher is the +03 for the opposition
For the coalition, there’s kulanu+YB+Zehut = 09, plus one from “other parties”, so +10.
Thanks!
Wow! United Right List in third place? Ahead of HaYamin HeHadash and Labor? Seems a bit high. Or are they getting votes from HH and YB, which leads to HH being lower and YB being under the threshold?
Kulanu and Likud should have run on a joint list — could have saved 2-3 seats
Finally, like the other commenters, i’d like to know what the +10 and +03 are.
totally unreliable, don’t believe these polls, take them more seriously 2 or 3 weeks before polling day
What would the seat distribution be with the parties under the threshold excluded?
Wow, if this holds, this could be a very unstable Knesset. A national unity government would force Bibi to resign the Likud leadership (which a fair number of people in Likud might very well celebrate), but Labor might still object to Yamin Chadash, Likud would definitely not consent to Meretz joining the government, and the religious parties want nothing to do with Lapid. And I don’t even know whether the individual factions within Blue and White would revolt in the event of a national unity government (which would mean all the promises made would go to nothing).