HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 619 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on October 28 2017.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud
21 [11] Yesh Atid
20 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
03 [07] Shas (under threshold)
02 [–-] Yachad (under threshold)
00 [–] Yaalon, Zehut (as other)
55 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Note #1: This model does not reach 120 seats because Shas & Yachad fall below the threshold so it will not be included in the KnessetJeremyPollingAverage.
Note #2: 17% have not yet decided and 8% said they won’t vote.
Additional Question:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
28% None, 28% Netanyahu, 11% Lapid, 11% Gabbai, 8% Don’t know, 6% Barak, 5% Bennett, 3% Liberman
Updated KnessetJeremyAvg: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/
Almost certainly a rubbishy poll , the right religious block has not changed in the country suddenly, however Shas should drop Deri , Yeshai is past it as well and Rav Mazuz should join the Shas council
But if this were true, what would be a stable coalition?
Likud (26) + Bayit Yehudi (10) + Kulanu (7) + UTJ (6) + Beitenu (6) = 55, would need Yesh Atid or ZU to join to pass (even the 5 votes for Shas and Yachad wouldn’t be enough)…
Yesh Atid (21) + ZU (20) + Meretz (7) = 48, could maybe get kulanu (7) to achieve 55 and Beitenu (6), to get to 61? Or maybe substitute Meretz for UTJ/Shas?
If this poll was taken on friday or shabbat then i’m not surprised from the results.