Knesset Jeremy Polling Average. State of the race updated on Jan 12th 2020. (Final party lists to be submitted by Jan 15 at 10 PM Israeli Time)
| Party | Leader | Predicted Seats | 3rd Election (15 Polls) | Between 2nd & 3rd Election (20 Polls) | Current Seats |
| Blue & White | Gantz | 36 | 35.2 | 34.5 | 33 |
| Likud | Netanyahu | 33 | 32 | 32.8 | 32 |
| Joint List | Odeh | 14 | 13.2 | 12.8 | 13 |
| Shas | Deri | 9 | 7.9 | 7.95 | 9 |
| Yisrael Beitenu | Lieberman | 8 | 7.4 | 8 | 8 |
| UTJ | Litzman | 8 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7 |
| HaYamin HeHadash | Bennett | 6 | 5.9 | 5.95 | 3 |
| Labor | A. Peretz | 6 | 5.2 | 4.95 | 6 |
| Democratic Union | Horowitz | 0 | 3.5 | 4.55 | 5 |
| United Right List | R. Peretz | 0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 |
| Bloc | Predicted Seats | 3rd Election (15 Polls) | Between 2nd & 3rd Election (20 Polls) | Current Seats | |
| Center-Left-Arab | 56 | 57.1 | 57.1 | 57 | |
| Right-Religious | 56 | 55.5 | 54.9 | 55 | |
| Lieberman | 8 | 7.4 | 8 | 8 |
Note #1: The current KnessetJeremy Average is based on the 15 polls that were released by Midgam (4), Panels (3), Smith (2), Maagar Mochot (2), Kantar (2), Project (1) & Miskar (1). The first poll was broadcast on December 12th 2019 and the last poll was published on January 10 2019.
Note #2: The previous KnessetJeremy Average is based on the 20 polls that were released between the second and third elections. The polls were conducted by Midgam (6), Maagar Mochot (6), Panel Project HaMdigam (4), Kantar (2), Smith (1), & Panels (1). The first poll was Oct 7 and the last poll was Dec 10. 3 polls were conducted in October, 12 polls were conducted in November & 5 polls were conducted in December.
Note #3: Results are calculated to allow me to maintain an 120-seat framework for the blocs. The Democratic Union did not pass the threshold in 3 of the 15 polls. The United Right List did not pass the threshold in 7 of the 15 polls. All of the other parties passed the threshold in each of the polls.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
I earlier suggested that Likud and Yamin Hadash need to find a way to either merge or at least run on the same list, because the latter is hovering around the threshold. While I still believe that, if this isn’t feasible, then Yamin Hadash needs to run alone. Not with Tkuma, because Tkuma needs to run with the other religionists, first to help them cross the threshold, then to maximize the votes. Yamin Hadash running with Tkuma will result in less votes than Yamin Hadash running alone and could cause all parties right of Likud to be eliminated. In my Findings Yamin Hadash had 4/5 seats, precarious but doable if needs be. With the right campaign strategy they can improve upon that by attracting some Zehut and Yitzrael Beitenou votes, as well as even some Likud and URL votes, and that should be with everyone blessings in order to maximize right wing votes. URL and Yamin Hadash mustn’t run on the same list. Still prefer Likud and Yamin Hadash on the same list if possible, but then the campaign strategies must adjust accordingly.
Moe pointed out earlier that Yamin Hadash failed to cross the threshold in April due to Zehut and others running, and he is right- thought that might haven’t been the only reason. Moe is also right about right wing coalition fairing better- by one seat- if Likud and Yamin Hadash run Separately than together. But that might be mitigated with campaign finagle, and it is risky.
Another pointer is that Bennet is Defense minister this time around which gives him clout. Netanyahu has been indicted as well which can turn some off of Likud. Kachlon is also not running this time around which can aid Bennet in passing the threshold by themselves.