Panels conducted a poll of 994 people with a 3.2% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on March 15 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.5% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 16 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.4% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 2087 people with a 2.1% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on March 18 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
10 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
05 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.7% [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
1.1% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Smith conducted a poll of 900 people with a 3.1% margin of error that was broadast by Mako on March 18 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.6% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Kantar conducted a poll of 1406 people with a 2.6% margin of error that was broadast by Channel 11 on March 18 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.4% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Direct Polls conducted a poll of 6436 people with a 1.2% margin of error that they self published on March 19 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
07 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
07 [03] New Hope (Saar)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.3% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Panels conducted a poll of 1011 people with a 3.2% margin of error that was published by Maariv on March 19 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
08 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [00] New Economy (Zalika)
*Note: This post is updated to reflect the last two polls that were broadcast on Friday night
Midgam conducted a poll of 1000 people with a 3.1% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 19 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.3% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 1103 people with a 3.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on March 19 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.1% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Moe’s (that’s me) prediction:
Likud: 33.5
Lapid: 19.5
Shas: 9.5
Joint List: 8.5
UTJ: 7.5
RZ: 7.5
Leiberman: 6.5
Ganz: 6.5
Bennet: 6.5
Saar: 6.5
Avoda: 5.5
Meretz: 3.5
Raam: 3.5
Likud+Religious Parties:56 + 2
Lapid+Leiberman+Saar+Lefties:39 + 2.5
Bennet: 6 + .5
Bennet makes big proclamations about how he will only join if he gets X, Y, Z, plus the kitchen sink. Netanyahu ignores Bennet and scares him into thinking that he isn’t interested in him. Bennet gets scared and cuts off some stuff and joins the coalition with reduced loot. Bennet’s supporters are upset at him and next elections he gets 4-5 seats max.
You’re a bit low on Saar and Bennet there. I think Bibi/Orthodox/Yamina/Smotrich get 60. Exactly 60. A long protracted stupid coalition building process ensues. Bibi manages to lure over 1 or 2 from Saar. A narrow coalition is built.
you were saying…
i think i got it right on the head. neytanyahu always, ALWAYS, does better than the polls give him. Bennet and Saar were on a down streak, so i assumed they would go down a drop more. And i gave Ganz even though the polls gave him less because hes solid and his supporters are a solid base, so it makes sense that they wouldn’t be so loud, just vote.
Well, my 60-60 prediction seems to be coming true. Unfortunately.
Final Results
——————–
Likud 30
Yesh Atid 17
Shas 9
Kahol Lavan 8
Yamina 7
Avoda 7
Yahadut HT 7
Yisrael Beit. 7
Religious ZP 6
Arab Joint List 6
Sa’ar 6
Meretz 6
Ra’am 4
Recommandations
————————–
1/ Netanyahu = 52
Likud 30
Shas 9
Yahadut HT 7
Religious ZP 6
2/ Lapid = 45
Yesh Atid 17
Kahol Lavan 8
Avoda 7
Yisrael Beit. 7
Meretz 6
3/ Bennet (with rotation) = 13
Yamina 7
Sa’ar 6