Tag Archive: Jeremy Man Saltan


Panels conducted a poll with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
05 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

60 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

34% Netanyahu, 24% Gantz, 16% None, 9% Don’t know, 7% Saar, 6% Ashkenazi, 2% Lapid, 2% Lieberman

Would you prefer a government with Haredim or without?

50% Without, 32% With, 18% Don’t know

By Party (Without is no; With is yes):

Yisrael Beitenu: 92% No, 4% Yes
Blue & White: 88% No, 6% Yes
Democratic Union: 73% No, 7% Yes
Joint List: 69% No, 3% Yes
Labor: 64% No, 36% Yes
Yamina: 45% Yes, 45% No
Likud: 47% Yes, 28% No
Shas: 80% Yes, 13% No
UTJ: 100% Yes, 0% No

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls (Updated September 3rd)

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsAVGApril ResultsDifference
1stLikudNetanyahu313139-8
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz303035-5
3rdThe Joint ListOdeh1110.8100.8
4thYaminaShaked1110.655.6
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman109.954.9
6thDemocratic UnionHorwitz77.343.3
7thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman77.38-0.7
8thShasDeri77.28-0.8
9thLaborPeretz65.96-0.1
10thOtherBen Gvir/Etc.0000
Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM5656.160-3.9
Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM545455-1
Pushing Unity Government109.954.9

Note #1: This average is based on the last 24 polls that were conducted from July 30th until September 3 (last month): 8 Midgam, 5 Smith, 3 Maagar Mochot, 3 Teleseker, 3 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls & 0 Panels.

Note #2: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election. The Zehut list has agreed to resign but has yet to do so officially.

Note #3: Voter exchange/surplus agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Democratic Union, B) Blue and White & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & Yamina. Shas & UTJ are expected to sign before the deadline on September 6th. The Joint List announced they will not sign with any other list.

Midgam conducted a poll of 521 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was published by Walla on September 3 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 17% Neither, 9% Don’t know, 5% Same

Right: 65% Netanyahu, 15% Gantz, 11% None, 5% Same, 4% Don’t know

Center & Left: 54% Gantz, 27% Neither, 7% Netanyahu, 7% Don’t know, 5% Same

Are Netanyahu’s attacks on Channel 12 & journalist Guy Peleg justified?

49% No, 31% Don’t know, 20% Yes

Right: 36% No, 33% Don’t know, 31% Yes

Center & Left: 74% No, 18% Don’t know, 8% Yes

Teleseker conducted a poll of 550 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was conducted and broadcast by Channel 11 on September 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Note: Zehut voters divided now mostly between Likud or Yamina with some choosing Yisrael Beitenu or Blue & White.

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct with the situation in the north?

45% Yes, 45% No, 10% Don’t know

Are you pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct with the situation in the south?

61% No, 32% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Do you support Netanyahu’s call to boycott Channel 12?

64% No, 18% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 701 people with a margin of error of 4% that was conducted and broadcast by Channel 13 on September 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Is the security situation influencing the election?

59% Yes, 26% No, 15% Don’t know

Non-Jewish voters: 72% Yes, 22% No, 6% Don’t know
Jewish voters: 57% Yes, 26% No, 17% Don’t know

Who should lead Likud post-Netanyahu?

31% None of the above, 27% Saar, 19% Don’t know, 8% Erdan, 6% Edelstein, 5% Regev, 4% Katz

Likud voters: 31% None of the above, 22% Don’t know, 17% Saar, 15% Erdan, 6% Edelstein, 6% Regev, 2% Katz

If Netanyahu forms a government who is most likely to join him?

26% None of the above, 26% Israel Resilience (Gantz), 22% Don’t know, 12% Labor, 6% Telem (Yaalon), 4% Yesh Atid (Lapid), 4% Democratic Union

If Gantz forms a government who is most likely to join him?

31% None of the above, 23% Don’t know, 21% Yamin HeHadash (Shaked & Bennett), 12% Shas, 8% UTJ, 5% Bayit Yehudi (Peretz & Smotrich)

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a margin of error of 4% that was published by Maariv and broadcast by 103 FM Radio on Aug 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)+
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.6% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Question:

Do you support Netanyahu adding Gantz, Yaalon & Ashkenazi to an emergency security cabinet?

40% Yes, 39% No, 21% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 507 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was published by Yisrael Hayom and broadcast by I24NEWS on Aug 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
30 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)+
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Scenario Poll: If Otzma, Zehut & Noam drop out

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
12 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)+
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 24% Gantz, 16% Don’t know, 6% Shaked, 4% Liberman, 4% Barak, 4% Lapid, 2% Peretz

Who is more suited to serve as Defense Minister?

26% Don’t know, 24% Ashkenazi, 14% Bennett, 13% Gantz, 13% Liberman, 8% Barak, 2% Peretz

Do you support Peretz not sitting in Netanyahu’s government?

35% Yes, 33% No, 32% Don’t know

In general how much does the security situation influence your vote?

23% Influences, 21% Influences to a larger extent, 18% Influences to a great extent, 18% Doesn’t influence at all, 13% Doesn’t influence, 7% Other answers

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Aug 29 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
All others under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

43% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 19% Neither, 9% Don’t know

Teleseker/Kantar conducted a poll of 1210 people with a margin of error of 2.9% that was broadcast by Channel 11 on Aug 26 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.7% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: (Updated August 26th)

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsAVGApril ResultsDifference
1stLikudNetanyahu3130.739-8.3
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz3029.635-5.4
3rdYaminaShaked1110.955.9
4thThe Joint ListOdeh1110.9100.9
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman101055
6thDemocratic UnionHorwitz77.543.5
7thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman77.48-0.6
8thShasDeri77.28-0.8
9thLaborPeretz65.86-0.2
10thOtherFeiglin/Ben Gvir/Etc0000
Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM5656.260-3.8
Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM5453.855-1.2
Pushing Unity Government101055

Note #1: This average is based on the last 17 polls that were conducted from July 30th until August 23rd (last four weeks). (6 Midgam, 4 Smith, 2 Maagar Mochot, 2 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls, 1 Teleseker & 0 Panels).

Note #2: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election.