Tag Archive: knesset


Midgam conducted two polls of 500 people with a margin of error of 4.5% broadcast by Channel 2 on Dec 11 2014.

Scenario poll of joint Likud-Bayit Yehudi ticket – 33

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                        

24 [21] Labor-Livni

23 [18] Likud

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [–] Kulanu (Kachlon)

09 [11] Shas

08 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Meretz

11 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al, Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Additional Questions:

Who do you prefer as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu 33% Herzog-Livni

Panels conducted two polls published by Maariv on Dec 11 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                        

24 [21] Labor-Livni

20 [18] Likud

17 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [–] Kulanu (Kachlon)

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [11] Shas

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

71 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

49 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Second poll was a scenario poll of Lapid-Livni-Mofaz-Trachenbarg.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Labor-Livni-Mofaz-Trachenbarg

21 [18] Likud

17 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [–] Kulanu (Kachlon)

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [11] Shas

05 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

 

70 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

 

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

35% Herzog, 34% Netanyahu, 12% Bennett, 13% Saar, 9% Lapid, 8% Kachlon, 8% Liberman

Do you want to see Benjamin Netanyhau re-elected as Prime Minister?

66% No

What is motive behind Netanyahu’s 0 VAT on basic foods program?

78% Campaign trick, 17% Taking care of weaker sectors

Who should lead center-left block?

41% Herzog

What coalition do you prefer to be formed after elections?

28% Right-Religious, 24% Labor-Lapid-Liberman-Kachlon (no Bennett or Haredim), 21% National Unity Government, 19% Center-Left (no Haredim), 8% Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Defense Minister?

60% Yaalon, 21% Bennett, 19% Don’t know

Will the addition of this personality strengthen or weaken your decision to vote for their party?

Yuval Diskin: 43% strengthen, 40% weaken, 17% don’t know
Yoav Galant:  40% strengthen, 44% weaken, 16% don’t know
Manuel Trachtenberg: 34% strengthen, 41% weaken, 25% don’t know
Haim Amsalam: 27% strengthen, 49% weaken, 24% don’t know
Elazar Stern: 27% strengthen, 53% weaken, 20% don’t know

Dialog (Panel HaMidgam) conducted two scenario polls broadcast by Channel 10 on Dec 9 2014.

First scenario poll was with a Labor-Livni-Mofaz ticket.

Second scenario poll was with Gidon Saar at head of Likud – no change in any seats.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                         

22 [23] Labor-Livni-Mofaz (joint ticket)

20 [18] Likud

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [–] New Kachlon Party

11 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

 

73 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

47 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

 

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

23% Netanyahu, 22% Herzog, 13% Bennett, 13% Saar, 10% Kachlon, 10% Liberman, 9% Lapid

Do you believe Netanyahu will deliver on 0 VAT promise on basic food?

62% No, 22% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Third scenario poll that has a Labor joint ticket as the largest party. A Labor+Livni+Mofaz list loses a seat from 23 to 22, and brings the Anti-BB coalition to 47 seats. Netanyahu’s Likud party has not been the largest party at the end of each of his 3 terms as PM & he might be forced to deal with a similar situation for his 4th, assuming President Rivlin gives him the chance.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on Dec 8 2014.

Panels also conducted a scenario poll with Livni Party joining Labor.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                          

21 [18] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

17 [15] Labor

12 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [–] New Kachlon Party

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [11] Shas

07 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

 

74 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

46 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

 

Scenario Poll:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                           

23 [21] Labor+Livni (Movement)

21 [18] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [–] New Kachlon Party

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [11] Shas

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

26% Netanyahu, 15% Herzog, 11% Bennett,

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Just like the Smith poll last week the Panels poll finds that a joint Herzog-Livni ticket would be the largest party however it only brings an extra 2 seats to the Anti-BB coalition, far off from helping the center-left-arab bloc form any sort of government.

KnessetJeremy Poll & Election Analysis

1) Knesset Jeremy Poll of Polls:
https://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/07/knesset-jeremy-poll-of-polls-weekly-average-1-likud-23-6-bayit-yehudi-16-6-labor-13-4-yisrael-beitenu-11-kachlon-9-9/

2) Poll of Polls Quotes on Voice of America
http://www.voanews.com/content/collapse-of-israeli-government-bodes-ill-for-peace-process/2547816.html

3) Poll of Polls Quotes on Israel National News:
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/188334#.VIRqeDGUfLm

4) Poll of Polls Quotes on Jewish Press:
http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/analysis/knesset-jeremy-poll-of-polls-weekly-average-1/2014/12/07/

5) Poll & Election Analysis on Voice of Israel (starting from 14:20)
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/getting-ready-elections-need-know/?auto=1

Unrelated – http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-cabinet-approves-jewish-state-law-after-fraught-meeting-1978258892
www.inn.co.il%2FNews%2FNews.aspx%2F288590&h=-AQEhXFdR
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Culture/Laughing-matters-383914
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Bayit-Yehudi-opens-membership-ahead-of-primary-384270
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/Bayit-Yehudi-and-Tekuma-still-at-loggerheads-over-joint-electoral-list-384411
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/188554#.VIoUNiuUfLk
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Bayit-Yehudi-ups-offer-to-Tekuma-to-avoid-religious-Zionist-split-384760
http://www.timesofisrael.com/hurly-burly-of-early-polling-rarely-holds-water-at-ballot-box/
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/Primary-candidates-court-Bayit-Yehudi-Anglos-5-7-percent-of-the-party-385419
http://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-to-western-immigrants-were-working-on-it/
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/189201#.VKAHml4AOs
http://www.jpost.com/International/Politics-Dropping-like-dominoes-386439
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/189690#.VK8UaSuUfLk
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/189764#.VLMYPCuUfLk
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/Bayit-Yehudi-Anglos-recommend-primary-slate-387444
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/Bayit-Yehudi-primary-could-be-postponed-over-transparency-complaints-387643
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/Bayit-Yehudi-primary-polls-open-after-injunction-to-delay-vote-is-revoked-387695
http://www.france24.com/en/20152801-the-debate-escalation-israel-lebanon-part-two/
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/190780#.VM9y1miUfLk
http://972mag.com/perfecting-the-art-of-predicting-the-future-israeli-elections/102339/

Jeremy Saltan – the ‘Knesset Insider’ with No Regrets


http://www.iba.org.il/program.aspx?scode=1765541
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/191204#.VNu4YfmUfLk
http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/New-Tech/Grassroots-group-translates-party-platforms-to-English-391122
http://www.timesofisrael.com/the-extremist-who-could-bring-kahanism-back-to-the-knesset/
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/anglo-vote-live/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/netanyahus-speech-to-congress-fails-to-jolt-the-electoral-needle-at-home/2015/03/04/b8e9f31e-c0e0-11e4-a188-8e4971d37a8d_story.html
http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-truth-about-voting-bayit-yehudi/

Why Israel’s Election Is Too Close To Call

How Israel’s Exit Pollsters Missed Right-Wing Rally For Netanyahu



http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/192834#.VQnYd46UfLk
http://www.abc.net.au/newsradio/content/s4199630.htm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p02ll6xh
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/18/israel-election-polls_n_6893084.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/19/affordable-care-act-fav_n_6900938.html
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/192813#.VQ6TdfmUfLk