HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 700 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on November 26 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
17 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold
61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Updated Knesset Jeremy Polling Average: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/
So the Shas voters have gone over to the dark side ie Yesh Atid. Ok I believe that
Hello,
Thanks for info. Arw you confident that Kulanu wouldn’t join a Center-Left coalition? Moreover, would any center-left coalition publicly accept Arab-List as part of government – would Arab List even join? Might you have Center-Left government with less than 60 but still more than Likud bloc but with Arab List agreeing to oppose any no-confidence vote.
All the best,
Thom Seaton >
https://www.timesofisrael.com/gabbay-everyone-will-stand-in-line-to-join-my-coalition/
[quote]
Yisrael Beytenu party leader Avigdor Liberman and Kulanu leader Moshe Kahlon over the weekend said in TV interviews that they would never join a coalition helmed by Gabbay, casting doubts on the Labor party chairman’s chances of ever mustering enough seats to form a coalition.
[/quote]
Maybe they will in the end, though.
From the same link:
[quote]
Gabbay also said he would not sit in a coalition with the Joint List, the 13-member Arab party.
[/quote]
Maybe the Joint List would propose Gabbay as PM, and then stay in the “opposition”, but that’s complicated. Maybe some legislation would be passed (sometimes with the support of the Joint List, sometimes with the support of Likud), but there’s important legislation that’d be impossible to pass in this situation (for example, a budget)
The numbers are flexible, but since the so-called center leaders like Lapid and Gabbai are playing the same game, finding a competent wheeler dealer to compete with Bibi for PM would be most difficult. Of course, that’s why the “courts” are trying to “try” him.