Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Feb 3 2019. The poll was conducted Jan 30.

Who should lead a center-left bloc party if one is created?

33% Gantz, 23% None of the options, 23% Don’t know, 11% Lapid, 5% Gabbai, 5% Livni

Where do you place Gantz’s Israel Resilience Party on right-left scale on security-diplomacy issues?

34% Left, 26% Right, 24% Center, 16% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of Moshe Kahlon as Finance Minister?

45% Not pleased, 41% Pleased, 14% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 1012 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Feb 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.0% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
0.7% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
0.6% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
0.3% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) – under electoral threshold
0.1% [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) – under electoral threshold
0.1% [–-] Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) – under electoral threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Note: Israel Resilience is pulling 8 seats from Zionist Union voters, 4 from Yesh Atid, 2 from Likud and 1 from Kulanu.

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
25 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Ashkenazi
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

1.9% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

1.9% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 10% Don’t know, 9% Lapid, 8% None of above, 4% Saar, 3% Bennett, 2% Gabbai

Head-to-Head

44% Netanyahu, 41% Gantz, 15% Don’t know
50% Netanyahu, 26% Lapid, 24% Don’t know

Who is most suited to serve as Defense Minister?

26% Don’t know, 19% Gantz, 15% Ashekenazi, 14% Netanyahu, 13% Bennett, 13% Yaalon

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 1 2019. The poll was conducted Jan 30-31.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Zehut
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + Ashekenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
03 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
03 [07] Shas (Deri)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
02 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

41 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
39 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Additional Questions:

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

39% Center, 25% Don’t know, 22% Left, 14% Right

Without the Don’t know: 52% Center, 29% Left, 19% Right

Note: Results are after removing 25% that answered – Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 22% Others, 22% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 3% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 3% Liberman,

What issues will determine this election?

32% Security situation, 23% Netanyahu investigations, 21% Price of living, 10% Other answers, 7% Religion and State issues, Social gaps and social issues

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.5% margin of error for Kan that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel), Green Leaf, Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

47% Netanyahu, 41% Gantz, 12% Neither
49% Netanyahu, 37% Neither, 14% Lapid
50% Netanyahu, 42% Neither, 8% Gabbai

Where would you place Gantz on the political map?

34% Center, 25% Center-left, 21% Center-Right, 13% Left, 6% Right