Panels conducted a poll of 1027 people with a 3% margin of error that was taken out for Knesset Channel and released on March 10 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [20] Zionist Union (Labor-Livni)
21 [18] Likud
14 [20] Yesh Atid
13 [11] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Bayit Yehudi
09 [02] Kulanu (Kahlon+Kadima)
07 [10] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [06] Meretz
04 [02] Yachad (Yishai+Chetboun+Marzel)
00 [00] Green Leaf 1.2% under 3.25% threshold
00 [00] Ten other parties poled under 1%, four others were not polled
64 [63] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out nominating Netanyahu in Phase 2)
56 [57] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out nominating Netanyahu in Phase 2)
Additional Questions
How sure are you that you will vote for the party you selected?
UTJ 83% Certain, 8% Probably, 8% Unsure
Likud 72% Certain, 25% Probably, 3% Unsure
The Joint (Arab) List 71% Certain, 21% Probably, 8% Unsure
Bayit Yehudi 64% Certain, 28% Probably, 8% Unsure
Shas 64% Certain, 25% Probably, 11% Unsure
Yachad 63% Certain, 33% Probably, 5% Unsure
Zionist Union 61% Certain, 35% Probably, 5% Unsure
Meretz 59% Certain, 32% Probably, 10% Unsure
Yesh Atid 57% Certain, 33% Probably, 10% Unsure
Yisrael Beitenu 48% Certain, 45% Probably, 9% Unsure
Kulanu 31% Certain, 54% Probably, 16% Unsure
Average 61% Certain, 31% Probably, 8% Unsure
Among voters that are still undecided on their vote, who are you leaning towards if not the party you selected?
Likud voters- Bayit Yehudi 13%, Kulanu 13%
Yesh Atid voters – Zionist Union 38%, Kulanu 12%
Zionist Union voters – Yesh Atid 47%, Merertz 20%
Bayit Yehudi voters – Likud 33%, Kulanu 26%
Kulanu voters – Bayit Yehudi 28%, Yesh Atid 25%
Yachad voters – Bayit Yehudi 38%, Shas 38%
Yisrael Beitenu voters – Bayit Yehudi 33%
Shas voters – 30% Kulanu
Meretz voters – Zionist Union 88%
Who is more worthy between these two candidates to be Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yitzchak Herzog?
50% Netanyahu, 34% Herzog, 16% Don’t know
Who do you want your party leader to endorse at the President’s Residence (Phase 2)?
Yachad voters – 100% Netanyahu, 0% Herzog, 0% Don’t Care
Yisrael Beitenu voters – 100% Netanyahu, 0% Herzog, 0% Don’t Care
Bayit Yehudi voters – 96% Netanyahu, 4% Don’t care, 0% Herzog
UTJ voters – 71% Netanyahu, 14% Herzog, 14% Don’t Care
Shas voters – 67% Netanyahu, 20% Herzog, 13% Don’t Care
Meretz voters – 100% Herzog, 0% Netanyahu, 0% Don’t Care
Yesh Atid voters – 79% Herzog, 14% Netanyahu, 7% Don”t care
The Joint (Arab) List voters – 50% Herzog, 50% Don’t Care, 0% Netanyahu
Kulanu voters – 47% Herzog, 33% Netanyahu, 20% Don’t Care
How do you define yourself politcally? (from left to right)
Meretz voters – 76% Left, 18% Center-Left, 5% Center, 0% Center-Right, 0% Right
Zionist Union voters – 18% Left, 47% Center-Left, 25% Center, 7% Center-Right, 3% Right
Kulanu voters – 2% Left, 2% Center-Left, 29% Center, 39% Center-Right, 29% Right
Yesh Atid voters – 1% Left, 19% Center-Left, 39% Center, 36% Center-Right, 6% Right
Shas voters – 0% Left, 8% Center-Left, 23% Center, 19% Center-Right, 50% Right
UTJ voters – 0% Left, 4% Center-Left, 17% Center, 46% Center-Right, 33% Right
Likud voters – 0% Left, 1% Center-Left, 5% Center, 27% Center-Right, 67% Right
Yisrael Beitenu voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 9% Center, 27% Center-Right, 64% Right
Bayit Yehudi voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 2% Center, 18% Center-Right, 80% Right
Yachad voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 0% Center, 30% Center-Right, 71% Right
Undecided voters – 5% Left, 14% Center-Left, 25% Center, 33% Center-Right, 24% Right
Total – 8% Left, 15% Center-Left, 18% Center, 24% Center-Right, 35% Right
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