Tag Archive: Knesset polls


Maariv Poll: Likud 31, Israel Resilience 20, Yesh Atid 12, UTJ 7, 3 tied at 6

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 2 Comments
February 1, 2019

Panels conducted a poll of 1012 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Feb 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.0% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
0.7% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
0.6% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
0.3% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) – under electoral threshold
0.1% [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) – under electoral threshold
0.1% [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) – under electoral threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B


Note: Israel Resilience is pulling 8 seats from Zionist Union voters, 4 from Yesh Atid, 2 from Likud and 1 from Kulanu.

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
25 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Ashkenazi
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

1.9% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

1.9% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 10% Don’t know, 9% Lapid, 8% None of above, 4% Saar, 3% Bennett, 2% Gabbai

Head-to-Head

44% Netanyahu, 41% Gantz, 15% Don’t know
50% Netanyahu, 26% Lapid, 24% Don’t know

Who is most suited to serve as Defense Minister?

26% Don’t know, 19% Gantz, 15% Ashekenazi, 14% Netanyahu, 13% Bennett, 13% Yaalon

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Yisrael HaYom & I24 News Poll: Likud 28, Israel Resilience 19, Yesh Atid 9, Joint List 9, HaYamin HeHadash 7, UTJ 7, Labor 5

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 2 Comments

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 1 2019. The poll was conducted Jan 30-31.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Zehut
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + Ashekenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
03 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
03 [07] Shas (Deri)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
02 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

41 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
39 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Additional Questions:

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

39% Center, 25% Don’t know, 22% Left, 14% Right

Without the Don’t know: 52% Center, 29% Left, 19% Right

Note: Results are after removing 25% that answered – Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 22% Others, 22% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 3% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 3% Liberman,

What issues will determine this election?

32% Security situation, 23% Netanyahu investigations, 21% Price of living, 10% Other answers, 7% Religion and State issues, Social gaps and social issues

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Post-Gantz-Speech/Week 6 – Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: Likud 30, Israel Resilience 21.8, Yesh Atid 10.2, HaYamin HeHadash 7, Labor 6.8

Filed under: Knesset, Weekly Poll Avg — 1 Comment
January 31, 2019

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 31st 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 5 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu30300.729.330
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz2221.87.514.30
3rdYesh AtidLapid1010.2-2.112.311
4thHaYamin HeHadashBennett77-183
5thLaborGabbai76.8-1.98.718
6thUTJLitzman76.5-0.26.76
7thJoint ListOdeh66.20.2612
8thTaalTibi66.20.261
9thMeretzZandberg54.8-0.55.35
10thKulanuKahlon54.5-0.24.710
11thYisrael BeitenuLiberman44.5-0.24.75
12thShasDeri44.5-0.85.37
13thBayit Yehudi?44045
14thGesherLevy33-1.74.71
15thLivniLivni00006
16thOtherOthers00000
Right-Religious6161-1.762.766
Center-Left-Arab59591.757.354

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the four polls that were conducted after Gantz’s speech (Panels, Panel Project HaMidgam, Midgam and Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


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Kan Poll: Likud 31, Israel Resilience 23, Yesh Atid 9, HaYamin HeHadash 8, Labor 8

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — Leave a comment

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.5% margin of error for Kan that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel), Green Leaf, Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

47% Netanyahu, 41% Gantz, 12% Neither
49% Netanyahu, 37% Neither, 14% Lapid
50% Netanyahu, 42% Neither, 8% Gabbai

Where would you place Gantz on the political map?

34% Center, 25% Center-left, 21% Center-Right, 13% Left, 6% Right

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Channel 12 Poll: Likud 30, Israel Resilience 21, Yesh Atid 11, HaYamin HeHadash 7, UTJ 7

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 1 Comment

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
2.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
0.8% [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: Labor at 6 seats is the lowest all-time showing in any poll.

Scenario Poll #1: Lapid #1 + Gantz #2 on same list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
2.3% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz #1 + Lapid #2 on same list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
1.9% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [—] Green Leaf

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 35% Gantz, 16% Neither, 13% Don’t know

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