Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Saturday March 3rd 2018.
| Place | Party | Leader | Seats | KnessetJeremy AVG | Change | Week 9 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Blue & White | Gantz | 37 | 36.1 | 1.5 | 34.6 | 11 |
| 2nd | Likud | Netanyahu | 29 | 28.3 | -2 | 30.3 | 29 |
| 3rd | Hadash-Taal | Odeh | 9 | 8 | 0.4 | 7.6 | 6 |
| 4th | United Right List | Peretz | 8 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 5th | HaYamin HeHadash | Bennett | 7 | 6.9 | -0.2 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 6th | Labor | Gabbai | 7 | 6.9 | -1 | 7.9 | 18 |
| 7th | United Torah Judaism | Litzman | 7 | 6.6 | -0.1 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 8th | Meretz | Zandberg | 6 | 5.5 | 1 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 9th | Shas | Deri | 6 | 5.1 | -0.3 | 5.4 | 7 |
| 10th | Kulanu | Kahlon | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 10 |
| 11th | Raam-Balad | Abbas | 0 | 2.1 | -1.7 | 3.8 | 7 |
| 12th | Other | 35 Others | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13th | Yisrael Beitenu | Liberman | 0 | 1 | -2.6 | 3.6 | 5 |
| Right-Religious Bloc | 61 | 60.6 | -1 | 61.6 | 66 | ||
| Center-Left-Arab Bloc | 59 | 59.4 | 1 | 58.4 | 54 |
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Note #2: This average is based on the last 8 polls that were released.
Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Why is the Right coupled with Orthodox parties, and the Left with Arab parties still in two blocks? It’s clear that the dynamics of the days when Mapam , Mapai, Avoda was huge (1948 – 1977) and ruled with Arab parties are bygone. It’s also true that Labour has shrunk to 8 seats nowadays. Why not measuring up the Center Block, starting with the largest party nowadays, Blue and White, with 36 – 39 seats all by itself, and coupling up with parties to the right, such as Kulanu, Gesher, Yisrael Beiteynu and maybe parties to the left, such as Labour and Meretz.
Blue & White, Labor, Meretz, Hadash-Taal & Raam-Balad have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for Prime Minister in the President’s residence.
Likud, HaYamin HeHadash, UTJ, URW, Shas, Kulanu & Yisrael Beitenu have all committed to nominating Netanyahu for Prime Minister in the President’s residence.
Kulanu did as well? You’d think they’d want to see who gives them the highest bid.
I wonder about a couple of scenarios:
First, what happens if neither bloc gets a majority? Suppose the right-wing bloc gets 58. Suppose the center-left bloc can get to 58, including Ta’al-Hadash — either in the government or as a blocking majority. Now suppose Raam-Balad has 4 and decides it does not want to support either of the blocs, even as a blocking majority. What happens next?
Second, suppose the center-left bloc has a minority of votes, but the Ta’al-Hadash and Raam-Balad parties both support them as a blocking majority. Can a government be formed with a minority of seats in the Knesset? This is different from the Rabin situation, where Rabin had a majority of the seats and used the Arab parties as additional support.
I am genuinely curious, as these scenarios could actually happen.
I feel like Israel is far more polarized than it was in the past (when unity governments were common), so it’s harder to unite parties across the spectrum.
Nowadays, the left and right have very different ideas about the peace process and traditional values and identity. So in the surface there doesn’t seem to be an opportunity for a party that advocates land for peace to sit with a party that advocates keeping the territories. Likewise with parties that want businesses open and busses running on Shabbat and those who want to preserve the Sabbath.
The Gantz-Tibi alliance needs to be stopped!
How are more Israelis not voting for Likud?