Archive for December, 2014


Smith conducted a poll that was broadcast by Reshet Bet on Dec 19 2014. Additionally there was a scenario poll with a Yesh Atid + Koolanu ticket.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [21] Labor-Livni

22 [18] Likud

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

08 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

06 [05] Maran/Yachad (Yishai+Ariel+Chetboun)

10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Scenario Poll: Joint Yesh Atid + Koolanu ticket.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [19] Yesh Atid + Koolanu (Kahlon)

22 [21] Labor-Livni

21 [18] Likud

Other parties not broadcast

Panels conducted a poll of 507 people with a 3.4% margin of error that was broadcast by a Maariv journalist on Radio Dec 18 2014. The poll was conducted Dec 17. Additional results were published on Dec 19 in Maariv & Jerusalem Post. Additionally, they conducted a scenario poll with a joint Kahlon-Lapid ticket.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [21] Labor-Livni

21 [18] Likud

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

08 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [10] Shas

04 [02] Maran (Yishai)

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

70 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Scenario Poll: Joint Lapid+Kahlon ticket

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [21] Labor-Livni

22 [19] Yesh Atid + Koolanu (Kahlon)

20 [18] Likud

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [10] Shas

04 [02] Maran (Yishai)

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

Additional Questions:
Do you want Netanyahu as Prime Minister after the elections?

58% No, 34% Yes, 8% Don’t know

If Netanyahu is not the next Prime Minister, who would you like to see?

28% Herzog, 26% No one, 10% Bennett, 10% Livni, 9% Lapid, 6% Lieberman, 6% Don’t know, 5% Kahlon

Did Tzipi Livni’s TV appearance on “State of the Nation” change your opinion of voting for a joint Labor-Livni ticket?

47% No change, 42% Lowered chance I will vote for Labor-Livni, 6% Increased chance I will vote for Labor-Livni, 5% No opinion

Will you vote on March 17 2015?

72% Yes, 17% Maybe, 6% Don’t know, 5% No

Why are you not voting?

57% Elections won’t change anything, 21% No one I want to vote for, 16% Doesn’t interest me, 6% Netanyahu will be Prime Minister again anyways so it doesn’t matter

 

Smith conducted a poll that was published by Globes on Dec 18 2014. The poll was conducted Dec 17.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [21] Labor-Livni

23 [18] Likud

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

09 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [10] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

02 [02] Maran (Yishai) – under threshold not used in stats below

00 [02] Kadima

 

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Additional Question:
Who is more suitable to serve as next Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 35% Herzog, 26% Neither

Dialog conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was published by Haaretz on Dec 17 2014. The poll was conducted on Dec 16. Additionally, Dialog conducted a scenario poll with Yesh Atid & Kahlon on a joint ticket. This is the 5th of the last 6 polls conducted where the joint Labor-Livni ticket does not receive more than Likud.  In the scenario poll, Kahlon running with Lapid in the Center-Left-Arab bloc reaches 60.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [21] Labor-Livni

21 [18] Likud

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

12 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

11 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [10] Shas

03 [02] Maran (Yishai)

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

*Note Electoral threshold is 3.25% (4 seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [19] Yesh Atid & Koolanu (Kahlon)

21 [18] Likud

20 [21] Labor-Livni

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

09 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [10] Shas

03 [02] Maran (Yishai)

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

60 [61] Right-Religious-without Kahlon

60 [59] Center-Left-Arab-Kahlon

*Note Electoral threshold is 3.25% (4 seats)

 

Geocartography conducted a poll that was broadcast on Israeli Radio on Dec 16 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [18] Likud

21 [21] Labor-Livni

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

11 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

06 [10] Shas

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [–] Strong Israel

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

00 [02] Maran (Yishai)

 

73 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

47 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)