Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 543 people with a 4.2% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was conducted on Feb 16 2019 and broadcast on Feb 17 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.2% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
1.0% [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
0.9% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.5% [06] Livni Party
Under 0.5%: [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and other

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Midgam conducted a poll of 502 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 12 that was conducted and broadcast on Feb 17 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

3.0% [–] Yachad (Eli Yishai) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
2.0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.8% [06] Livni Party
0.8% [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
Below 1%: Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

3.0% [–] Yachad (Eli Yishai) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
2.6% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.4% [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.1% [06] Livni Party
Below 1%: Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Question:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahyu, 31% Gantz, 22% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 437 people with a 4.3% margin of error for 103 FM radio that was broadcast on Feb 8 2019. The poll was conducted on Feb 15 2019.

Do you want to see Ehud Barak return to the political leadership in the upcoming Knesset elections?

54% No, 34% Don’t care, 12% Yes

Note: The seat results are identical to the seat distribution Maagar Mochot produced for Yisrael HaYom on the same day. I have updated that poll to reflect the numbers without the parties that didn’t cross the threshold.
Those results are here: https://knessetjeremy.com/2019/02/14/yisrael-hayom-poll-likud-30-israel-resilience-19-yesh-atid-12-joint-list-9-utj-9/

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 735 people with a 3.5% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was broadcast by Reshet Bet Radio on Feb 14 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
2.4% [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
2.3% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.8% [06] Livni Party
1.3% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
0.4% [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
0.3% [–] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
Under 0.3% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and other

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1 : Gantz+Lapid, Bayit Yehudi+Tekuma+Otzma+Yachad

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
29 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz+Yaalon+Levy

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Gesher (Levy)
11 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Tekuma (Smotrich) + Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) 
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Where would you place Gantz on the political map?

26% Left-Center, 26% Center, 22% Left, 17% Center-Right, 5% Don’t know 4% Right

Should Gantz join a Netanyahu coalition if invited and offered the Defense Ministry or should he sit in the opposition?

55% Opposition, 24% Defense Ministry, 21% Don’t know

Note: I will update the post when the complete numbers for the second scenario poll comes in.

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 604 people with a 4% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 14 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

56 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
64 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
02 [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
01 [06] Livni Party
01 [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

49+13=62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56+02=58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Lapid, Labor + Meretz, Bayit Yehudi+Tekuma+Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
12 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
11 [05] Otzma (Marzel) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked) 
05 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
26 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
10 [05] Otzma (Marzel) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

57+07=64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
53+03=56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who should lead center-left bloc?

44% None, 27% Gantz, 12% Lapid, 5% Gabbai, 4% Barak, 4% Livni, 4% Zandberg

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

33% Netanyahu, 25% Other answers, 21% Gantz, 10% Lapid, 6% Bennett, 3% Liberman, 2% Gabbai

What government should be formed after elections?

39% Right, 22% National Unity Government (Netanyahu & Gantz), 21% Left government, 19% Other answers

Will the 2019 elections be decisive for Israel’s future?

56% Yes, 26% In the middle, 18% No