Tag Archive: knesset in israel


Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – 2.9% is under 3.25% electoral threshold
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz, Kahlon and Ashekenazi on same list?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [10] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Kulanu (Kahlon) + Ashkenazi
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.-Kahlon
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.+Kahlon

Additional Questions:

After hearing Prime Minister Netanyahu’s speech, should the Attorney general publish his recommendation on indicting the Prime Minister before the elections?

52% Yes, 28% Don’t know, 20% No

Likud voters: 46% No, 28% Yes, 26% Don’t know

The Prime Minister is arguing that the criminal and justice system has been against him and not acted fairly. Do you agree with this argument?

48% No, 36% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Likud voters: 79% Yes, 17% No, 4% Don’t know

Can the Prime Minister remain in his position even after being indicted?

48% No, 37% Yes, 15% Don’t know

Likud voters: 80% Yes, 12% Don’t know, 8% No

Direct Polls conducted a poll of center-left voters that was published by Makor Rishon on January 6 2019.

Do you support removing Avi Gabbai as Labor Chairman?

54.1% Yes, 36.8% No, 9.1% Don’t know

Do you support Gabbai’s move to end the partnership of the Zionist Union?

52.1% No, 22.9% Support the move but not the way it was done, 21% Yes, 4% Don’t know

Who should lead the Labor list in the next elections if not Avi Gabbai?

25.3% Gantz, 18.6% Barak, 12.4% Livni, 12.2% Don’t know, 11.8% Yachimovich, 10.8% Ashkenazi, 8.9% Shapir

Should Labor run alone or join a Center-left alliance?

76.6% Run as an alliance, 18.8% Run alone, 4.6% Don’t know

The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:

https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.

PlacePartyCurrent AvgChangeWeek 1 AVGCurrent
1stLikud28.81.227.630
2ndIsrael Resilience12.8-0.613.40
3rdYesh Atid12.7-0.112.811
4thJoint List11.7-0.712.413
5thHaYamin HeHadash8.8-1.610.43
6thLabor (*Week 1: Zionist Union)8.2-0.68.824
7thUTJ6.7-0.376
8thKulanu5.5-0.15.610
9thMeretz5.5-0.15.65
10thShas50.24.87
11thGesher4.80.24.61
12thYisrael Beitenu4.50.73.85
13thBayit Yehudi2.8-0.43.25
14thLivni (*Week 1: Zionist Union)1.51.500
15thOther0.70.700
Right-Religious62.80.462.466
Center-Left-Arab57.2-0.457.654

Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 2025 Dati Leumi and Haredi Leumi voters with a 2% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Jan 4 2019.

Who do you vote for in the last elections?

75.2% Bayit Yehudi, 10% Likud, 9.8% Yachad, 2.6% Other, 0.9% Didn’t vote, 0.7% Shas, 0.4% Yesh Atid, 0.3% Kulanu

Who will you vote for in this election?

45.6% Bayit Yehudi, 21.8% HaYamin HeHadash, 17.9% Undecided, 8.7% Likud, 3.4% Other, 0.5% Shas, 0.4% Gesher, 0.2% Israel Resilience, 0% Kulanu

Do you support or oppose Bennett & Shaked’s decision?

39.6% Oppose, 37.5% Support, 13.2% Depends on who is chosen on both lists, 9.7% Undecided

Young voters: 47.6% Support, 28.2% Oppose, 13.9% Depends on list, 10.4% Undecided
Hardal voters: 38.8% Oppose, 36.6% Support, 13.8% Depends on the list, 10.8% Undecided

What is the main reason for you position on the previous question?

26% Dangerous for the right bloc, 24.9% Harms the religious zionist base, 23.5% To achieve national leadership it is not enough to be sectorial, 15.2% Should strengthen the right bloc, 10.5% It was expected for a long time

Note: 34.1% of young voters answered “To achieve national leadership” compared to 16.1% of Hardal voters.

Do you support a joint list of Bayit Yehudi and Tekuma with Yachad of Eli Yishai and/or Otzma?

66.9% Yes, 22.6% Depends on each list, 6.6% No, 4% Undecided

What was the motive behind Bennett and Shaked leaving?

39.5% Ideology and personal gain, 28.8% Personal gain, 22.8% Ideology and values, 8.8% Don’t know

Note: More than a third of young Bayit Yehudi voters answered the motives were ideology and values.

Who should lead the Bayit Yehudi list?

40.4% Smotrich, 38.2% Someone new, 9.3% Ben Dahan, 6.3% Ariel, 5.9% Yogev