Tag Archive: knesset poll


Smith conducted a poll of 545 people and a 4.5% margin of error for the Jerusalem Post that was published on Jan 3 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [18] Labor
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

If the Attorney-General decides on an indictment subject to a pre-election hearing, should Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign?

51% Yes, 34% No, 15% Don’t know

Between the following people who do you think would be most fitting to serve as Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 22% Don’t know, 14% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 7% Bennett, 5% Liberman, 4% Gabbai

Likud voters: 78% Netanyahu
Zionist Union voters: 41% Gabbai, 29% Don’t know, 14% Lapid, 10% Gabbai

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 501 people and a 4.3% margin of error for Yisrael Hayom that was published on Jan 3 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
13 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
03 [07] Shas – under threshold
02 [–] Zehut (Feiglin) – under threshold
02 [–] Otzma L’Yisrael (Marzel) – under threshold
00 [–] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: 7 seats are counted in this poll as part of the blocs but their individual parties do not pass the current electoral threshold.

Scenario Poll #1: Israel Resilience+Yesh Atid+Labor

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [29] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Yesh Atid + Labor
32 [30] Likud
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu
05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [06] Livni Party
02 [07] Shas – under threshold
01 [–] Yachad (Eli Yishai)- under threshold
01 [–] Zehut (Feiglin) – under threshold
01 [–] Otzma L’Yisrael (Marzel) – under threshold
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: 8 seats are counted in this poll as part of the blocs but their individual parties do not pass the current electoral threshold.

Scenario Poll #2: Bayit Yehudi+Tekuma+Yachad+Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
13 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
09 [05] Bayit Yehudi+Tekuma+Yachad+Otzma
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [18] Labor
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
02 [07] Shas
02 [–] Zehut (Feiglin),
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Who is most fitting to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 28% Don’t know, 15% Gantz, 10% Lapid, 5% Bennett, 5% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

TNS conducted a poll of 543 people for the Kan Channel that was broadcast on Jan 2 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [06] Livni Party (close to the threshold)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi (far from the threshold)
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 30% Don’t know

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 36% Don’t know, 24% Lapid

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Jan 2 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [18] Labor
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [06] Livni Party
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–] (1.8% of vote) Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] (1.3% of vote) Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–] (1% of vote) Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–] (0.4% of vote) Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–] Green Leaf and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Livni

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
15 [06] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Livni
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [18] Labor
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–] (1.8% of vote) Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] (1.3% of vote) Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–] (1% of vote) Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–] (0.4% of vote) Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–] Green Leaf and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

*Note: Scenario poll total is 119 seats, not 120.

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

37% Don’t know, 35% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

55% Don’t know, 38% Netanyahu, 17% Lapid

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Dec 30 2018.

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls (Panels, Midgam, Sarid, Panel Project HaMidgam and Direct Polls) released on December 30 2018. It is being compared to the 2015 election results.

AVGCurrentParty
27.630Likud
13.40Israel Resilience
12.811Yesh Atid
12.413Joint List
10.43Yamin Hadash
8.824Zionist Union
76UTJ
5.610Kulanu
5.65Meretz
4.87Shas
4.61Gesher
3.85Yisrael Beitenu
3.25Bayit Yehudi
62.466Right-Religious
57.654Center-Left-Arab

Sarid conducted a poll of 825 people for the Kan Channel that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [07] Shas
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (under threshold)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do Hayamin Hehadash seats come from?

5 from previous Bayit Yehudi voters, 5 from Likud, 1 from Kulanu, less than 1 each – a combined 3 seats that are divided between Shas, Zionist Union, Yesh Atid and Yachad.

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz+Yaalon together

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz+Yaalon)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Who do you prefer for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 24% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 580 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Did Bennett & Shaked do the right thing by leaving Bayit Yehudi?

All voters: 43% Don’t know, 30% Yes, 27% No
Bayit Yehudi voters: 41% Don’t know, 31% No, 28% Yes

Who should lead Hayamin Hehadash?

All voters: 42% Don’t know, 35% Bennett, 23% Shaked
Right voters: 42% Bennett, 42% Don’t know, 26% Shaked

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 628 people with a 4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Dec 30 2018. The poll was conducted the night of Dec 29 following the press conference where Bennett & Shaked announced the formation of Hayamin Hehadash.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
15 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
14 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [10] Kulanu
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.