Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll of 650 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was published by Maariv on November 29 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
05 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
54 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Scenario Poll: Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
31 [32] Likud (Saar)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
04 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

Additional Questions:

Does Benny Gantz have the right talent to serve as Prime Minister?

45% No, 41% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Does Gidon Saar have the right talent to serve as Prime Minister?

44% Yes, 32% No, 24% Don’t know

Can Netanyahu remain as Prime Minister?

48% No, 46% Yes, 6% Don’t know

Is Saar correct in his demand to have a primary in hopes of preventing a 3rd election?

60% Yes, 25% No, 15% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 501 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on November 29 2019.

Note: The results are identical to the 13th poll because they were conducted by the same pollster during the same day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
04 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2% [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
1% [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

If there are 3rd elections would the result be different?

44% No, 19% Right Majority, 19% Don’t know, 18% Center-Left Majority

What do you prefer?

57% Unity Government, 26% 3rd Elections, 17% Don’t know

Following the indictment should Netanyahu resign?

43% Resign, 35% Keep serving, 12% Recuse himself, 10% Don’t know

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

45% Netanyahu, 39% Gantz, 16% Don’t know

Questions for Likud voters:

Who do you prefer to lead the Likud?

88% Netanyahu, 8% Saar, 4% Don’t know

Do you support Barkat’s compromise to elect a deputy leader?

49% No, 38% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 481 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was published by Maariv on November 28 2019. The poll was conducted the same day. The following day the poll was broadcast on 103 FM with additional information.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
04 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Scenario Poll: Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
28 [32] Likud (Saar)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
12 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
11 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
04 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

60 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
51 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
09 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Question:

What should Netanyahu do?

43% Resign, 35% Stay on, 12% Recuse himself , 10% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on November 26 2019. The poll was conducted on Nov 26.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
1.2% [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
55 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
09 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Scenario Poll: Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
26 [32] Likud (Saar)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
10 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
53 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
09 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 39% Gantz, 14% Neither, 7% Don’t know

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister if Saar leads Likud?

40% Gantz, 24% Neither, 23% Saar, 13% Don’t know

Do you agree with Saar that Netanyahu can’t form a coalition?

54% Yes, 26% No, 20% Don’t know

Right: 41% Yes, 40% No, 19% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Yes, 16% Don’t know, 7% No

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Walla on November 26 2019. The poll was conducted Nov 25-26.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
1.2% [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as the Likud leader?

37% Saar, 36% Netanyahu, 27% Don’t know

Right: 56% Netanyahu, 27% Saar, 17% Don’t know
Center-Left: 62% Saar, 32% Don’t know, 6% Netanyahu
Likud voters: 82% Netanyahu, 12% Saar, 6% Don’t know

Who do you want to see lead the Likud after Netanyahu?

31% Don’t know, 31% Saar, 14% Barkat, 7% Edelstein, 7% Someone else, 4% Dichter, 3% Erdan, 3% Katz

Right: 28% Don’t know, 27% Saar, 19% Barkat, 7% Edelstein, 7% Someone else, 4% Erdan, 4% Katz, 4% Dichter
Center-Left: 43% Saar, 31% Don’t know, 8% Barkat, 7% Someone else, 4% Edelstein, 4% Dicther, 2% Erdan, 1% Katz
Likud voters: 28% Don’t know, 21% Barkat, 17% Saar, 11% Edelstein, 7% Erdan, 6% Katz, 4% Dichter

Are you for or against public transportation on the Sabbath?

64% For, 27% Against, 9% Don’t know

Just Jews: 62% For, 31% Against, 7% Don’t know
Secular: 94% For, 5% Don’t know, 1% Against
Traditional: 55% For, 30% Against, 15% Don’t know
Religious: 89% Against, 8% For, 3% Don’t know
Haredi: 100% Against