Tag Archive: israeli polls


Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jan 11 2016.

What grade do you give Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid?

30% Average, 27% Bad, 26% Good, 10% Very Good, 7% Don’t know

Does the fact that Lapid has recruited himself to be Israel’s public diplomacy agent overseas added to his value?

52% Yes, 39% No, 9% Don’t Know

How does Lapid’s decision to get closer to the Haredim (ultra-orthodox) change the chances you will vote for him?

51% No change, 36% Lower chance I vote for him, 10% Higher chance I vote for him, 3% Don’t know

If the elections were conducted today – would you consider voting for Yesh Atid led by Lapid?

61% No, 25% Yes, 14% Don’t Know

Of the following leaders, which one is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

24% Benjamin Netanyahu, 16% Yair Lapid, 11% Naftali Bennett, 10% Issac Herzog, 7% Avigdor Liberman, 4% Moshe Kahlon, 7% Don’t Know, 21% None of the Above

Midgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 5.4% error rate for the Channel 2 that was broadcast Jan 9 2016.

How pleased are you from the conduct the following ministers?

Top 5: Health Minister Litzman (UTJ) 56.1%, Transportation Minister Katz (Likud) 50.5%, Defense Minister Yaalon (Likud) 50.5%, Justice Minister Shaked (Bayit Yehudi) 46.9%, Education Minister Bennett (Bayit Yehudi) 45.5%.

Bottom 5: Periphery Minister Deri (Shas) 18.9%, Prime Minister Netanyahu (Likud) 32.1%, Finance Minister Kahlon (Kulanu) 37%, Culture Minister Regev (Likud) 37.8%, Homeland Security Minister Erdan (Likud) 38%.

Note: Currently there are 20 ministers including the Prime Minister serving in the Israeli cabinet. The results for the other ten ministers that were not listed are under 45.5% and above 38%.

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was published Dec 31 2015.

Is it correct to investigate the Prime Minister’s wife Sarah Netanyahu in the Prime Minister Residence case?

66% Yes, 19% No, 15% Don’t know

Should Prime Minister Netanyahu also be investigated by the police in this case?

38% No, 38% Yes, 24 Don’t know

Likud supporters: 62% No, 25% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Is there truth that Sara Netanyahu broke the law or are disgruntled ex-workers out to get her?

48% Truth, 27% Don’t know, 25% Out to get her

Likud supporters: 40% Out to get her, 38% Truth, 22% Don’t know

If charges are filed against Sarah Netanyahu, should Prime Minister Netanyahu resign from his position?

46% No, 39% Yes, 15% Don’t know

How will Minister Chaim Katz’s election as Likud Central Committee Chairman influence Benjamin Netanyahu’s ability to control the Likud movement?

33% Won’t influence, 33% Don’t know, 22% Will make things more difficult for Netanyahu, 12% Will make things easier for Netanyahu

Of the following candidates who could defeat Prime Minister Netanyahu in the Likud Leadership race?

44% No one, 34% Saar, 4% Yisrael Katz, 4% Yaalon, 1% Chaim Katz

Should the position of Israeli Prime Minister be limited to two terms?

56% Yes, 26% No

Likud supporters: 57% No, 37% Yes

Is Prime Minister Netanyahu’s move to make the Likud Leadership Primary early a democratic move?

46% No, 32% Yes, 22% Don’t know

Likud supporters: 52% Yes, 38% No, 10% Don’t know

Is Aryeh Deri’s return to the Interior Ministry appropriate?

68% No, 21% Yes

The second public poll of seats since the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Midgam for Yediot Achranot and was published on Jan 1 2016. It was the last poll conducted in 2015.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: Midgam was in the middle of the pack in terms of accuracy among the nine major polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a projection that was off by 19 seats. However, Midgam was among the least accurate in predicting the blocs by giving the Center-Left-Arab bloc three more seats than they would actually win.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The most interesting takeaways from this poll is that Herzog and Lapid are now tied and that Bayit Yehudi is pulling seats from Likud.

Scenario Poll: Saar-Kahlon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [10] Saar-Kahlon Party

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: In the scenario poll a Saar-Kahlon party would fail to gain any seats from the center and would take away votes from Likud and Bayit Yehudi.

The first public poll of seats since before the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Maagar Mochot, a poll of 516 people during the 29th and 30th of November 2015 for 103 FM Radio

31 [30] Likud

20 [24] Zionist Union

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [07] Shas

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

 

Note: Maagar Mochot tied for last among the top-nine polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a result that was off by 23 seats. However, Maagar Mochot was tied in first place in predicting the blocs with only one seat off, predicting an extra seat for the Center-Left-Arab bloc.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: There are two movements that can be seen in this poll and it is part of an overall trend. Four seats in the Center-Left Bloc move from Opposition Leader Herzog’s Zionist Union to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon loses five seats, two to Yisrael Beitenu and one each to Shas, Likud and Bayit Yehudi. The trend here is a slight movement of the Israeli electorate to the right since March.