Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 616 people with a 3.9% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 24 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 22-24.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
07 [07] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
3% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
2% [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
2% [06] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
0% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
Other parties: 1%
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others
62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Questions:
Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?
45% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 19% Don’t know
Where do you place Blue & White on the political map?
45% Center, 35% Left, 12% Right, 8% Other answers
It would be quite ironic if Lieberman fell under his own threshold.
Two points.
1. If United Right gets 8, how many does Otzma get?
2. Given how close this is for the Right-Religious bloc, would they include Otzma in the coalition?
This will be the first election in which I can vote.