The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:
https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/
https://knessetjeremy.com/feed/- Election Scorecard November 12, 2022In the table below I measure the gap between the Knesset Jeremy Average (4 days before election), the exit polls of Channels 11,12,13&14 and the final election results. Party Election Results Knesset Jeremy AVG Gap Likud 32 31 1 Yesh Atid 24 25 -1 Religious Zionist 14 14 0 National Unity 12 11 1 Shas […]
- Last KnessetJeremy Polling Average: Likud 31.1, Yesh Atid 24.9, Smotrich 14, Gantz 11.3, Shas 8.6, UTJ 6.8 October 29, 2022The last average compares three different polling averages. Last week’s average is compared to an average of the 15 polls released during the Monday-Friday period of October 24 – October 28. The most recent average is a 7 poll average consisting of the last seven polls released during the last two days before the polling […]
- The Last 4 Polls October 29, 2022Below are the last four polls that were released yesterday, before the deadline for publishing or broadcasting polls. The next post will compare a 7-Poll Average from the polls released during the last two days of polling to a 15-Poll Average of the polls released throughout the week to last week’s average. Poll 1: Panels […]
- 11 Polls from Monday-Thursday October 27, 2022Polls must be published or broadcast by midnight Israeli time between Friday and Saturday. I will publish the last polls and polling average on Saturday evening. Below are the 11 polls that were published or broadcast over the last four days from Monday October 24 – Thursday October 27. Poll 1: Kantar conducted a poll […]
- 9 Days to Election – KnessetJeremy Polling Average: Likud 31.6, Yesh Atid 24.3, Smotrich 13.4, Gantz 11.6, Shas 8.1, UTJ 7; Blocs Deadlocked October 23, 2022Smotrich made the most significant gain with a 0.6 jump. Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu went up for the second straight week, this time by 0.3. Likud dropped for the second consecutive week, this time by 0.5. Gantz also went down this week, this time by 0.3. Lapid’s Yesh Atid also lost 0.1. Overall, we remain stuck […]
- 7 Polls – 2 Weeks Out October 23, 2022Kantar conducted a poll of 651 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 18 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
- 18 Days to Election – KnessetJeremy Poll Average: Likud 32.1, Yesh Atid 24.4, Smotrich 12.8, Gantz 11.9, Shas 8.1, UTJ 7; Netanyahu at 60 October 14, 2022Yesh Atid makes largest gain of 0.9 and Likud takes biggest drop of 0.7 – narrowing the gap between the two bloc leaders to 7.7 seats. Inside the Netanyahu camp, in addition to the Likud’s drop, Shas dropped slightly with a 0.1 loss. The Anti-Netanyahu Bloc continued to see fluctuation as Gantz made gains of […]
- 7 Polls from this week October 14, 2022Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 11 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 12 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
- KnessetJeremy Average: Likud 33, Yesh Atid 24, Smotrich 13, Gantz 11, Shas 8; Gantz takes beating & Labor surprises October 9, 2022This week Gantz’s party dropped 1.2 seats, this is the largest drop of any party on a week to week basis since the candidate lists were submitted. Yesh Atid also took a beating, dropping 0.6 since the last average. Yisrael Beitenu took a slight loss of 0.1. Not everything was negative for the anti-Netanyahu bloc […]
- 4 Polls from the week October 9, 2022Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 511 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on October 6 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United […]
- Election Scorecard November 12, 2022
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
If you had to predict, which parties will run together?
I am predicting that Otzma Yehudit and Ale Yarok will run on a joint list together. It just seems natural.