Panels conducted a poll of 562 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on August 11 2017. It was conducted on Aug 8.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [30] Likud
21 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #1: Likud loses 5 of their 2015 seats to Yesh Atid & Bayit Yehudi
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #1 with Bennett leading a Likud + Bayit Yehud list
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [38] Likud + Bayit Yehudi led by Bennett
21 [11] Yesh Atid
20 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [10] Kulanu
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #2: Bennett loses some votes to Yesh Atid.
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #2 with Kahlon leading a Likud-Kulanu list
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [40] Likud + Kulanu led by Kahlon
19 [11] Yesh Atid
18 [24] Zionist Union
15 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #3: Kahlon takes votes from Yesh Atid and loses seats to Bayit Yehudi and Yisrael Beitenu.
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #3 with Saar leading Likud
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud led by Saar
18 [24] Zionist Union
16 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
69 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #4: Likud under Saar takes from Kulanu and Yesh Atid but loses seats to Bayit Yehudi and Yisrael Beitenu.
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #4 with Liberman leading Likud + Yisrael Beitenu list
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [11] Yesh Atid
21 [36] Likud + Yisrael Beitenu led by Liberman
19 [24] Zionist Union
17 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #5: Liberman loses a majority of Yisrael Beitenu voters and some Likud voters to Bayit Yehudi, Kulanu and Yesh Atid.
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #5 with Yaalon leading Likud
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
19 [30] Likud led by Yaalon
18 [24] Zionist Union
18 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
67 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #6: Likud under Yaalon brings votes from Yesh Atid and loses votes to Bayit Yehudi and Yisrael Beitenu.
Post-Netanyahu Scenario Poll #6 with Katz leading Likud
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [11] Yesh Atid
18 [24] Zionist Union
16 [08] Bayit Yehudi
15 [30] Likud led by Katz
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)
64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #7: Likud under Katz loses seats to Kulanu, Yisrael Beitenu and Bayit Yehudi.
Additional Questions:
To what extent is each of the following candidates suited (very suitable + quite suitable) to be prime minister on the day after Benjamin Netanyahu?
Gideon Sa’ar 38%, Moshe Kahlon 32%, Moshe Bogey Ya’alon 30%, Naftali Bennett 26%, Gabi Ashkenazi 24%, Israel Katz 20%, Gilad Erdan 20%, Avigdor Lieberman 19%, Ayelet Shaked 19%
Right-Wing voters: Naftali Bennett 42%, Gideon Sa’ar 41%, Gilad Erdan 32%, Ayelet Shaked 29%, Moshe Kahlon 29%, Avigdor Lieberman 26%, Israel Katz 25%, Gabi Ashkenazi 19%, Moshe Bogey Ya’alon 19%
Likud voters: Naftali Bennett 39%, Gideon Sa’ar 38%, Avigdor Lieberman 35%, Gilad Erdan 29%, Moshe Kahlon 28%, Moshe Bogey Ya’alon 25%, Ayelet Shaked 24%, Gabi Ashkenazi 22%, Israel Katz 20%.
What do you think Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should do now?
Resign if an indictment is filed by the prosecution 29%, To serve in his position regardless if there is an indictment and resign only if there is a conviction that carries moral turpitude 22%, Continue as usual in the hope that there will be nothing 17%, Resign if the police investigation ends with a recommendation to file an indictment 12%, Resign now and concentrate on handling the investigations 11%, Do not know 9%
Right-Wing voters: To serve in his position regardless if there is an indictment and resign only if there is a conviction that carries moral turpitude 32%, Continue as usual in the hope that there will be nothing 28%, Resign if an indictment is filed by the prosecution 20%, Do not know 8%, Resign if the police investigation ends with a recommendation to file an indictment 7%, Resign now and concentrate on handling the investigations 5%
Likud voters: To serve in his position regardless if there is an indictment and resign only if there is a conviction that carries moral turpitude 36%, Continue as usual in the hope that there will be nothing 35%, Resign if an indictment is filed by the prosecution 15%, Do not know 6%, Resign now and concentrate on handling the investigations 5%, Resign if the police investigation ends with a recommendation to file an indictment 3%
Do you believe that behind Netanyahu’s investigations are political motives or are they professional and impartial?
Political motives 46%, Professional and impartial 35%, Do not know 19%
Right-Wing voters: Political motives 63%, Professional and impartial 20%, Do not know 17%
Likud voters: Political motives 61%, Professional and impartial 21%, Do not know 18%
Do you believe Netanyahu’s version that there will be nothing because there is nothing?
Do not believe 56%, Believe 31%, Do not know 13%
Right-Wing voters: Believe 51%, Do not believe 32%, Do not know 17%
Likud voters: Believe 64%, Do not believe 26%, Do not know 10%
Do you believe that Netanyahu’s conduct is tainted by corruption?
Believe 60%, Do not believe 27%, Do not know 13%
Right-Wing voters: Do not believe 44%, Believe 43%, Do not know 13%
Likud voters: Do not believe 51%, Believe 37%, Do not know 12%
From everything you know and heard, do you think it is right or wrong to indict Sara Netanyahu in what is called the Prime Minister’s Residence Affair?
Right 53%, Wrong 26%, Do not know 21%
Right-Wing voters: Wrong 41%, Right 34%, Do not know 25%
Likud voters: Wrong 46%, Right 28%, Do not know 26%
Updated KnessetJeremyPollingAvg here: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Why is Gideon Saar so popular as to lead the right with 69 seats, more than other scenarios? What did Katz do to deserve so low a standing as Likud’s lead, the only scenario leading to a lead by Yesh Atid? Who won the Arab List’s 2 lost seats? Why is (presumably) Shas giving up two seats to Yahadut Hatorah?
there isn’t an election, so i believe these polls are distorted. it is always my view that in an election the right religious block will win a comfortable majority and that Shas will have more seats than UTJ. But Deri doesn’t do it for Shas any more so he should gracefully quit. And I am personally puzzled why Nir Barket is not mentioned as the next potential Likud leader, he has proved to be immensely capable and popular , after Netenyahu he is surely a shoe in for being Premier, he gets my vote