Tag Archive: Israel Elections


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Saturday February 9th 2018.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 6 AVGCurrent
1stLikudNetanyahu313113030
2ndIsrael ResilienceGantz2221.3-0.521.80
3rdYesh AtidLapid1110.90.710.211
4thHaYamin HeHadashBennett87.20.273
5thJoint ListOdeh76.60.46.212
6thUTJLitzman76.506.56
7thTaalTibi65.6-0.66.21
8thLaborGabbai65.5-1.36.818
9thShasDeri54.90.44.57
10thMeretzZandberg54.804.85
11thKulanuKahlon44.1-0.44.510
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman44-0.54.55
13thBayit YehudiPeretz43.7-0.345
14thGesherLevy02-131
15thOtherOthers01.71.700
16thLivniLivni00.20.206
Right-Religious6362.91.96166
Center-Left-Arab5757.1-1.95954

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on ten polls that were conducted from Feb 1-9 (2 Panels, 2 Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls, 2 Maagar Mochot, 1 Midgam and 1 Smith polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Miskar conducted a poll that was published by Srugim on Feb 9 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [12] The Joint (Arab) List

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

00 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [07] Shas (Deri)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
00 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Green Leaf
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) & others

49 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
38 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz
33 [–] seats are thrown away

Scenario Poll: Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma + Otzma + Yachad

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
24 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
13 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma + Yachad
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

00 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [07] Shas (Deri)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
00 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Green Leaf
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) & others

53 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
43 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz
24 [–] seats are thrown away

Note: I will not include this poll in my average

Midgam conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Feb 9 2019. The poll was conducted on Feb 7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.7% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.5% [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
2.1% [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.4% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
1.0% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
0.8% [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Lapid + Ashkenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.6% [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
2.1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.3% [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.4% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
1.0% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
0.8% [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

37% Netanyahu, 26% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 9% Don’t know, 8% None of them, 7% Saar, 3% Gabbai, 1% Y. Katz

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 706 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 8 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 6-7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

57 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
63 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
02 [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
02 [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
02 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
02 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
01 [06] Livni Party
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

47+17=64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
51+05=56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Note: I will update the results later to reflect the seat chart without the parties that didn’t cross the threshold.

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + AshkenaziDistribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

42 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
03 [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
03 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
01 [06] Livni Party
01 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
01 [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

50+11=61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
49+10=59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + Ashkenazi, Labor + Meretz and Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
34 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
12 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
10 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
02 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
02 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
02 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.
00 [06] Livni Party

52+12=64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52+04=56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Where do you place Israel Resilience on the political map?

55% Center, 28% Left, 17% Right

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 23% Other answers, 22% Gantz, 10% Lapid, 5% Bennett, 2% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

Who should lead the center-left bloc?

37% No one, 32% Gantz, 15% Lapid, 7% Livni, 5% Barak, 4% Zandberg

Telekser conducted a scenario poll that was published on Yediot Achronot journalist Yuval Karmi’s twitter on Feb 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari), Zehut (Feiglin), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Panels conducted a poll of 1009 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Walla that was published on Feb 7 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 6-7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.9% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
2.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.8% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [06] Livni Party
1.3% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
1.0% [–-] Green Leaf
Less than 1%: Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions

Of the following candidates who is most suited to serve as Likud leader on the day after Netanyahu?

33% Saar, 23% None, 23% Don’t know, 7% Edelstein, 6% Y. Katz, 4% Erdan, 4% Regev

Likud voters: 22% None, 21% Don’t know, 19% Saar, 12% Erdan, 11% Regev, 10% Y. Katz, 5% Edelstein

Do you want former IDF COS Gabi Ashkenazi to go into politics?

36% No opinion, 33% No, 31% Yes

Yesh Atid voters: 61% Yes, 24% No, 15% No Opinion
Israel Resilience voters: 61% Yes, 21% No Opinion, 18% No

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 694 people with a 4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Feb 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Lapid, Netanyahu + Bennett, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [33] Likud (Netanyahu) + Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked) 
37 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Lapid, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #3: Gantz + Lapid, Netanyahu + Kahlon, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [40] Likud (Netanyahu) + Kulanu (Kahlon)
35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 761 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Feb 7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
24 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

Under electoral threshold:

1.9% [06] Livni Party
1.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
under 1% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari), Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll: Gantz+Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
00 [05] Meretz – Under electoral threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Question:

Who would you rather see lead the Likud?

40% Netanyahu, 39% Saar, 21% Don’t know

Likud voters: 84% Netanyahu, 11% Saar, 5% Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

48% Netanyahu, 35% Gantz, 17% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll for Channel 20 that was broadcast on Feb 6 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

03 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.0% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.0% [–] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) – under electoral threshold
under 1% – Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 22% Gantz, 9% Lapid

Who should lead a joint Gantz+Lapid list?

44% Gantz, 35% Don’t know, 21% Lapid

How to Israel Resilience voters define themselves?

31% Center, 22% Center-left, 19% Center-right, 19% Left, 9% Right

If you had a chance to vote for a second party which would you choose?

16% Israel Resilience, 10% Yesh Atid, 9% HaYamin HeHadash, 7% Likud, 4% Kulanu, 3% Labor, 3% Bayit Yehudi, 2% Shas, 2% Meretz, 1% Yisrael Beitenu, 1% UTJ, 1% Livni

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 718 people with a 4.2% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was broadcast on Feb 6 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari) – under electoral threshold
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1: If Ashkenazi joins Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Ashkenazi
07 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: If Lapid joins Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #3: Gantz + Gesher

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
25 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Gesher (Levy)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Do you believe Netanyahu or Saar in the “President Rivlin attempt to nominate Saar instead of Netanyahu for Prime Minister”?

48% Saar, 29% Netanyahu, 23% Don’t know

Likud voters: 64% Netanyahu, 26% Don’t know, 10% Saar