Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 525 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published on June 3 2019 by Yisrael HaYom.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
34 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
05 [04] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [06] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
04 [04] Meretz (Zandberg)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold
2% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
Less than 1%
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
67 [65] Right-Religious Bloc
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
39% Netanyahu, 27% Gantz, 18% Other answers, 5% Liberman, 3% Bennett, 3% Lapid, 3% Ashkenazi, 2% Gabbai
Who is at fault for the early elections?
41% Liberman, 37% Netanyahu, 13% Don’t know, 9% Haredi parties
Note: 96% of Shas voters, 81% URP voters & 72% of Likud voters blame Liberman. 82% of Labor voters, 70% of Yisrael Beitenu voters & 69% of Blue & White voters blame Netanyahu.
Does the decision to go to an early election change your vote?
51% No, 24% Reaffirms my decision to vote the same, 13% Don’t know, 11% Will vote for a different party, 1% I won’t vote at all
What are the chances you vote again in September?
64% For sure, 18% Most likely, 11% Not likely, 7% Likely
I want to congratulate everyone for getting another day off work with pay.
(Next time I won’t listen when people tell me that the colalition is a sure thing.)
be interested in what the pollsters have done to their samples that Shas are showing at 7 or 8 now compared to 4 or 5 before the elections, I suspect a guestimated fiddle
I would not give any credibility to Magar and Yisroel Hayom’s opinion polls.
Both Magar and Yisroel Hayom disastrously under estimated Yisroel Beitunu and Shass.
They showed their complete inability to penetrate both the Russian and Sephardi vote.
In 5 out of the last 8 Magar polls prior to the last election YB were not going to cross the threshold and in all 8 Shass were predicted to get between 4 -6.
The New Right and Zehut really need to form an electoral alliance with the understanding they will separate after the election. Give Zehut the 2nd, 5th and 7th slots. That way, people can vote for the parties feeling confident that their votes will not be ‘wasted’ and they can hopefully grab a couple of extra seats.