Panels conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103FM on Jan 11 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
00 [03] Telem (Yaalon)e
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
00 [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
00 [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
Scenario Poll: New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu
42 [29] New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu
30 [35] Likud
I wonder if newly solo Telem will try to merge with New Hope or another party.
hard to imagine that. as stated in comments before, this election is full of egos… there’s gonna be many a party not passing the threshold…
Political leaders read the polls like we do. I find it tough to believe that they can look at 0’s (granted, it’s Ya’alons/Telem’s first solo poll of the cycle) and not prefer to seek out a safe spot on a more established list.
There are 100’s of millions of couples who are divorced even though it gives them a big ZERO in life. There are millions of partners who separate and their businesses collapse. Human nature prevents people from acting rationally and for their own and other’s best interests…
Already many years ago, King Jeroboam [1st King of the 10 Tribes] refused to make peace with the Kingdom of Judah because he would be second to the Davidic Dynasty. Nothings changed in human nature since then.
Moshe Ya’alon Is An Intellectual Powerhouse, But I’m Afraid He May Have Reached the End Of His Career. He Founded Telem Out Of Vindictiveness Against The Prime Minister For Replacing Him At Defense. The Night The Knesset Was Dispersed, I Wrote “Telem Might Run With Saar’s New Hope And Together Get 12 Seats.” But I Found Out Earlier Today That Telem Constituency Will Vote For Saar’s Party Whether Ya’alon Is On The Ticket Or Not, Same For “Derech Eretz” Even Though The Latter Has Already Joined Saar, But They Hardly Add Anything To The Ticket. Saar Has Nothing To Gain From Bringing Ya’alon On Board, Neither Does Bennet. I Have Been Studying Saar For Years, And I Can Assure You His Party Will End Up At Just 12 Seats. Nothing Personal Against Him, He Needs To Be Part Of The Scene; Same For Ya’alon.
Scenario Poll: New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu
42 [29] New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu,
But Separately They Get 51 Combined. Well They Obviously Won’t Run On The Same ticket, And Separately Will Garner Only 36 Seats Combined. With The Right Campaign Strategy, I Believe Israel Will Reward The Prime Minister For His Omni prescience, Foresight, Strategic Thinking And Actions On Security, The Economy, Social And All Policies. And I have Full Confidence In The Prime Minister’s Political And Governing Qualifications. Also Sara “Mrs. Netanyahu” Has Had Bum Raps For Years, Time Has Come To Give The Lady Credit For Her Own Accomplishments. Working Full time While Going To School, As Well As Before And after.
+1