Tag Archive: knesset in israel


Knesset Channel Poll on Sara & Benjamin Netanyahu

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January 2, 2016

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was published Dec 31 2015.

Is it correct to investigate the Prime Minister’s wife Sarah Netanyahu in the Prime Minister Residence case?

66% Yes, 19% No, 15% Don’t know

Should Prime Minister Netanyahu also be investigated by the police in this case?

38% No, 38% Yes, 24 Don’t know

Likud supporters: 62% No, 25% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Is there truth that Sara Netanyahu broke the law or are disgruntled ex-workers out to get her?

48% Truth, 27% Don’t know, 25% Out to get her

Likud supporters: 40% Out to get her, 38% Truth, 22% Don’t know

If charges are filed against Sarah Netanyahu, should Prime Minister Netanyahu resign from his position?

46% No, 39% Yes, 15% Don’t know

How will Minister Chaim Katz’s election as Likud Central Committee Chairman influence Benjamin Netanyahu’s ability to control the Likud movement?

33% Won’t influence, 33% Don’t know, 22% Will make things more difficult for Netanyahu, 12% Will make things easier for Netanyahu

Of the following candidates who could defeat Prime Minister Netanyahu in the Likud Leadership race?

44% No one, 34% Saar, 4% Yisrael Katz, 4% Yaalon, 1% Chaim Katz

Should the position of Israeli Prime Minister be limited to two terms?

56% Yes, 26% No

Likud supporters: 57% No, 37% Yes

Is Prime Minister Netanyahu’s move to make the Likud Leadership Primary early a democratic move?

46% No, 32% Yes, 22% Don’t know

Likud supporters: 52% Yes, 38% No, 10% Don’t know

Is Aryeh Deri’s return to the Interior Ministry appropriate?

68% No, 21% Yes

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Jerusalem Post/Maariv Poll: 68% diplomatic agreement cannot be reached, 47% Palestinians biggest danger to Israeli society

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Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.3% error margin for Maariv & The Jerusalem Post that was published Jan 1 2016.

Who is your person of the year?

29% Putin, 16% Merkel, 15% Netanyahu, 3% Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, 2% Pope Francis, 2% Obama, 33% don’t know.

What is the country’s biggest problem?

45% wave of terrorism, 33% cost of living & socioeconomic gaps, 8% the diplomatic stalemate, 4% Right-Left relations, 4% international isolation, 2% religious-secular relations, 4% don’t know.

Could a diplomatic agreement currently be reached with the Palestinians?

68% no, 22% yes, 10% don’t know.

What is currently the biggest danger to Israeli security?

47% Palestinians, 24% Islamic State & radical Islam, 13% Iran, 7% Jewish terrorism, 6% Hezbollah, 3% don’t know.

Do you believe the current terrorist wave can be stopped?

65% yes, 28% no, 7% don’t know.

Will Iran keep its commitments from the Iranian nuclear deal?

79% No, 15% don’t know, 6% yes.

What was the most important item on the international agenda in 2015?

50% struggle to stop Islamic State, 25% Syrian refugee crisis, 10% US presidential election, 6% war in Syria and Iraq, 5% Iranian nuclear program, 4% don’t know.

Will there be elections in 2016?

46% Probably Not, 27% Probably Yes, 13%  Don’t know, 9% For sure not, 5% For sure yes

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Last Poll of 2015: Likud 25, Herzog 18, Lapid 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12

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January 1, 2016

The second public poll of seats since the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Midgam for Yediot Achranot and was published on Jan 1 2016. It was the last poll conducted in 2015.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: Midgam was in the middle of the pack in terms of accuracy among the nine major polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a projection that was off by 19 seats. However, Midgam was among the least accurate in predicting the blocs by giving the Center-Left-Arab bloc three more seats than they would actually win.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The most interesting takeaways from this poll is that Herzog and Lapid are now tied and that Bayit Yehudi is pulling seats from Likud.

Scenario Poll: Saar-Kahlon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [10] Saar-Kahlon Party

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: In the scenario poll a Saar-Kahlon party would fail to gain any seats from the center and would take away votes from Likud and Bayit Yehudi.

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First Public Poll since March: Likud 31, Zionist Union 20, Yesh Atid 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 9

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December 3, 2015

The first public poll of seats since before the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Maagar Mochot, a poll of 516 people during the 29th and 30th of November 2015 for 103 FM Radio

31 [30] Likud

20 [24] Zionist Union

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [07] Shas

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

 

Note: Maagar Mochot tied for last among the top-nine polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a result that was off by 23 seats. However, Maagar Mochot was tied in first place in predicting the blocs with only one seat off, predicting an extra seat for the Center-Left-Arab bloc.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: There are two movements that can be seen in this poll and it is part of an overall trend. Four seats in the Center-Left Bloc move from Opposition Leader Herzog’s Zionist Union to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon loses five seats, two to Yisrael Beitenu and one each to Shas, Likud and Bayit Yehudi. The trend here is a slight movement of the Israeli electorate to the right since March.

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Panels Poll on Jewish Terrorism, Yinon Magal, Gas Deal, Electoral System

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Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on December 3rd 2015

Have the security forces done enough to deal with Jewish terrorism?

47% Not doing enough, 43% Doing enough

Do the security forces have enough legal tools to deal with Jewish terrorism?

56% There is enough tools, 30% Not enough tools

Are the security forces not doing enough because of politician pressure?

48% Not an issue, 41% An issue

Do you think MK Yinon Magal should have resigned because of the allegations against him?

54% Should resign, 34% Shouldn’t resign

Are you pleased with how Minister Naftali Bennett handled the Yinon Magal Story?

40% Pleased, 36% Not pleased

Do you think Minister Avi Gabai should have testified in the Knesset Economic Affairs Committee?

59% Yes, 15% No

Do you understand the Gas Deal?

63% Don’t understand, 35% Understand

Are you for the Gas Deal?

41% No, 26% Yes

Should the electoral system in Israel be changed?

56% Yes, 30% No

Should Israeli citizens who are living overseas be allowed to vote in Knesset elections?

54% No, 39% Yes

What is your position on the campaign financing law for the primaries?

56% Bad system that should be changed, 14% Good system that should be kept

What is the correct way to choose a Knesset list?

55% Primaries, 25% Chairperson or Central Committee

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