Direct Polls conducted a poll of 543 people with a 4.2% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was conducted on Feb 16 2019 and broadcast on Feb 17 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.9% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.2% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
1.0% [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
0.9% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.5% [06] Livni Party
Under 0.5%: [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and other
63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Congrats on being named #23 on the list, I guess we can expect to see polls with the New Right at 24 mandates in our inbox very soon 🙂
On Mon, Feb 18, 2019 at 12:32 AM Jeremy’s Knesset Insider wrote:
> Knesset Jeremy posted: ” Direct Polls conducted a poll of 543 people with > a 4.2% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was conducted on Feb 16 > 2019 and broadcast on Feb 17 2019. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 30 > [30] Likud (Netanyahu) 20 [-–] Israel Resilience (G” >
I think you overestimate the power of #23 😉
I just saw that the New Right signed a surplus vote agreement with Israel Beitenu.
If IB doesn’t pass the threshold, do those votes go to the New Right, or would IB enter the Knesset with fewer than 4 seats?
Votes are thrown away when they do not pass the threshold and therefore can’t be used in a surplus vote agreement.