Poll #1
Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 727 people (including 121 Arabs) that was broadcast by Channel 10 on July 11 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [30] Likud
24 [24] Zionist Union
16 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
67 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Most suited for Prime Minister?
37% Netanyahu, 22% Don’t know, 14% Gabbay, 12% Lapid, 8% Bennett, 7% Liberman
One-on-one match-up for Prime Minister: Netanyahu or Gabbay?
51% Netanyahu, 25% Gabbay, 24% Don’t know
Poll #2
Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with an error rate of 4.5% that was broadcast by Channel 2 on July 11 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [30] Likud
20 [24] Zionist Union
18 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Most suited for Prime Minister?
35% Don’t know, 34% Netanyahu, 13% Gabbay, 12% Lapid, 6% Bennett
The Updated KnessetJeremyPollingAverage has now been updated at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/
Hi Jeremy! Is there any explanation for the surprisingly low score of the Joint List in the first poll?
I will call this the Avi Gabbay Effect
Oh yes, of course there’s such an effect and it may explain the boost of Labor at the expense of YA and Kulanu. But eight seats for Joint List are harder to understand. Gabbay has no record of supporting dovish policies, he lacks any leftist background and was a minister barely a year ago.
In other words, the left is rearranging its deck chairs on its proverbial Titanic. They still have no realistic path to power unless there’s civil war on the right– something the Haredi and Yisrael Beitenu have not been willing to risk.