The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:
https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/
Tag Archive: Polls
Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.
| Place | Party | Current Avg | Change | Week 1 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Likud | 28.8 | 1.2 | 27.6 | 30 |
| 2nd | Israel Resilience | 12.8 | -0.6 | 13.4 | 0 |
| 3rd | Yesh Atid | 12.7 | -0.1 | 12.8 | 11 |
| 4th | Joint List | 11.7 | -0.7 | 12.4 | 13 |
| 5th | HaYamin HeHadash | 8.8 | -1.6 | 10.4 | 3 |
| 6th | Labor (*Week 1: Zionist Union) | 8.2 | -0.6 | 8.8 | 24 |
| 7th | UTJ | 6.7 | -0.3 | 7 | 6 |
| 8th | Kulanu | 5.5 | -0.1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| 9th | Meretz | 5.5 | -0.1 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 10th | Shas | 5 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 7 |
| 11th | Gesher | 4.8 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 12th | Yisrael Beitenu | 4.5 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 5 |
| 13th | Bayit Yehudi | 2.8 | -0.4 | 3.2 | 5 |
| 14th | Livni (*Week 1: Zionist Union) | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 15th | Other | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Right-Religious | 62.8 | 0.4 | 62.4 | 66 | |
| Center-Left-Arab | 57.2 | -0.4 | 57.6 | 54 |
Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Midgam conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was published on Jan 5 2019.
Who should lead the Yamin HeHadash list in the next elections?
40% Don’t know, 33% Bennett, 27% Shaked
Was Avi Gabbai justified or not justified in breaking up his partnership with Tzipi Livni?
39% Justified, 36% Don’t know, 25% Not Justified
Should AG Avichai Mandelblit publicize his decision on an indictment pending a hearing against Prime Minister Netanyahu before the elections?
64% Yes, 22% No, 14% Don’t know
Do you support for ex IDF COS Gabi Ashekenazi joining politics before the election?
47% Yes, 34% No, 19% Don’t know
Shvakim Panorama conducted an internal poll for Yisrael Beitenu that was published on journalist Attila Somfalvi’s twitter feed on Jan 5 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [18] Labor
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold
63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.
Note: Internal poll won’t be used in the average..
Panels conducted a poll with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 4 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [30] Likud
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
11 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under threshold – 2.7%
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – 2.5%
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold
66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.
Additional Question/Note
Who is better suited to be Prime Minister?
49% Netanyahu, 26% Gantz, 25% Don’t know
Note: The poll was presented as a scenario poll where people are asked to vote in the event Netanyahu is facing an indictment pending a hearing that will take place before the election.
