Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Jan 12 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.7% [–-] New Economy (Zalika)
2.5% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
1.1% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
Under 1%
0.7% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.7% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.3% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
Scenario Poll A: Saar + Bennett
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
25 [06] New Hope+Yamina (Saar+Bennett)
15 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
06 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
Scenario Poll B: New Left Alliance Lapid+Huldai+Gantz+Labor
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [31] New Left Alliance (Lapid+Huldai+Gantz+Labor)
13 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
Additional Question:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
33% Netanyahu, 14% None, 13% Saar, 12% Lapid, 10% Bennett, 10% Don’t know, 8% Huldai
Do you support the Government’s conduct of the coronavirus?
59% No, 37% Yes, 4% Don’t Know
What is the point of these elections? Just appoint Netanyahu as King and be done with it. There is no possible coalition without him so we are going to be in a perpetual cycle of elections for ever.
+1
I count 8.8% of votes going to parties that don’t cross the threshold….Things like vote sharing agreements and who quits/gets into a viable list might become relevant