Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on January 13 2020.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
31 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [11] Labor + Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [00] Others
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Scenario Poll: HaYamin HeHadash + United Right List
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
32 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
10 [07] HaYamin HeHadash + United Right List (Bennett)
09 [11] Labor + Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [00] Others
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
Additional Question:
Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?
39% Netanyahu, 39% Gantz, 16% Neither, 6% Don’t know
OK, This Poll is so far the most accurate. I believe all polls will become more accurate from now on. Worth mentioning however, that Shas will get no less than 9 seats, and the Joint List no less than 14. UTJ has a shot at 8, but since all are crossing the threshold, UTJ will have to campaign hard to get there, or they may be beneficiary of excess Shas votes beyond 9 seats in the vote sharing agreement..
i think that labor and meretz will not receive 9 together. they are both dying, pehaps because they don’t really stand for anything that Israelis care for anymore. its all hype now that they merged but in a few more days the numbers will go down…