Number 10 Strategies conducted a poll of 708 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Times of Israel that was published on Feb 27 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 24-27.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
29 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others
61 [62] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [58] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Scenario Poll: If AG indicts Netanyahu before the election.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
44 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
25 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
2% [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
2% [07] Shas (Deri)
2% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others
55 [62] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
65 [58] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Questions:
The next Knesset elections will take place on April 9, 2019. Do you intend to vote?
79% Very likely, 21% Likely
Which of the following five issues do you think is the most important issue that needs to be addressed by the Israeli government?
47% Economic issues such as the cost of living, housing and jobs, 21% Security, 17% Democracy, Rule of Law and Corruption, 11% Relations with the Palestinians, Diplomacy and the Peace Process, 5% Religion and State
After 10 years in power, do you feel that the time has come to replace Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister?
53% Yes, it is time to change, 27% Israel needs change but at present there is no better alternative, 19% No, I’m pleased with the way he runs the country
Between Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz, who would you like to see as prime minister after the elections?
41% Benjamin Netanyahu, 39% Benny Gantz, 20% Do not know
Who do you trust more to protect the security of the State of Israel?
41% Netanyahu, 30% Ganz, 29% Do not know
Who do you trust more to run the Israeli economy?
41% Netanyahu, 35% Do not know, 25% Gantz
Which statement is closer to your opinions?
47% The investigations against Benjamin Netanyahu are very serious and should not be underestimated: If he is indicted, he must resign immediately.
35% The investigations against Benjamin Netanyahu are petty and politically motivated. His opponents know that it is impossible to beat him at the polls, so they try.
18% Do not know
Last week Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu worked to unite the Bayit Yehudi, Tekuma & Otzma parties. Did this increase or decrease the chances that you would vote for Netanyahu and the Likud, or did it not affect?
61% Did not affect my decision, 27% Reduced the chances that I would vote for Netanyahu and the Likud, 12% Increased the chances that I would vote for Netanyahu and the Likud
and I saw Elvis at the Kotel
Wonder if the scenario poll is an outlier. This is pretty much B&Ws only path to governing. I’d image a BW, Labor, Kulanu, Meretz coalition. Can’t imagine a circumstance where Likud enters as essentially a junior partner.
I dont see any coalition where Meretz (and of course any arab parties) could be a part of. Even Kahlon would not go that far.