Panels conducted a poll with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 4 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [30] Likud
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
11 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under threshold – 2.7%
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – 2.5%
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold
66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.
Additional Question/Note
Who is better suited to be Prime Minister?
49% Netanyahu, 26% Gantz, 25% Don’t know
Note: The poll was presented as a scenario poll where people are asked to vote in the event Netanyahu is facing an indictment pending a hearing that will take place before the election.
Once Gantz declares his manifesto (presuming he does not mess up big time), I predict that Orly Levy will become his casualty.
Do you think Gesher will join the coalition?
I hope not. Orly Levy is a nutcase.
It will very much depend on what Geshers demands are likely to be and how many seats Likud has without her. It is not necessary up to her.
It is very early days and as Harold Wilson said a week is a very long time in politics. Gesher might not even make is. As the song says “Gesher T’zar Meod”