Category: Knesset


Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 1304 people with a 3.2% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on March 11 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.3% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under 1%

00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Note #1: There are 5 seats of voters who voted right in 2015 that have moved to Blue & White – 17% Yisrael Beitenu, 13% Bayit Yehudi & 8% Likud

Note #2: 18-24 demographic: 31.5% Likud, 10% UTJ, 8.6% Zehut, 3.6% Gesher. Last place in 18-24 demographic is Labor & Meretz.

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for the position of Prime Minister?

47% Netanyahu, 37% Gantz, 16% Don’t know

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Monday March 11th 2019.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 10 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3433.6-2.536.111
2ndLikudNetanyahu30290.728.329
3rdLaborGabbai98.41.56.918
4thHadash-TaalOdeh98.30.386
5thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman870.46.66
6thUnited Right ListPeretz76.6-0.97.55
7thHaYamin HeHadashBennett76-0.96.93
8thMeretzZandberg65.3-0.25.55
9thShasDeri55-0.15.17
10thKulanuKahlon54.60.6410
11thRaam-BaladAbbas02.30.22.17
12thOther31 Others02.20.228
13thYisrael BeitenuLiberman01.70.715
Right-Religious Bloc62610.460.666
Center-Left-Arab Bloc5859-0.459.454

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the last 7 polls that were released from March 5 to March 10 (Panels, Smith, Teleseker, Maagar Mochot, Dialog & 2 from Midgam).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between Labor & Meretz, HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, Likud & United Right List, Shas & UTJ. The deadline for submitting voter exchange agreements is March 29.

Note #5: Raam Balad passed the electoral threshold in 4 of the 7 polls this week, Yisrael Beitenu & Zehut both passed in 3 polls this week. Gesher only passed in one poll this week.

Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu (including Zehut when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 63 and a low of 59. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 61 and a low of 57.

Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 4 parties have withdrawn to date.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yediot Achronot on March 10 2019. The poll was conducted on March 7-8.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
29 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

3.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
2.0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.5% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
0.9% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
0.3% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.6% [–-] others

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for the position of Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 31% Gantz, 20% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Who do you think will form the next government?

53% Netanyahu, 27% Gantz, 15% Don’t know, 5% Neither

Do you believe the AG or Netanyahu in terms of the motivation of the AG decision?

46% AG, 32% Netanyahu, 22% Don’t know

Do you support the decision to outlaw Balad?

54% Yes, 28% Don’t know 18% No

Do you support preventing Ben Ari from running?

38% Yes, 34% Don’t know, 28% No

Note: 43% of men support preventing Ben Ari from running compared to 33% of women. 57% of center-left voters support preventing Ben Ari compared to 27% of right voters.

Who do you believe in the Gantz harassment affair?

47% Gantz, 34% Don’t know, 19% Woman

If according to the latest polls published before the elections, you will see that the party to which you intend to vote for is very close to or does not pass the threshold – Will you vote still vote for that party or will you vote for another party?

56% Yes, 18% I’ll vote for a different party, 18% Don’t know, 8% I won’t go out to vote.

Dialog conducted a poll of 800 people with a 3.5% margin of error that was published by Haaretz on March 9 2019. The poll was conducted on March 7.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.0% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
1.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under 1%

00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 605 people with a 3.9% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on March 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
26 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2% [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
1% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)

Under 1%

00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for the position of Prime Minister?

42% Netanyahu, 38% Gantz, 20% Don’t know

Did the AG decision cause you to change your vote?

75% No, 12% Yes, 13% Don’t know