Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 1304 people with a 3.2% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on March 11 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
2.3% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
Under 1%
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others
64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Note #1: There are 5 seats of voters who voted right in 2015 that have moved to Blue & White – 17% Yisrael Beitenu, 13% Bayit Yehudi & 8% Likud
Note #2: 18-24 demographic: 31.5% Likud, 10% UTJ, 8.6% Zehut, 3.6% Gesher. Last place in 18-24 demographic is Labor & Meretz.
Additional Questions:
Who is more suited for the position of Prime Minister?
47% Netanyahu, 37% Gantz, 16% Don’t know
Strong result for the right. Does anyone know how reliable Channel 13 is for polling?
Some sort of grading system for poll reliability would be a useful companion to the polls.
I would have expected Zehut even stronger in the 18-24 demo – would like to know where Feiglin is strongest…..
Reliable as the rest in that anyone with 5 seats or less is in the knesset or out based on the margin of error. This poll had YB and Zehut both passing, while most polls have on or the other. These are still statistical tossups.
Didn’t quite understand the note about the 18-24 demographic. Are those the top three parties or just three selected ones?
every day new poll shows B&W is at free fall, going down in the polls,
how long will it take for Likud to regain its front runner status ?
Jpost reported that Ganz is fuming:
Blue and White officials could not confirm or deny another Channe 13 report that party leader Benny Gantz pounded on the table when speaking to his campaign team about the polls.