The second public poll of seats since the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Midgam for Yediot Achranot and was published on Jan 1 2016. It was the last poll conducted in 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [30] Likud
18 [24] Zionist Union
18 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
65 [67] Right-Religious
55 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Note: Midgam was in the middle of the pack in terms of accuracy among the nine major polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a projection that was off by 19 seats. However, Midgam was among the least accurate in predicting the blocs by giving the Center-Left-Arab bloc three more seats than they would actually win.
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The most interesting takeaways from this poll is that Herzog and Lapid are now tied and that Bayit Yehudi is pulling seats from Likud.
Scenario Poll: Saar-Kahlon Party
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [30] Likud
18 [24] Zionist Union
18 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [10] Saar-Kahlon Party
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
65 [67] Right-Religious
55 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: In the scenario poll a Saar-Kahlon party would fail to gain any seats from the center and would take away votes from Likud and Bayit Yehudi.
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