Dialog conducted a poll of 800 people with a 3.5% margin of error that was published by Haaretz on March 9 2019. The poll was conducted on March 7.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Ari)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
2.0% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
1.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
Under 1%
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others
63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Perhaps Labor is siphoning “צדק חברתי” votes from Meretz now that Itzik Shmuli and the like are dominant in the party?
Worth noting that this is the third poll in a row that Zehut gets in.
Yes that last point is interesting, I would have had them at zero, but whilst I am not convinced by any of the polls for distribution of those parties between 4-8 seats. I find the block votes more telling. And the last few polls convince me that the Mandelbit effect has stalled and its up to Bibi’s campaigning skills in the next few weeks that will decide things
You would have had them at zero, but the reality is that Zehut will get 6-8 mandates. As soon as voters realize that they have a realistic chance to get in, the number of their supporters will double on account of New Right and United Right. Both latter are obedient Netanyahu’s puppets, while Feiglin is an ideologist and his own man.
Would be interesting to know the percentage points for the 4 parties who are receiving 4 seats.
But David, too many own men in a block is exactly what leads to instability, so the issue of puppets/muppets and own man all have upsides and down sides, and no they won’t get 6 or 8 seats either, though I do actually like Feiglin.
I would rather say that I respect (not like) Feiglin for him exposing right-left wing political game. I do not respect Netanyahu for him destroying so called “illegal” Jewish towns, while keeping illegal Bedouin one intact. If this is what being “right wing” is about, then they can go H@ll together with the “left wing”. I bet that between Feiglin and Gantz, Netanyahu will chose Gantz without thinking twice.
I think like you on these points, but on Gantz only if Bibi can pull Gantz’s group out of blue and white. And thank you for bringing some new thoughts that hadn’t occurred to me before.