Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by Jerusalem Post on August 10 2017. It was conducted on Aug 7-8.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
20 [24] Zionist Union
19 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: Yaalon and Yachad (Eli Yishai) both recieved 3 seats each but under the 3.25% electoral threshold. 13% said they could still change their mind.

If an indictment is filed against Benjamin Netanyahu, is it acceptable for you that the prime minister take a leave of absence (meaning that the prime minister will be replaced for a temporary period of time)?

67% Yes, 32% No, 1% Don’t know

Note #2: 56%-53% of Likud, UTJ, Shas parties answered yes compared to about 80% of Yesh Atid, Zionist Union and Meretz voters who answered yes. 73% of Kluanu voters and 70% of Bayit Yehudi voters answered yes.

Note #3: Overall about 50% of right voters answered yes compared to 80% of center and left voters who answered yes.

Note #4: 54% of 18-29 demographic answered yes compared to 76% of 50+ demographic that answered yes.

Which of the following people is best suited to serve as prime minister?

Scenario with Saar leading Likud

None or No opinion 31%, Gideon Sa’ar 16%, Yair Lapid 16%, Naftali Bennett 14%, Avi Gabay 14%, Avigdor Lieberman 9%

Scenario with Erdan leading Likud

No one or No opinion 34%, Naftali Bennett 16%, Yair Lapid 16%, Avi Gabay 16%, Avigdor Lieberman 10%, Gilad Erdan 8%

Note #5: Among those who mentioned Gideon Sa’ar in the first scenario: 35% did not choose any candidate in the second scenario, 27% Gilad Erdan, 16% Naftali Bennett, 10% Avi Gabbai, Lieberman and Lapid both had single digits (12% together).

Note #6: In first scenario Bennett received first place among Bayit Yehudi (52%) and Likud (28%) voters. Lapid received first place among Yesh Atid voters (65%), Gabbay received first place among Zionist Union voters (43%), Liberman received first place among Yisrael Beitenu voters (44%) and Saar did not place first in any party.

Note #7: In second scenario Bennett received first place among Bayit Yehudi (56%) and Likud (27%) voters. Lapid received first place among Yesh Atid voters (69%), Gabbay received first place among Zionist Union voters (48%), Liberman received first place among Yisrael Beitenu voters (44%) and Erdan did not place first in any party.