Panels conducted a poll of 553 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv and the Jerusalem Post on Dec 1 2017. The poll was conducted on Nov 29 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [30] Likud
25 [11] Yesh Atid
17 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold
61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll: With Gideon Saar leading the Likud.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [30] Likud led by Saar
23 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold
65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
26% Netanyahu, 21% None, 13% Lapid, 11% Don’t know, 9% Gabbay, 6% Bennett, 5% Kahlon, 4% Liberman
Note: 63% of the 2015 Likud voters answered Netanyahu
Is the bill that would prevent the police from making recommendations to the State Prosecutor’s Office a fitting bill?
47% No; 24% Yes, 29% Don’t Know
Note: 58% of Likud voters answered yes.
What is the true purpose of the bill?
55% Intended to help Netanyahu, 24% Don’t Know, 21% A matter of principle
Note: 51% of Likud voters answered a matter of principle
Are you satisfied with Netanyahu’s handling of the coalition crisis over Israel Railways work on Shabbat?
50% Unsatisfied with, 33% satisfied, 17% Don’t Know
What do you think of Likud MKs Bitan & Amsalam’s conduct?
47% Lowers chance I vote Likud, 46% No impact, 7% Strengthens chance I vote Likud
Note: Likud voters answered: 65% No impace, 20% Strengthens chance I vote Likud, 15% Lowers chance I vote Likud
What do you think of Kahlon’s conduct?
50% Not good, 28% Don’t know, 22% Good
Do you think there is religious coercion in Israel?
53% Yes, 35% No, 12% Don’t know
Who should lead the camp that faces Netanyahu Likud in the next election?
38% Don’t Know, 34% Lapid, 27% Gabbay.
Note: Center-left voters: 44% Lapid, 28% Gabbay, 28% Don’t Know
Question for Likud voters who no longer support Likud: Who should replace Netanyahu?
35% Saar, 7% Yisrael Katz
Updated Knesset Jeremy Polling Average: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/
Interesting that all the parties under the threshold are right/right-center.
If one of them got over the threshold then any hope for a left wing government would be lost.
That is assuming this poll is accurate (which I doubt, like all polls.)