Smith conducted a poll that was published by Globes on Dec 18 2014. The poll was conducted Dec 17.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
23 [21] Labor-Livni
23 [18] Likud
16 [11] Bayit Yehudi
09 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)
09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [19] Yesh Atid
08 [10] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
06 [06] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
02 [02] Maran (Yishai) – under threshold not used in stats below
00 [02] Kadima
72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)
48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Question:
Who is more suitable to serve as next Prime Minister?
39% Netanyahu, 35% Herzog, 26% Neither
Kahlon needs to define himself and Lapid needs a remake as after 2 years he too has yet to decide what he wants to be politically when he grows up. Lieberman unlkely to exceed his aging sectarian base. The electorate seems primed to make a choice and hence fence sitting parties will be at a disadvantage. turnout and wasted ballots may be determinate.
Is it aging? You do realize we have a large number of patrilineal Russians intermarrying with the general Russian community. Seems to me to be a bit of a time bomb. Althoguh I don’t know whom they vote for.
One of the interesting stories to me is a deflation of Meretz.